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2023 Emmy Predictions: Limited/Movie Categories (Part 2)

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  • Chris Beachum
    Joined:
    May 22nd, 2011
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    #1205203078

    Part 2 is now open.

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    Victor
    Joined:
    Jun 18th, 2020
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    #1205203097

    It only took us 3 months but we finished a thread.
    Best Actress thread could never.

    Please! These gays, they're trying to murder me!

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    braydenfitzsimmons
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    May 3rd, 2015
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    #1205203134

    New thread predictions. Curious to how the new old rules of the limited ballot affect things here (specifically Dahmer & White Lotus).

    Keeping all of the upcoming Apple shows (except Masters) off for now until a air date confirmation, otherwise these would be even more chaotic.

    Limited Series

    1. The White Lotus (HBO)
    2. Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story (Netflix)
    3. White House Plumbers (HBO)
    4. Masters of the Air (AppleTV+)
    5. Tiny Beautiful Things (Hulu)
    — — — — — — —
    6. Get Millie Back (HBO)
    7. Daisy Jones and the Six (Prime Video)
    8. Black Bird (AppleTV+)
    9. The English (Prime Video)
    10. Griselda (Netflix)

    TV Movie

    1. Weird: The Al Yankovich Story (The Roku Channel)
    2. Community: The Movie (Peacock)
    3. Reno 911: It’s a Wonderful Heist (Comedy Central)
    4-5. I really don’t know

    Lead Actress

    1. Kathryn Hahn – Tiny Beautiful Things
    2. Riley Keough – Daisy Jones and the Six
    3. Emily Blunt – The English
    4. Tamara Lawrance – Get Millie Back
    5. Sofia Vergara – Griselda
    6. Elizabeth Olsen – Love and Death
    — — — — — — —
    7. Aria Mia Loberti – All the Light We Cannot See

    Lead Actor

    1. Evan Peters – Dahmer
    2. Justin Theroux – White House Plumbers
    3. Woody Harrelson – White House Plumbers
    4. Ben Whishaw – This Is Going to Hurt
    5. Joe Dempsie – Get Millie Back
    6. Taron Egerton – Black Bird
    — — — — — — —
    7. Daniel Radcliffe – Weird: The Al Yankovich Story
    8. Sam Clafin – Daisy Jones and The Six
    9. Lois Hofman – All the Light We Cannot See
    10. Chaske Spencer – The English

    Supporting Actor

    1. Will Sharpe – The White Lotus
    2. Richard Jenkins – Dahmer
    3. Paul Walter Hauser – Black Bird
    4. Hugh Laurie – All the Light We Cannot See
    5. Mark Ruffalo – All the Light We Cannot See
    6. Rodney Burford – Dahmer
    7. Gershwyn Eustache Jnr – Get Millie Back
    — — — — — — —
    8. Theo James – The White Lotus
    9. Tom Hollander – The White Lotus
    10. John Carol Lynch – White House Plumbers

    Supporting Actress

    1. Jennifer Coolidge – The White Lotus
    3. Meghann Fahy – The White Lotus
    2. Aubrey Plaza – The White Lotus
    4. Niecey Nash-Betts – Dahmer
    5. Merit Weaver – Tiny Beautiful Things
    6. Lena Headey – White House Plumbers
    7. Clare Danes – Fleishman Is In Trouble
    — — — — — — —
    8. Karen Malina White – Dahmer
    9. Lizzy Caplan – Fleishman Is In Trouble

    Directing

    1. Mike White – The White Lotus
    2. Paris Barclay – Dahmer (“Silenced”)
    3. Shawn Levy – All the Light We Cannot See
    4. Dee Rees – Masters of the Air
    5. Tim Van Patten – Masters of the Air
    6. David Mandel – White House Plumbers
    — — — — — — —
    7. Hugo Blick – The English
    8. Lesli Linka Glatter – Love and Death
    9. Rachel Goldenberg – Tiny Beautiful Things
    10. Michaël R. Roskam – Black Bird (“Pilot”)

    Writing

    1. Mike White – The White Lotus
    2. David McMillian and Janet Mock – Dahmer (“Silence”)
    3. Liz Tigelaar – Tiny Beautiful Things
    4. Hugo Blick – The English
    5. Adam Kay – This Is Going to Hurt
    6. Marlon James – Get Millie Back
    — — — — — — —
    7. Steven Knight – All the Light We Cannot See
    8. Alex Gregory & Peter Huyck – White House Plumbers
    9. Daisy Jones and The Six
    10. Dennis Lehane – Black Bird (“Pilot”)

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    Vicki Leekx
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    #1205203203

    Praying for Emily Blunt, Chaske Spencer and Sabrina Impacciatore here

    FYC:

    Zar Amir Ebrahimi - Holy Spider (Best Actress)
    Ana de Armas, Julianne Nicholson - Blonde (Best Actress, Supporting Actress)
    Samantha Morton - She Said (Best Supporting Actress)
    Kerry Condon - The Banshees of Inisherin (Best Supporting Actress)

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    antony
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    May 13th, 2020
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    #1205203215

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    methaddiction
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    #1205203264

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    liz
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    Sep 29th, 2020
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    #1205203339

    part 2 and we only have two “kinda-locked” tv shows, and we don’t even know if one of these two will be competing in limited 😭

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    liz
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    Sep 29th, 2020
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    #1205203343

    i was looking back at the beginning of this year predictions and everyone was totally off 😭 it’s funny to know that 80% of the people and tv shows that were predicted didn’t make it, it probably will happen again in 2023

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    Deemy
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    #1205203458

    I hope Murray Bartlett gets in for Chippendales.

