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2023 Emmy Predictions: Comedy Categories (Part 5)

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  • thewhitelotus
    Joined:
    Feb 11th, 2023
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    #1205364488

    As more expert predictions come in, I’m seeing a lot of confidence in Jenna Ortega as a top 3 leading contender, perhaps even a winner. That’s really interesting…I’d like to get their thinking behind that.

    I saw she was even no.2 briefly this weekend, her chances are inflated


    Reis
    Joined:
    Jun 17th, 2014
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    #1205364505

    Started Poker Face (watched 3 episode) and OMG. Delightful. Episode 3 is 100% from a comedy series with the premiere being the most dramatic.


    OnlyMurderers
    Joined:
    Feb 1st, 2023
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    #1205364611

    Does no one else feel we are underestimating Only Murders chances of winning Best Comedy Series by the virtue of the ballot being ranked order?

    For Your Consideration:

    Only Murders in the Building - Best Comedy Series
    Steve Martin, Martin Short - Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series
    Selena Gomez - Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series
    James Caverly - Outstanding Guest Actor in a Comedy Series


    Victor
    Joined:
    Jun 18th, 2020
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    #1205364613

    Does no one else feel we are underestimating Only Murders chances of winning Best Comedy Series by the virtue of the ballot being ranked order?

    No.

    He lives in you, he lives in me, he watches over everything we see.
    Into the water, into the truth, in your reflection, he lives in you.


    Blaize
    Joined:
    Feb 11th, 2023
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    #1205364627

    I think for Ford the nomination is more difficult than the win, if he gets in then he is competitive.

    Agreed. If Ford’s name is read out on nominations day I’ll feel pretty confident about him going the whole way.


    OnlyMurderers
    Joined:
    Feb 1st, 2023
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    #1205364629

    If memory serves, I believe that is how the Handmaid’s Tale pulled off an upset win against The Crown, Westworld, Stranger Things, This is Us & Better Call Saul.

    For Your Consideration:

    Only Murders in the Building - Best Comedy Series
    Steve Martin, Martin Short - Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series
    Selena Gomez - Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series
    James Caverly - Outstanding Guest Actor in a Comedy Series


    ColtonM
    Joined:
    Jan 8th, 2019
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    #1205364634

    Is ranked order just the show with the most #1 votes wins? What was the system previously?


    ejaru1810
    Joined:
    Sep 10th, 2021
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    #1205364638

    Does no one else feel we are underestimating Only Murders chances of winning Best Comedy Series by the virtue of the ballot being ranked order?

    The question is if the show is actually a threat in other categories that could make it a Comedy Series contender and it simply isn’t as of now.

    Actor is likely Sudeikis vs Allen White with the Martin’s vote splitting.

    Actress is Brunson vs Applegate (and even if it isn’t any of them, I don’t see Selena winning)

    Supporting Actor and Actress have zero contenders from Murders.

    Directing is likely Ted Lasso vs The Bear vs Barry

    Writing is mostly Abbott Elementary vs The Bear (WGA winner)

    "EGOT" and "Triple Crown of Acting" winner: VIOLA DAVIS!!!!


    OnlyMurderers
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    #1205364653

    Is ranked order just the show with the most #1 votes wins? What was the system previously?

    No, there’s a minimum threshold of votes needed to win. If no one meets it first round, the candidate with the lowest number of votes is disqualified and their second choices on the ballots added until there’s a winner.

    This year Ted Lasso has been met with less enthusiastic reception, Abbott is strong but not unbeatable and the Bear is polarizing — a controversial choice for a comedy series. I think Only Murders will benefit from this lack of consensus.

    For Your Consideration:

    Only Murders in the Building - Best Comedy Series
    Steve Martin, Martin Short - Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series
    Selena Gomez - Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series
    James Caverly - Outstanding Guest Actor in a Comedy Series


    OnlyMurderers
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    #1205364655

    The question is if the show is actually a threat in other categories that could make it a Comedy Series contender and it simply isn’t as of now. Actor is likely Sudeikis vs Allen White with the Martin’s vote splitting. Actress is Brunson vs Applegate (and even if it isn’t any of them, I don’t see Selena winning) Supporting Actor and Actress have zero contenders from Murders. Directing is likely Ted Lasso vs The Bear vs Barry Writing is mostly Abbott Elementary vs The Bear (WGA winner)

    It’s definitely picked up at winter awards… it would be a shame to see such a great series go empty handed two years running.

    For Your Consideration:

    Only Murders in the Building - Best Comedy Series
    Steve Martin, Martin Short - Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series
    Selena Gomez - Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series
    James Caverly - Outstanding Guest Actor in a Comedy Series


    wolfali
    Joined:
    Apr 8th, 2023
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    #1205364657

    , there’s a minimum threshold of votes needed to win. If no one meets it first round, the candidate with the lowest number of votes is disqualified and their second choices on the ballots added until there’s a winner.

    No.

    Solidarity with the striking writers. Pay them the wages they are owed for bringing us the content we are all on here because of!


    thewhitelotus
    Joined:
    Feb 11th, 2023
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    #1205364659

    Actress is Brunson vs Applegate (and even if it isn’t any of them, I don’t see Selena winning)

    Don’t care if I sound like need a 5150 , I still see Selena winning if she can get nominated.


    OnlyMurderers
    Joined:
    Feb 1st, 2023
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    #1205364663

    Yes @wolfali? They implemented ranked ballots in 2016?

    https://slate.com/culture/2016/09/why-the-new-emmys-voting-system-yielded-such-great-winners.html

    For Your Consideration:

    Only Murders in the Building - Best Comedy Series
    Steve Martin, Martin Short - Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series
    Selena Gomez - Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series
    James Caverly - Outstanding Guest Actor in a Comedy Series


    wolfali
    Joined:
    Apr 8th, 2023
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    #1205364672

    Yes @wolfali? They implemented ranked ballots in 2016? https://slate.com/culture/2016/09/why-the-new-emmys-voting-system-yielded-such-great-winners.html

    From the same article…

    Then the rules changed again: Ranked ballots were to be replaced by winner-take-all ballots—meaning a given voter would simply check off their choice, rather than rank each candidate from top to bottom—for 2016. This was intended as a corrective for the effects of 2015’s change, which at times made the Emmys look like a popularity contest. Essentially, an obscure performance on an underrated series would have a better chance of winning than before, assuming the fanbase was passionate enough. And a multi-nominated series in a given category would actually be less likely to win: Without the cushion of ranking, vote-splitting would theoretically have a far sharper effect.

    Solidarity with the striking writers. Pay them the wages they are owed for bringing us the content we are all on here because of!


    OnlyMurderers
    Joined:
    Feb 1st, 2023
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    #1205364678

    Oh I feel so foolish, I need to work on my English and stick to just lurking these forums.

    For Your Consideration:

    Only Murders in the Building - Best Comedy Series
    Steve Martin, Martin Short - Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series
    Selena Gomez - Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series
    James Caverly - Outstanding Guest Actor in a Comedy Series

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