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2022 BAFTA TV Awards Predictions (Part 2)

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    wolfali
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    #1204737766

    BBC iPlayer recorded its best festive day* ever, with 22m streams on Sunday 2 January, boosted by the arrival of the box set of The Tourist, the new must-watch series starring Jamie Dornan. The series is currently the third most successful drama launch of all time on iPlayer – having been streamed over 18m million times to date

    In addition, BBC All-Screens+7 data (which reports on all viewing across linear BBC TV and BBC iPlayer during the first 7 days of availability) shows during the period 20 December – 4 January:

    Happy New Year Live! with an average audience of over 10.5m – the first episode of The Tourist (8.9m) and The Queen’s Christmas Broadcast (8.3m) were the most watched programmes on BBC TV and BBC iPlayer combined**
    Christmas specials of Death in Paradise (8m), Call The Midwife (7.9m) and Strictly Come Dancing (7.4m) also performed well – along with new dramas A Very British Scandal (7.1m) and Around the World in 80 days (6m) which were watched live and on-demand by millions within their first seven days of availability**
    Figures for the festive period released today also show:

    Viewers were gripped by new dramas on iPlayer, with the first instalment of A Very British Scandal topping the list of most streamed episodes across the festive period (21 December – 3 January) with 2.3m streams. The first episode of outback drama The Tourist (1.6m) and finale of psychological thriller The Girl Before (1.6m) also proved hugely popular, along with Christmas Day staples including the Call the Midwife Christmas special (1.6m) and EastEnders (1.5m)

    (X)

    FYC:

    "The Good Fight", "The Other Two" and "Station Eleven" in all categories, Sarah Lancashire ("Julia"), William Jackson Harper ("Love Life") and Luke Kirby ("The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel")

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    Kenny
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    #1204744210

    What were the biggest television hits in UK last year,other than It’s A Sin and Help? It might help predicting a few races.

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    wolfali
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    #1204746925

    Updated predictions.

    Drama Series

    1. Unforgotten (ITV)
    2. In My Skin (BBC Three)
    3. Guilt (BBC Two)
    4. All Creatures Great and Small (Channel 5)

    5. The Pact (BBC One)
    6. Bloodlands (BBC One)
    7. The Beast Must Die (Britbox)
    8. Baptiste (BBC One)

    Scripted Comedy

    1. We Are Lady Parts (Channel 4)
    2. Motherland (BBC Two)
    3. Alma’s Not Normal (BBC Two)
    4. Starstruck (BBC Three)

    5. Stath Lets Flats (Channel 4)
    6. Ghosts (BBC One)
    7. This Way Up (Channel 4)
    8. Back (Channel 4)
    9. Feel Good (Netflix)
    10. Brassic (Sky Comedy)

    Mini Series

    1. It’s a Sin (Channel 4)
    2. Time (BBC One)
    3. Landscapers (Sky Atlantic)
    4. Stephen (ITV)

    5. The North Water (BBC Two)
    6. Three Families (BBC One)
    7. Ridley Road (BBC One)
    8. Deceit (Channel 4)
    9. A Very British Scandal (BBC One)
    10. The Pembrokeshire Murders (ITV)

    International Series

    1. Storyville : Raising a School Shooter (BBC Two)
    2. Succession (HBO/Sky Atlantic)
    3. The White Lotus (HBO/Sky Atlantic)
    4. Maid (Netflix)
    5. Yellowjackets (HBO/Showtime)
    6. Mare of Easttown (HBO/Sky Atlantic)

    7. Call My Agent! (Netflix)
    8. Ted Lasso (AppleTV+)
    9. The Flight Attendant (HBO/Sky Max)
    10. Impeachment : American Crime Story (FX/BBC Two)

    Leading Actress

    1. Jodie Comer, Help
    2. Sharlene Whyte, Stephen
    3. Lydia West, It’s a Sin
    4. Olivia Colman, Landscapers
    5. Nicola Walker, Unforgotten
    6. Fiona Shaw, Baptiste