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    kat_ebbs
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    #1205203601

    i was looking back at the beginning of this year predictions and everyone was totally off it’s funny to know that 80% of the people and tv shows that were predicted didn’t make it, it probably will happen again in 2023

    Purely my opinion but I think people (myself included especially in this category) get too caught up on prestige and names and hopedicting and not what there’s any anticipation for, or what streamers/networks are confident in miles before it’s released.

    Like if I go back to unreleased shows in November last year it’s….Pam and Tommy, Inventing Anna, and Station Eleven in the top 5 most searched limited (as well two shows that happened BTL). Limited series don’t need to be mega-hits but they do need to make some sort of impact and the streamers/networks need to have a degree of confidence in pushing them, especially if they’re not hyper-visible, like Netflix or Sunday-night HBO shows.

    I know for me the tastes of voters are frequently more…tabloid-y than I’d prefer (I was so annoyed about Maid last year) – but they are what they are.

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    Victor
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    Jun 18th, 2020
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    #1205203663

    part 2 and we only have two “kinda-locked” tv shows, and we don’t even know if one of these two will be competing in limited 😭

    Which means that if White Lotus moves to whatever category, Dahmer will be our frontrunner.

    Should we worry?

    Please! These gays, they're trying to murder me!

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    kat_ebbs
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    Jun 10th, 2021
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    #1205203708

    Which means that if White Lotus moves to whatever category, Dahmer will be our frontrunner.

    I don’t know. I think the bottom has dropped out of the audience desire for limited series. There’s some decent contenders but I’m not necessarily convinced too many of them are screaming obvious frontrunner. Brayden’s suggestions are are around the mark. I don’t agree with all of them but it feels a realistic guess on what is likely to gather traction. Something like Black Bird seems likely to be able to hold on to at least acting noms given what’s upcoming I think.

     

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    braydenfitzsimmons
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    #1205203710

    Purely my opinion but I think people (myself included especially in this category) get too caught up on prestige and names and hopedicting and not what there’s any anticipation for, or what streamers/networks are confident in miles before it’s released.

    Like if I go back to unreleased shows in November last year it’s….Pam and Tommy, Inventing Anna, and Station Eleven in the top 5 most searched limited (as well two shows that happened BTL). Limited series don’t need to be mega-hits but they do need to make some sort of impact and the streamers/networks need to have a degree of confidence in pushing them, especially if they’re not hyper-visible, like Netflix or Sunday-night HBO shows.

    I know for me the tastes of voters are frequently more…tabloid-y than I’d prefer (I was so annoyed about Maid last year) – but they are what they are.

    Was going through your IMDb thread and I think these are all of the series that made the pre-release top 50 since October.

    • Accused (FOX)
    • Agatha: Coven of Chaos (Disney+)
    • The Crowded Room (AppleTV+)
    • Daisy Jones and the Six (Prime Video)
    • Disclaimer (AppleTV+)
    • Extrapolations (AppleTV+)
    • Full Circle (HBO Max)
    • Justified: City Primeval (FX)
    • Love and Death (HBO Max)
    • Masters of the Air (AppleTV+)
    • Retreat (FX)
    • Secret Invasion (Disney+)
    • The Sympthazier (HBO)
    • The White House Plumbers (HBO)
    • The Witcher: Blood Origin (Netflix)

    Outside of the Marvel series & Blood Origin (which would obviously have bigger pre-release hype than the typical series) the most that consistently appeared within the top 50 (and 30) in the last two months were;

    • The Crowded Room
    • Daisy Jones
    • Justified
    • Love and Death
    • Masters of the Air
    • White House Plumbers

    Think these six (or five depending on where Justified ends up) could end up as the most viable options for the rest of year.

    Not limited to these five of course, if I recall correctly, The Dropout only appeared on the pre-release top 50 for the first time when its released date was first announced in the beginning of the January 2022 (for a February premiere).

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    kat_ebbs
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    #1205203723

    Think these six (or five depending on where Justified ends up) could end up as the most viable options for the rest of year. Not limited to these five of course, if I recall correctly, The Dropout only appeared on the pre-release top 50 for the first time when its released date was first announced in the beginning of the January 2022 (for a February premiere).

    Yep. It’s not necessarily exhaustive and sometimes shows need a bit of a promo push to get in to the public eye but shows that people are actively tracking (whether it be because of an interest in HBO shows, an actor they’re excited to see do TV, or pre-existing media) always have a leg-up because they’re going to be there on day 1 spreading buzz.

    I also hate to say it but the reason this – and at least a base level of viewership – is important is nearly every online press outlet runs on clicks and views to some extent. If people aren’t interested they either won’t cover it or they’ll just use their press as a way to trojan horse in questions with buzzy actors about other projects. There are a few exceptions the press or critics will champion but not a lot.

     

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    braydenfitzsimmons
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    #1205204166

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