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2023 Emmy Predictions: Limited/Movie Categories (Part 4)

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  • wolfali
    Joined:
    Apr 8th, 2023
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    #1205370671

    If Lena Headey gets nominated for White House Plumbers, could we please get Hannah Waddingham to present her category? I need to see this reunion.

     

    Solidarity with the striking writers. Pay them the wages they are owed for bringing us the content we are all on here because of!


    Postdigger
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    Mar 17th, 2023
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    #1205370858

    I’m confused about the performance of Black bird… it’s one of the most watched limited series this cycle, has universal acclaim from critics and was well received by audiences, has an Emmy win all but secured with a likely lead actor nomination in tow but it seems to be a dud outside acting missing key guilds…It got double nominations at SAG only to miss ensemble, what do we think is the problem?


    Victor
    Joined:
    Jun 18th, 2020
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    #1205370878

    only to miss ensemble

    Ensemble for limited series doesn’t exist.

    He lives in you, he lives in me, he watches over everything we see.
    Into the water, into the truth, in your reflection, he lives in you.


    hopelesstar
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    Mar 10th, 2020
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    #1205370973

    Just watched Tiny Beautiful Things trailer after the praise from critics and Wever plays Hahn’s dead mother in (probably) emotional flashbacks? That could be a winning role…


    wolfali
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    #1205370975

    Black Bird is more or less the type of commercial film star led crime mini-series we get every year that everyone enjoys but doesn’t neccessarily feel overwhelmingly passionate about (outside of say the performances). In most years I’d say it would be easily out based on its guild performance but with how the field in series is looking right now I’ve actually recently just started predicting it for the 5th slot. Will probably drop it if Dead Ringers lands or Tiny Beautiful Things ends up being a hit (I already have both Love & Death and White House Plumbers).

    Solidarity with the striking writers. Pay them the wages they are owed for bringing us the content we are all on here because of!


    Boomerang
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    Mar 18th, 2023
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    #1205370983

    Is Apple TV very popular in the US? There are only around 1.5 million users in the Uk. As such did Blackbird have a big viewing audience?


    ColtonM
    Joined:
    Jan 8th, 2019
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    #1205373037

    Was someone recently removed from the Limited Supporting Actor center? I’m racking my brain on who but I swear someone who was high up is missing.


    wolfali
    Joined:
    Apr 8th, 2023
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    #1205373096

    Limited series ranked by the number of IMDB ratings so far:

    By number of ratings from American users:

    1. Obi-Wan Kenobi – 62k
    2. Dahmer – 33k
    3. Black Bird – 22k
    4. The Watcher – 21k
    5. Cabinet of Curiosities – 12k
    6. The Patient – 11k
    7. Kaleidoscope – 9.5k
    8. The English – 8.7k
    9. The Witcher : Blood Origin – 8.1k
    10. Daisy Jones and the Six – 5.9k

    11. Fleishman is in Trouble – 4.5k
    12. Echoes – 4.4k
    13. From Scratch – 4.4k
    14. Five Days at Memorial – 4.3k
    15. Keep Breathing – 3.7k
    16. Swarm – 3.1k
    17. A Friend of the Family – 2.7k
    17. Welcome to Chippendales – 2.7k
    19. George and Tammy – 2k
    20. Accused – 1.8k

    21. Irma Vep – 1.7k
    21. This is Going to Hurt – 1.7k
    23. Mike – 1.5k
    24. Copenhagen Cowboy – 838
    25. Chloe – 738
    26. Extrapolations – 622
    27. Lost Ollie – 484
    28. A Spy Among Friends – 473
    29. Liaison – 351
    30. Great Expectations- 247

    31. The Lying Life of Adults – 170

    Interestingly whilst The English has the highest number of ratings of the co-productions when it comes to American users on the site, it pales in comparison with British users having only 3.9k votes compared to This is Going to Hurt’s 5.7k. Perhaps this explains why it didn’t fare well with the HFPA in spite of the show’s European leaning but Blunt managed to get the SAG nomination over Lily James.

    Solidarity with the striking writers. Pay them the wages they are owed for bringing us the content we are all on here because of!


    kat_ebbs
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    #1205373122

    Is Apple TV very popular in the US? There are only around 1.5 million users in the Uk. As such did Blackbird have a big viewing audience?

    I have heard 20ish but flatlined in the US (the flatlined might explain Ted Lasso feeling that way), but Apple’s ecosystem generally has lower pickup in Europe (I believe parts of Scandinavia are the exception) so it would stand to reason that Apple TV would proportionate to population too.

     

     

     


    kat_ebbs
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    #1205373124

    Interestingly whilst The English has the highest number of ratings of the co-productions when it comes to American users on the site, it pales in comparison with British users having only 3.9k votes compared to This is Going to Hurt’s 5.7k. Perhaps this explains why it didn’t fare well with the HFPA in spite of the show’s European leaning but Blunt managed to get the SAG nomination over Lily James.

    Yeah, they seem to have paywalled the demo data and gone for US/UK/other countries, which is kind of helpful for picking up the weighting of those co pros.


    kat_ebbs
    Joined:
    Jun 10th, 2021
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    #1205373130

    Also via IMDB from youngest to oldest (by proportionate viewers over 45), and most female to male (25 people predicting the show minimu)

    Youngest to Oldest

    Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story
    Obi-Wan Kenobi
    Cabinet of Curiosities
    Swarm
    Black Bird
    The Patient
    This Is Going To Hurt
    Five Days at Memoral
    Fleishman is In Trouble
    Welcome to Chippendales
    Daisy Jones and The Six
    Extrapolations
    The English
    Great Expectations
    George and Tammy

    Most Female to Most Male

    Daisy Jones and The Six
    George and Tammy
    Fleishman is In Trouble
    Swarm
    This Is Going To Hurt
    Welcome to Chippendales
    The Patient
    Five Days at Memoral
    Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story
    Great Expectations
    The English
    Cabinet of Curiosities
    Black Bird
    Extrapolations
    Obi-Wan Kenobi

     


    PrettyWitch
    Joined:
    Mar 13th, 2023
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    #1205373150

    https://variety.com/lists/2023-emmys-predictions/limited-or-anthology-series/

    Davis switched his winner prediction from  Chastain  to Elizabeth.. she is doomed now right? Lol. By the way last night I binge watched Swarm and  Fishback would be such a deserving  winner, I hope the voters emrbace the show.

     


    kat_ebbs
    Joined:
    Jun 10th, 2021
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    #1205373152

    Davis switched his winner prediction from  Chastain  to Elizabeth.. she is doomed now right? Lol. By the way last night I binge watched Swarm and  Fishback would be such a deserving  winner, I hope the voters emrbace the show.

    I would literally read nothing in to anything any of the commentators say until they start making sense because they’re actively consuming what they’re talking about. I listened to Little Gold Men’s Emmy prediction podcast yesterday and was so frustrated. Everyone is still in Oscars mode, or this season is disinteresting to them.

    This would be fine if it wasn’t April. 


    kat_ebbs
    Joined:
    Jun 10th, 2021
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    #1205373154

    By the way last night I binge watched Swarm and  Fishback would be such a deserving  winner, I hope the voters emrbace the show.

    Fishback is really terrific in Swarm. I’d be so delighted for her to get nominated and I think it would be the sort of nom that would make a big difference for her career.


    EOLB
    Joined:
    Jan 7th, 2023
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    #1205373198

    Yeah, they seem to have paywalled the demo data and gone for US/UK/other countries, which is kind of helpful for picking up the weighting of those co pros.

    If I delete my browser history, I can still see that information sometimes after refreshing the page. It doesn’t always work.

     

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