    7. Niamh Algar, Deceit
    8. Letitia Wright, I Am…
    9. Claire Foy, A Very British Scandal
    10. Kate Winslet, Mare of Easttown

    Leading Actor

    1. Sean Bean, Time
    2. David Thewlis, Landscapers
    3. Olly Alexander, It’s a Sin
    4. Stephen Graham, Help
    5. Samuel Adewunmi, You Don’t Know Me
    6. Hugh Quarshie, Stephen

    7. Brian Cox, Succession
    8. Tahar Rahim, The Serpent
    9. Sanjeev Bhaskar, Unforgotten
    10. Adrian Dunbar, Line of Duty

    Supporting Actress

    1. Sheila Atim, The Underground Railroad
    2. Keeley Hawes, It’s a Sin
    3. Jessica Plummer, The Girl Before
    4. Kate O’Flynn, Landscapers
    5. Anna Maxwell-Martin, Line of Duty
    6. Denise Gough, Too Close

    7. Amy James-Kelly, Three Families
    8. Susan Lynch, Unforgotten
    9. Emily Mortimer, The Pursuit of Love
    10. Julia Davis, A Very British Scandal

    Supporting Actor

    1. Callum Scott-Howells, It’s a Sin
    2. Matthew Macfadyen, Succession
    3. Sion Daniel-Young, Deceit
    4. Omari Douglas, It’s a Sin
    5. Aaron Pierre, The Underground Railroad
    6. O-T Fagbenle, The Handmaid’s Tale

    7. Richie Campbell, Stephen
    8. Andrew Scott, The Pursuit of Love
    9. Keith Allen, The Pembrokeshire Murders
    10. Colin Morgan, Three Families

    Comedy Male

    1. Ncuti Gatwa, Sex Education
    2. Toheeb Jimoh, Ted Lasso
    3. Nick Mohammed, Ted Lasso
    4. Jamie Demetriou, Stath Lets Flats
    5. Joe Gilgun, Brassic
    6. Reece Shearsmith, Inside No. 9

    7. Matt Berry, What We Do in the Shadows
    8. Samson Kayo, Bloods
    9. Nicholas Hoult, The Great
    10. Brett Goldstein, Ted Lasso

    Comedy Female

    1. Anjana Vasan, We Are Lady Parts
    2. Mae Martin, Feel Good
    3. Rose Matafeo, Starstruck
    4. Natasia Demetriou, What We Do in the Shadows
    5. Anna Maxwell-Martin, Motherland
    6. Aisling Bea, This Way Up

    7. Sophie Willan, Alma’s Not Normal
    8. Sarah Kameela Impey, We Are Lady Parts
    9. Daisy Haggard, Breeders
    10. Sarah Niles, Ted Lasso

    FYC:

    "The Good Fight", "The Other Two" and "Station Eleven" in all categories, Sarah Lancashire ("Julia"), William Jackson Harper ("Love Life") and Luke Kirby ("The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel")

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    wolfali
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    #1204747684

    I think what will be really interesting to see here with all of these British thespians in US productions now being eligible is what happens to them if they aren’t one of the top 6 membership vote-getters. If say Lydia West or Stephen Graham were to hypothetically miss the top 6, they could always still make it in because Channel 4 could bring them to the jury as their “broadcaster submissions” to the jury (same with the BBC if Sophie Willan or Rose Matafeo miss with the membership). But what if O-T Fagbenle or Kayvan Novak miss with the membership? Will Hulu and FX qualify as broadcasters who could put forward submissions or would that fall on the Channel 4 and the BBC and would they really submit two performers in American imports at the expense of performers in their own original productions? Considering they produce their own content in the UK I assume Netflix, AppleTV+ and Amazon qualify which is probably good for the casts of Ted Lasso and The Underground Railroad.

