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Drama Predictions (Part 11)

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    Gabarnes43
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    Drama Series:
    Better Call Saul
    Big Little Lies
    The Crown
    The Handmaids Tale
    The Morning Show
    Ozark
    Stranger Things
    Succession

    – Killing Eve

    Lead Actress in a Drama Series:
    Jennifer Aniston, The Morning Show
    Olivia Colman, The Crown
    Jodie Comer, Killing Eve
    Viola Davis, How to Get Away with Murder
    Laura Linney, Ozark
    Elisabeth Moss, The Handmaids Tale

    – Sandra Oh

    Lead Actor in a Drama Series:
    Sterling K Brown, This is Us
    Jason Bateman, Ozark
    Brian Cox, Succession
    Tobias Menzies, The Crown
    Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul
    Billy Porter, Pose

    – Steve Carell
    hey
    Supporting Actor in a Drama Series:
    Jonathan Banks, Better Call Saul
    Billy Crudup, The Morning Show
    Mark Duplass, The Morning Show
    David Harbour, Stranger Things
    Josh O’Connor, The Crown
    Mandy Patinkin, Homeland
    Tom Pelphrey, Ozark
    Bradley Whitford, The Handmaids Tale

    Supporting Actress in a Drama Series:
    Helena Bonham Carter, The Crown
    Laura Dern, Big Little Lies
    Julia Garner, Ozark
    Janet McTeer, Ozark
    Thandie Newton, Westworld
    Fiona Shaw, Killing Eve
    Yvonne Strahovski, The Handmaids Tale
    Meryl Streep, Big Little Lies

    FYC WINTER TV AWARDS

    Mare of Easttown and The White Lotus in all categories including: Kate Winslet, Jennifer Coolidge and Murray Bartlett

    Ted Lasso in all categories

    The Handmaids Tale in all categories including Series, The Morning Show in categories including Jennifer Aniston and Billy Crudup

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    AMG
    Joined:
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    #1203540046

    What makes this statistic extra important is how the television landscape has not changed at all since 2000 or even in the last five years.

    Of course it’s changed, but it still hasn’t happened in Drama Lead Acting.

    Even in the ‘Golden Age of TV’ and the dominance of HBO, Netflix and Amazon, there’s still always been space for performances from networks.

    Viola Davis and Sterling K Brown are hugely popular, and most likely to repeat nods. The potential opening of the number of nominees will help too.

    Check out more of my thoughts on Twitter (@AMG_Review) and Instagram (amg_reviews)

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    forwardswill
    Joined:
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    Alphabetical.

    SERIES

    • Better Call Saul
    • Big Little Lies
    • The Crown
    • The Morning Show
    • Ozark
    • Stranger Things
    • Succession
    • This is Us

    ACTOR

    • Jason Bateman, Ozark
    • Sterling K. Brown, This is Us
    • Steve Carrell, The Morning Show
    • Brian Cox, Succession
    • Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul
    • Jeremy Strong, Succession

    ACTRESS

    • Jennifer Aniston, The Morning Show
    • Olivia Colman, The Crown
    • Viola Davis, How to Get Away with Murder
    • Laura Linney, Ozark
    • Elisabeth Moss, The Handmaid’s Tale
    • Reese Witherspoon, The Morning Show

    SUPPORTING ACTOR

    • Jonathan Banks, Better Call Saul
    • Billy Crudup, The Morning Show
    • Giancarlo Esposito, Better Call Saul
    • David Harbour, Stranger Things
    • Tom Pelphrey, Ozark
    • Chris Sullivan, This is Us
    • Bradley Whitford, The Handmaid’s Tale
    • Jeffrey Wright, Westworld

    SUPPORTING ACTRESS

    • Helena Bonham Carter, The Crown
    • Laura Dern, Big Little Lies
    • Ann Dowd, The Handmaid’s Tale
    • Julia Garner, Ozark
    • Janet McTeer, Ozark
    • Thandie Newton, Westworld
    • Sarah Snook, Succession
    • Meryl Streep, Big Little Lies

    GUEST ACTOR

    • Jason Bateman, Ozark
    • Charles Dance, The Crown
    • O-T Fagbenle, The Handmaid’s Tale
    • Ron Cephas Jones, This is Us
    • Gerald McRaney, This is Us
    • Andrew Scott, Black Mirror

    GUEST ACTRESS

    • Pamela Adlon, This is Us
    • Alexis Bledel, The Handmaid’s Tale
    • Laverne Cox, Orange is the New Black
    • Phylicia Rashad, This is Us
    • Cicely Tyson, How to Get Away with Murder
    • Harriet Walter, Succession
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    AMG
    Joined:
    Sep 20th, 2012
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    #1203540082

    The lowest number of Lead Dramatic Performances from network television nominated is 2.

    This happened in 2012 – 2016 and again in 2018. There was a five year drought in Actor, but 2 actresses were nominated each time.

    Interestingly though, last year’s 4 nominees was the highest since 2011, when 5 network performers were nominated.

    I agree that 4 is probably the most we will ever have again, but I can’t see it dropping to 0 any time soon – especially when there is a show that will be in contention for a Series nod for another 3 years (including this year).

