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2023 Emmy Predictions: Limited/Movie Categories (Part 2)

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  • kat_ebbs
    Joined:
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    #1205280332

    They dated Extrapolations and The Last Thing He Told Me as well. There’s also Five Days at Memorial, which I guess should still be considered because limited is a wasteland right now lol.

    The Last Thing He Told Me is intriguing because Garner never struggles for press when she has something out, which will help an Apple show, and very, very rarely does TV.


    jjjmoss
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    wolfali
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    #1205280572

    The Last Thing He Told Me is intriguing because Garner never struggles for press when she has something out, which will help an Apple show, and very, very rarely does TV.

    She’s also an Emmy nominee years back for Alias so they’re could be a prestige comeback type of thing there if it’s good. Julia Roberts having been the one who was originally cast in that role makes things a bit interesting.

    FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.


    Jays
    Joined:
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    #1205280598

    The Last Thing He Told Me is intriguing because Garner never struggles for press when she has something out, which will help an Apple show, and very, very rarely does TV.

    I think Garner is a genuinely underrated actress and that category is beyond empty right now, so I’d be here for it.

    It feels more like a commercial/audience play than it does an awards vehicle, imo, but the book was popular and we’ve seen in the past how the Emmys respond to shows that were hits, even if they were lacking prestige (Inventing Anna lol). She’s definitely top 10 and could be Apple’s main push here since I’m sure they’d prioritize her over Farmiga if The Last Thing He Told Me becomes a hit.


    Reis
    Joined:
    Jun 17th, 2014
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    #1205280728


    liz
    Joined:
    Sep 29th, 2020
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    #1205281462

    I want Masters of Air to get a release date ASAP so i can get Austin Butler at 100/1 LOL

    The Crowded Room (2023)

    Tom Holland for Lead Actor in a Limited Role
    Amanda Seyfried for Lead Actress in a Limited Role
    Emmy Rossum for Supporting Actress in a Limited Role


    Allan Veríssimo
    Joined:
    Feb 22nd, 2019
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    #1205281685

    More than 48 hours after the predictions center opened, these are the most voted by GoldDerby users in each category. Let’s see how this list will change over the months:

    Limited Series

    1. Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story – 542
    2. Black Bird – 541
    3. Fleishman Is in Trouble – 506
    4. White House Plumbers – 485
    5. George and Tammy – 378
    6. Daisy Jones and Six – 358
    7. Extrapolations – 98
    8. Full Circle – 80
    9. Obi-Wan Kenobi – 76
    10. The Patient – 68

    TV Movie

    1. Weird: The Al Yankovic Story – 543
    2. Fire Island – 520
    3. Prey – 520
    4. Hocus Pocus 2 – 342
    5. Jerry and Marge Go Large – 157
    6. Disenchanted – 52
    7. Reno 911: It’s a Wonderful Heist – 44
    8. Somebody I Used to Know – 26
    9. Heart of the Matter – 24
    10. Disney’s Pinocchio – 22

    Movie/Limited Actress

    1. Jessica Chastain (George and Tammy) – 538
    2. Emily Blunt (The English) – 532
    3. Riley Keough (Daisy Jones and the Six) – 474
    4. Lizzy Caplan (Fleishman Is in Trouble) – 421
    5. Vera Farmiga (Five Days at Memorial) – 388
    6. Naomi Watts (The Watcher) – 267
    7. Kathryn Hahn (Tiny Beautiful Things) – 167
    8. Claire Danes (Full Circle) – 166
    9. Uzo Aduba (Painkiller) – 110
    10. Amber Midthunder (Prey) – 57

    Movie/Limited Actor

    1. Evan Peters (Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story) – 547
    2. Taron Egerton (Black Bird) – 543
    3. Daniel Radcliffe (Weird: The Al Yankovic Story) – 492
    4. Woody Harrelson (White House Plumbers) – 453
    5. Michael Shannon (George and Tammy) – 447
    6. Ewan McGregor (Obi-Wan Kenobi) – 191
    7. Jesse Eisenberg (Fleishman is in Trouble) – 165
    8. Steve Carell (The Patient) – 146
    9. Justin Theroux (White House Plumbers) – 103
    10. Ben Whishaw (This is Going to Hurt) – 99

    Movie/Limited Supporting Actress

    1. Niecy Nash-Betts (Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story) – 539
    2. Claire Danes (Fleishman is in Trouble) – 531
    3. Lena Headey (White House Plumbers) – 494
    4. Judy Greer (White House Plumbers) – 412
    5. Cherry Jones (Five Days at Memorial) – 329
    6. Anna Paquin (A Friend of the Family) – 303
    7. Zazie Beetz (Full Circle) – 130
    8. Jennifer Coolidge (The Watcher) – 110
    9. Merritt Wever (Tiny Beautiful Things) – 106
    10. Michael Learned (Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story) – 75