    It’s also quite interesting because whilst we don’t have things like The Crown in contention this year, there does feel like a wealth of British productions that were popular on both an industry and audience scale here that could stop a lot of these performers in American shows from getting to the jury (i.e. It’s a Sin, Time, Help, Landscapers, arguably even A Very British Scandal). The only performers in American shows I feel confident enough to say will probably (or rather have sailed considering round 1 voting closes soon) sail past the membership round of voting are Cox, Macfadyen and Winslet because of the popularity of Succession and Mare of Easttown and their performances as well as their own profiles within the industry.

    FYC:

    "The Good Fight", "The Other Two" and "Station Eleven" in all categories, Sarah Lancashire ("Julia"), William Jackson Harper ("Love Life") and Luke Kirby ("The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel")

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    Manav
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    #1204747785

    Leading Actress

    1. Jodie Comer, Help
    2. Sharlene Whyte, Stephen
    3. Lydia West, It’s a Sin
    4. Olivia Colman, Landscapers
    5. Nicola Walker, Unforgotten
    6. Fiona Shaw, Baptiste

    7. Niamh Algar, Deceit
    8. Letitia Wright, I Am…
    9. Claire Foy, A Very British Scandal
    10. Kate Winslet, Mare of Easttown

    Any reason why Colman is above Foy & Winslet?

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    wolfali
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    #1204747808

    Any reason why Colman is above Foy & Winslet?

    It’s a gamble for sure but at the end of the day Colman’s performance (and Landscapers as a show) is much baitier than both Foy and Winslet’s performances and both A Very British Scandal and Mare of Easttown as shows and really fits in with the juries tendencies to go for quirkier works over more commercially driven ventures. For example I can easily see both A Very British Scandal and Mare of Easttown getting ignored with the jury at the main ceremony but I struggle seeing a Landscapers shut out. The big question here (as it is on the film side) is whether the jury is ready to re-embrace Colman after her Oscar win and rapid rise to Hollywood stardom or if she’ll need to wait a while. Were her misses for The Crown and Fleabag “blips” due to the consensus being that her performance paled in comparison to Claire Foy’s and Sian Clifford’s and now she’ll return for her two most raved performances since The Favourite or is she just far too big a star for the jury to award her right now (like Gillian Anderson)? If Landscapers came out in her pre-The Favourite years I’d feel quite confident in this prediction and would perhaps even be predicting her to win.

    I do think Foy and Winslet can still get nominated (and perhaps win although it’s going to be hard overcoming Comer and some of the other potential performances they could be up against) but I don’t really see both of them making it in for what are at the end of the day a British period drama and an American whodunnit murder mystery. It’s one or the other IMO. Foy’s performance is baitier and her profile is smaller than Winslet’s so I have her marginally ahead in my predictions right now but I can easily see Winslet being the Phoebe Waller-Bridge of this field where there is too much passion for her to miss even if she’s not win competitive in the end. I do wonder though whether Nicola Walker potentially being someone who gets to be seen by the jury could complicate things for Winslet though.

    Something else I’d also be very interested to see is how the upcoming Royal Television Society and Broadcasting Press Guild nominations go. Neither are BAFTA precursors as such (the BPG snubbed Billie Piper for Emma Corrin for example) but the BPG in particular have had a lot of history with some of these performers in these races. Claire Foy has been nominated there for each of her BAFTA nominated performances (and won their best actress award for The Crown season 2). Olivia Colman hasn’t been nominated there since she won for Broadchurch. They seem to really like Keeley Hawes. It will also be interesting to see if Jodie Comer has “undeniable momentum” like Michaela Coel and Glenda Jackson did.

    I hope that wasn’t too long an explanation haha and feel free to ask more questions if you have any!

