2023 Emmy Predictions: Comedy Categories (Part 3)

[Thiago Joined: May 6th, 2012 Topics: 0 Posts: 192 View Predictions]

#1205281873

Wasn’t season 3 supposed to be a jump on The Great’s storyline?

I had Linda Cardellini at first because I thought Elle Fanning wasn’t coming back, but apparently she is, so I switched them.

I don’t see Cardellini getting in over Jean Smart, Quinta Brunson, Jenna Ortega, Christina Applegate, Rachel Brosnahan or Elle Fanning, but, if the later is out or, at least, not in lead, she can totaly do it over Selena Gomez.

[Victor Joined: Jun 18th, 2020 Topics: 20 Posts: 9227 View Predictions]

#1205281885

Thiago wrote:

Wasn’t season 3 supposed to be a jump on The Great’s storyline?

That was only a rumor, it will continue with Fanning and Hoult in regular storyline from s2 ending events.

FYC:
The HBO darlings everywhere (The Last of Us, Succession, The White Lotus, Perry Mason, White House Plumbers, Love & Death);
The Apple gang (Bad Sisters, Slow Horses, Shrinking, Ted Lasso, Black Bird);
Poker Face, The Great, The Bear, Evil (especially Katja Herbers) and The Good Fight.

Please! These gays, they're trying to murder me!

[YeohBestActress Joined: Sep 16th, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 2641 View Predictions]

#1205281899

antony wrote:

Beef will be screening at sxsw as the closing night premiere, Vogue says that it will be on Netflix in April. American Born Chinese will also make its debut in the festival.

Starting Michelle Yeoh’s and Steven Yeun’s Emmy campaign!

[Jaket1991 Joined: Sep 12th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 316 View Predictions]

#1205282040

shrinking is growing on me (excuse the lame pun); i’m behind harrison ford winning SA after only four episodes.

[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 245 Posts: 37484 View Predictions]

#1205282042

If Cardellini isn’t happening then Applegate shouldn’t be as high as she is in the predictions centre. Each time the latter has made it in without the former has been when Dead to Me has under-performed as a contender relative to other shows in the field (i.e. the 2019 comedy actress field, SAG this year) so I don’t really see why that would be any different in just as competitive a comedy actress field, narrative or not.

I have both of them in though because this category tends to disproportionately favour previous nominees compared to other categories and I think the return of the restricted ballot helps a quieter passion pick like Cardellini (I don’t think she should be faulted for missing SAG when not even both of Jodie Comer and Sandra Oh were able to do that during Killing Eve‘s run). It will be tighter though if The Great is indeed making eligibility.

FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.

[Leo Joined: Dec 16th, 2022 Topics: 0 Posts: 10 View Predictions]

#1205282601

Yeah, i sadly agree about cardellini chances being low… even more so if fanning is indeed returning in time. Also, very conflicted because i am rooting so badly for selena to secure one spot as well 😭😭 it is a truly competitive category.
Massa ver tantos brasileiros de plantão aqui no forúm kkkkkk

[sgcampaigner Joined: Jan 13th, 2023 Topics: 0 Posts: 178 View Predictions]

#1205283047

Joyce Eng Predictions:

SERIES:

1. Abbott Elementary
2. Ted Lasso
3. The Bear
4. Barry
5. Hacks
6. Only Murders in the Building
7. The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
8. The Great

ACTRESS:

1. Jean Smart
2. Quinta Brunson
3. Christina Applegate
4. Rachel Broshanan
5. Elle Fanning
6. Selena Gomez

ACTOR:

1. Jeremy Allen White
2. Jason Sudeikis
3. Bill Hader
4. Martin Short
5. Steve Martin
6. Donald Glover

 

[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 245 Posts: 37484 View Predictions]

#1205283112

sgcampaigner wrote:

Joyce Eng Predictions

Seeing her and Riley entering in their first predictions is one my favourite parts of Emmy season.

FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.

[Brayfers Joined: Oct 19th, 2018 Topics: 17 Posts: 1713 View Predictions]

#1205284307

Allan Veríssimo wrote:

More than 48 hours after the predictions center opened, these are the most voted by GoldDerby users in each category. Comedy Series 7. Wednesday – 471  9. What We Do in the Shadows – 263 /  Comedy Actress 6. Selena Gomez (Only Murders in the Building) – 460 7. Elle Fanning (The Great) – 273 / Comedy Supporting Actor  8. Brian Tyree Henry (Atlanta) – 316 Chris Perfetti (Abbott Elementary) – 137  

I have the same as Gold Derby except I switched the bold for the non bolded above.