    Movie/Limited Supporting Actor

    1. Paul Walter Hauser (Black Bird) – 530
    2. Richard Jenkins (Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story) – 529
    3. Domhnall Gleeson (The Patient) – 452
    4. Ray Liotta (Black Bird) – 457
    5. Sam Claflin (Daisy Jones and the Six) – 411
    6. Dennis Quaid (Full Circle) – 227
    7. Jharrel Jerome (Full Circle) – 137
    8. Murray Bartlett (Welcome to Chippendales) – 132
    9. Ciaran Hinds (The English) – 113
    10. Bowen Yong (Fire Island) – 54


    wolfali
    Joined:
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    #1205281742

    I always like looking at the predictions centre when it opens and seeing, but of course not entering, what I’d vote for personally in each category at this stage of the year and Allan Verrisimo’s prompt in the drama and comedy threads interested me even more and damn is limited/movie supporting actress looking like a wasteland. There are obviously some people who aren’t in the predictions centre who probably ought to be seeing their co-stars who have even less of a chance than they do are in there (I’m looking at you Harriet Walter and Ambika Mod. But based on what I’ve seen so far this year (a grand total of 6 limited series) I couldn’t even fill out a ballot of 6 from the predictions centre options and two of the people I’d have on my ballot are people I wouldn’t even consider nominating if the field wasn’t so dreadful.

    If this field doesn’t pick up in the Spring goodness knows what voters who probably watch even less television than I do are going to do when it comes to nominations. Someone on here last year said that predicting the field would be like throwing darts at a wall because of how competitive it was but this year making early predictions feels like throwing darts at a wall whilst on a fast moving train.

    FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.


    kat_ebbs
    Joined:
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    #1205281745

    4. Judy Greer (White House Plumbers) – 412

    I always giggle when I see Greer predicted for things because I remember her perpetual Instagram bio.

    `image


    kat_ebbs
    Joined:
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    #1205281764

    If this field doesn’t pick up in the Spring goodness knows what voters who probably watch even less television than I do are going to do when it comes to nominations. Someone on here last year said that predicting the field would be like throwing darts at a wall because of how competitive it was but this year making early predictions feels like throwing darts at a wall whilst on a fast moving train.

    I’ve been looking at the Nielsen ratings the last few days and I actually think what’s happened is how many programs people are watching has contracted, at least in the US.

    I remember when Game of Thrones ended there was a million think-pieces on how we’d never see those numbers again and we’d move away from watercooler TV but I kind of thin internet algorithms/coverage are making the reverse true, at least in the US. There is absolute shade between Murphy’s shows, Obi Wan, and anything else.


    Freeman_DC3
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    Nov 4th, 2022
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    #1205281905

    Lead Actor : Evan Peters – Dahmer
    Lead Actress : Emily Blunt – The English
    Supporting Actor : Paul Walter Hauser – Black Bird
    Supporting Actress : Meryl Streep – Extrapolations


    Jays
    Joined:
    Dec 15th, 2017
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    #1205282009

    I know there aren’t many options here but Chastain leading limited actress and George and Tammy being top 5 is…kind of wild.

    I could easily see her just not happening once we get a few contenders here in the spring. I don’t think anyone actually watched that show and it definitely won’t have buzz around May/June.


    Victor
    Joined:
    Jun 18th, 2020
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    #1205282011

    I know there aren’t many options here but Chastain leading limited actress and George and Tammy being top 5 is…kind of wild.

    Shannon also being top 3 is weird. George & Tammy has no buzz and she got namechecked at SAG, maybe that’s also the case for Blunt but The English and Chaske Spencer aren’t along for the ride in the actual predictions center.

    FYC:
    The HBO darlings everywhere (The Last of Us, Succession, The White Lotus, Perry Mason, White House Plumbers, Love & Death);
    The Apple gang (Bad Sisters, Slow Horses, Shrinking, Ted Lasso, Black Bird);
    Poker Face, The Great, The Bear, Evil (especially Katja Herbers) and The Good Fight.

    Please! These gays, they're trying to murder me!


    Jays
    Joined:
    Dec 15th, 2017
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    #1205282026

    Shannon also being top 3 is weird. George & Tammy has no buzz and she got namechecked at SAG, maybe that’s also the case for Blunt but The English and Chaske Spencer aren’t along for the ride in the actual predictions center.

    I feel like people actually watched The English though. I haven’t seen a single thing about George and Tammy online lol.


    Victor
    Joined:
    Jun 18th, 2020
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    #1205282032

    I feel like people actually watched The English though. I haven’t seen a single thing about George and Tammy online lol.

    Oh I agree
    My point was the disproportionate difference between them in the odds. They only had one guild support, SAG, and only one is like top 5. Even The Patient should be up there if it was based on performance so far.
    But it’s only editors and “experts” voting.

    FYC:
    The HBO darlings everywhere (The Last of Us, Succession, The White Lotus, Perry Mason, White House Plumbers, Love & Death);
    The Apple gang (Bad Sisters, Slow Horses, Shrinking, Ted Lasso, Black Bird);
    Poker Face, The Great, The Bear, Evil (especially Katja Herbers) and The Good Fight.

    Please! These gays, they're trying to murder me!

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