    FYC:

    "The Good Fight", "The Other Two" and "Station Eleven" in all categories, Sarah Lancashire ("Julia"), William Jackson Harper ("Love Life") and Luke Kirby ("The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel")

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    wolfali
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    #1204758577

    British Film Designers Guild nominations

    BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN – LIGHT ENTERTAINMENT TV PROGRAMME

    Big Age – PD: Angel Parmar, SAD: Tom Watson, SD: Shean Caisley

    Code 404 – Season 2 – PD: Julian Nagel, SAD:Jo White, SD: Bethan Edwards-Wilson

    Sex Education : Series 3 – PD: Samantha Harley, SAD: Samantha Jay Cliff, SD: Alexandra Slade & Elizabeth Marcussen

    BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN – INDEPENDENT TV DRAMA INCLUDING MINI SERIES, TV MOVIE OR LIMITED SERIES

    A Very British Scandal – PD: Christina Moore, SAD: Iain White, SD: Philippa Hart

    All Creatures Great and Small – PD: Jacqueline Smith, SAD: Tom Goodwin, SD: James Gray

    It’s A Sin – PD:  Luana Hanson, SAD: Tom Akins & Gavin Lewis, SD: Craig Menzies

    BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN – INTERNATIONAL TV DRAMA INCLUDING MINI SERIES, TV MOVIE OR LIMITED SERIES

    Cowboy Bebop – PD: Gary Mackay, Grant Major, SAD: Alistair Kay, SD: Anneke Botha

    Landscapers – PD: Cristina Casali, SAD: Fabrice Spelta, SD: Robert Wischhusen-Hayes

    The Nevers – PD: Gemma Jackson, SAD: Peter Russell, SD: Tina Jones

    FYC:

    "The Good Fight", "The Other Two" and "Station Eleven" in all categories, Sarah Lancashire ("Julia"), William Jackson Harper ("Love Life") and Luke Kirby ("The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel")

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    wolfali
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    #1204769943

    If Colman misses with the TV jury for this performance, how long will she need to wait before she gets in again?

    FYC:

    "The Good Fight", "The Other Two" and "Station Eleven" in all categories, Sarah Lancashire ("Julia"), William Jackson Harper ("Love Life") and Luke Kirby ("The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel")

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    kat_ebbs
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    #1204769969

    If Colman misses with the jury for this performance, how long will she need to wait before she gets in again?

    WTF was with The Lost Daughter miss when Jessie got in?

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    Manav
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    #1204770428

    WTF was with The Lost Daughter miss when Jessie got in?

    It was always on the cards. People just chose to ignore it. The late release, divisive response, name recognition of Colman and Buckley being hailed as the standout were important factors.

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    wolfali
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    #1204770774

    Of course they’re different voting systems but the state of the film long-lists and the nominations in non juried categories suggests recency bias on the BAFTA membership’s part this year.

    Whether they get nominated is another thing entirely because of the jury but I think we could see things like Time under-perform in nominations because of failing to get past the membership and to the jury because of the recency bias of things like A Very British Scandal, Landscapers, Succession etc here.

    FYC:

    "The Good Fight", "The Other Two" and "Station Eleven" in all categories, Sarah Lancashire ("Julia"), William Jackson Harper ("Love Life") and Luke Kirby ("The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel")

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    Sir Shaw
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    #1204770987

    Prayer circle for the 18 month old It’s a Sin

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    wolfali
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    #1204771035

    Prayer circle for the 18 month old It’s a Sin

    It’s a Sin should be fine. It’s the most buzzed about British show of the year and its cast and RTD have been everywhere this past year. It will have no problem in being remembered (at least in the membership round of voting).

    FYC:

    "The Good Fight", "The Other Two" and "Station Eleven" in all categories, Sarah Lancashire ("Julia"), William Jackson Harper ("Love Life") and Luke Kirby ("The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel")

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    wolfali
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    #1204802845

    Writers Guild winners –

    Outstanding Contribution to Writing: Jack Thorne
    Best Long Form TV Drama: It’s A Sin by Russell T Davies
    Best TV Situation Comedy: Feel Good by Mae Martin and Joe Hampson
    Best Short Form TV Drama: Elizabeth is Missing by Andrea Gibb

    FYC:

    "The Good Fight", "The Other Two" and "Station Eleven" in all categories, Sarah Lancashire ("Julia"), William Jackson Harper ("Love Life") and Luke Kirby ("The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel")

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    Manav
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    #1204802912

    Best Short Form TV Drama: Elizabeth is Missing by Andrea Gibb

    Till when will this continue to rack up awards?

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