Letterboxd: Brayfers

!EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE!
- SEVEN OSCARS
- BEST PICTURE
- Michelle Yeoh, Best Actress
- Ke Huy Quan, Best Supporting Actor
- Jamie Lee Curtis, Best Supporting Actress
- Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert, Best Director & Best Original Screenplay
- Paul Rogers, Best Film Editing

FYC (TV):
- Abbott Elementary
- House of the Dragon
- The White Lotus
- The Last of Us

[Brayfers Joined: Oct 19th, 2018 Topics: 17 Posts: 1713 View Predictions]

#1205284309

Early Winner Predix

• Series: Ted Lasso
• Actor: Sudeikis
• Actress: Brunson
• Supporting Actor: Goldstein
• Supporting Actress: James
• Directing: Ted Lasso
• Writing: Abbott Elementary

Letterboxd: Brayfers

!EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE!
- SEVEN OSCARS
- BEST PICTURE
- Michelle Yeoh, Best Actress
- Ke Huy Quan, Best Supporting Actor
- Jamie Lee Curtis, Best Supporting Actress
- Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert, Best Director & Best Original Screenplay
- Paul Rogers, Best Film Editing

FYC (TV):
- Abbott Elementary
- House of the Dragon
- The White Lotus
- The Last of Us

[JV Joined: Dec 31st, 2019 Topics: 9 Posts: 5252 View Predictions]

#1205284361

I joked about it, but if Jeremy Allen White wins SAG, I think it will be hard for Sudeikis to overcome him despite Ted Lasso most likely winning Series. Kinda like Lee Jung Jae’s win. And with the season’s 2 release date probably close to voting, it could help him.

And it’s kinda hard to imagine Quinta winning this time if she couldn’t for the first season (where it’s usually when people win). If Smart takes SAG and Hacks comes close to voting period again, don’t really think she will lose. Brunson winning SAG would turn the race to her favor though, and probably a sign that Abbott is more competitive than we imagine.

Supporting Actor is more open. Will they give Goldstein a third ? I think it’s unlikely. There’s a case to be made about Carrigan (getting when the show underperformed in acting noms and also getting at SAG over Winkler), but vote split with Winkler himself might still be a factor in an extended voting body. Tyler James Williams and Ebon Moss Bachrach (could benefit from the release date) are also on the hunt IMO. Just wanted to point out that Bachrach plays almost exactly the same character as Goldstein in Ted Lasso. It’s a showy role, lots of swearing and yelling, and it’s also the second most prominent role in the show.

Supporting Actress, I’ll probably predict Sheryl Lee Ralph to repeat, but votesplitting could increase if people go for James and Walter.

[CuriousHedgehog Joined: Mar 15th, 2018 Topics: 3 Posts: 648 View Predictions]

#1205284509

When’s The Great S3 coming out? I wasn’t aware it was coming out before eligiblity

[kat_ebbs Joined: Jun 10th, 2021 Topics: 29 Posts: 8256 View Predictions]

#1205284665

CuriousHedgehog wrote:

When’s The Great S3 coming out? I wasn’t aware it was coming out before eligiblity

I don’t think it’s been explicitly said (though it seems like information may have been given to GD editors), but it wrapped about 5-6 weeks ago, last time the turnaround was about 5 months and they did an all at once release, so it might be an April or May drop, I think.

I won’t be hugely surprised if comedy contenders who are borderline opt to move to 2024 cycle though. It’s the strongest of all three categories this year, in my opinion, and with several contenders likely to end this cycle (esp. Ted) it may given them more room to move going a bit later.

Plus I think we’ve reached a point where most shows will be dropped with the most beneficial commercial date, esp. in a category like this.

[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 245 Posts: 37484 View Predictions]

#1205284740

JV wrote:

she couldn’t for the first season (where it’s usually when people win).

Is it really though? Jodie Comer, Claire Foy, Julia Garner, Jeremy Strong and Phoebe Waller-Bridge (who already was a previous Emmy nominee for writing for Killing Eve) all won on their second seasons. Likewise people like Tatiana Maslany, Emma Corrin and MJ Rodriguez weren’t recognised off the bat by the Television Academy (with the former waiting for her second nomination to win and the latter both losing to a dispassionate performance from Olivia Colman). I feel like we oftentimes assume that when voters see the breakout choice of a field they just jump to vote for them on their first go round as some sort of progressive choice but when in actuality they’ve shown themselves to do the opposite. Rachel Brosnahan, Rami Malek and Zendaya all won on their first goes. But their shows had all aired around a full year before the Emmys actually happened and they were all already fairly established in the industry (Malek had been working in smaller roles in multiple high profile films and shows for years at that point and Brosnahan was already an Emmy nominee for House of Cards).

It could just be that Quinta’s loss last year is indicative of voters not caring about her performance but it could also indicate that perhaps just like how it didn’t have quite enough momentum to take series over Ted Lasso (in spite of winning casting, supporting actress and writing), Brunson didn’t have quite enough momentum to upset Smart in the comedy actress race. I have Smart winning at SAG and I have her in 1st in my Emmy predictions but unlike last time round (where it was still talked about as a contender to win series even after nominations), Hacks is a contender that is on the decline. Comparatively Abbott has all year attention being paid to it thanks to the winter awards and it having 22 episodes this season. Smart could very well be unbeatable for Hacks but so were Alex Borstein for The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel, Kate McKinnon got Saturday Night Live, Julia Louis-Dreyfus for Veep and Bill Hader for Barry… until they weren’t.

FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.

[Victor Joined: Jun 18th, 2020 Topics: 20 Posts: 9227 View Predictions]

#1205284748

If Quinta wins SAG I’m switching.

FYC:
The HBO darlings everywhere (The Last of Us, Succession, The White Lotus, Perry Mason, White House Plumbers, Love & Death);
The Apple gang (Bad Sisters, Slow Horses, Shrinking, Ted Lasso, Black Bird);
Poker Face, The Great, The Bear, Evil (especially Katja Herbers) and The Good Fight.

Please! These gays, they're trying to murder me!