    Check out more of my thoughts on Twitter (@AMG_Review) and Instagram (amg_reviews)

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    AMG
    Joined:
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    #1203540102

    I could change these five times over, but current predictions in light of the changes:

    Best Drama Series
    Better Call Saul
    The Crown
    The Handmaid’s Tale
    The Morning Show
    Ozark
    Pose
    Succession
    This Is Us

    Best Lead Actor in a Drama Series
    Jason Bateman – Ozark
    Sterling K Brown – This Is Us
    Bob Odenkirk – Better Call Saul
    Billy Porter – Pose
    Jeremy Strong – Succession
    Milo Ventimiglia – This Is Us

    Best Lead Actress in a Drama Series
    Jennifer Aniston – The Morning Show
    Olivia Colman – The Crown
    Jodie Comer – Killing Eve
    Viola Davis – How To Get Away With Murder
    Laura Linney – Ozark
    Elisabeth Moss – The Handmaid’s Tale

    Best Supporting Actor in a Drama Series
    Jonathan Banks – Better Call Saul
    Billy Crudup – The Morning Show
    Kieran Culkin – Succession
    Giancarlo Esposito – Better Call Saul
    David Harbour – Stranger Things
    Delroy Lindo – The Good Fight
    Mandy Patinkin – Homeland
    Bradley Whitford – The Handmaid’s Tale

    Best Supporting Actress in a Drama Series
    Helena Bonham Carter – The Crown
    Ann Dowd – The Handmaid’s Tale
    Julia Garner – Ozark
    Janet McTeer – Ozark
    Thandie Newton – Westworld
    Fiona Shaw – Killing Eve
    Sarah Snook – Succession
    Meryl Streep – Big Little Lies

    Best Guest Performance by an Actor in a Drama Series
    Ron Cephas Jones – This Is Us
    Charles Dance – The Crown
    O-T Fagbenle – The Handmaid’s Tale
    Tim Matheson – This Is Us
    Dean Norris – Better Call Saul
    BD Wong – Mr Robot

    Best Guest Performance by an Actress in a Drama Series
    Alexis Bledel – The Handmaid’s Tale
    Cherry Jones – The Handmaid’s Tale
    Julianna Margulies – Billions
    Jennifer Morrison – This Is Us
    Phylicia Rashad – This Is Us
    Cicely Tyson – How To Get Away With Murder

    Check out more of my thoughts on Twitter (@AMG_Review) and Instagram (amg_reviews)

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    Kay
    Joined:
    Feb 22nd, 2019
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    #1203540152

    I could change these five times over, but current predictions in light of the changes: Best Drama Series Better Call Saul The Crown The Handmaid’s Tale The Morning Show Ozark Pose Succession This Is Us

    Best Supporting Actor in a Drama Series

    Jonathan Banks – Better Call Saul

    Billy Crudup – The Morning Show

    Kieran Culkin – Succession

    Giancarlo Esposito – Better Call Saul

    David Harbour – Stranger Things

    Delroy Lindo – The Good Fight

    Mandy Patinkin – Homeland

    Bradley Whitford – The Handmaid’s Tale 

    Would love to see it but Tom Pelphrey, Chris Sullivan, Josh O’Connor, Ed Harris, Jeffrey Wright and maybe Matthew Macfadyen are likely far ahead.

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    hopelesstar
    Joined:
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    #1203540154

    I have always predicted 8 nominees for Drama Series so that doesn’t change much for me. Regarding lead categories, if performers get the same exact amount of votes, we could still have a 7th nominee, right? Anyways, the new rule makes things more complicated to predict. I’ve been predicting Witherspoon for a while but now I don’t know if she is still in in a field of “locked” 6 nominees.

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    wolfali
    Joined:
    Sep 4th, 2018
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    #1203540186

    UPDATED

    SERIES (Locks : Better Call Saul, The Crown, Ozark and Succession)

    • Better Call Saul
    • Big Little Lies
    • The Crown
    • The Morning Show
    • Ozark
    • Stranger Things
    • Succession
    • This is Us

    9th Place : The Handmaid’s Tale

    ACTOR (Locks: Jason Bateman)

    • Jason Bateman, Ozark
    • Sterling K. Brown, This is Us
    • Brian Cox, Succession
    • Tobias Menzies, The Crown
    • Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul
    • Jeremy Strong, Succession

    7th Place : Billy Porter

    ACTRESS (Locks: Jennifer Aniston, Olivia Colman and Laura Linney)

    • Jennifer Aniston, The Morning Show
    • Olivia Colman, The Crown
    • Nicole Kidman, Big Little Lies
    • Laura Linney, Ozark
    • Elisabeth Moss, The Handmaid’s Tale
    • Reese Witherspoon, The Morning Show

    7th Place : Jodie Comer (it is possible that she actually could have been 7th in nominations last year which is worrying me as to whether she can get nominated)

    SUPPORTING ACTOR (Locks : Jonathan Banks, Billy Crudup, Daid Harbour and Tom Pelphrey)

    • Jonathan Banks, Better Call Saul
    • Billy Crudup, The Morning Show
    • Kieran Culkin, Succession
    • David Harbour, Stranger Things
    • Josh O’Connor, The Crown
    • Tom Pelphrey, Ozark
    • Chris Sullivan, This is Us
    • Bradley Whitford, The Handmaid’s Tale

    9th Place : Jeffrey Wright

    SUPPORTING ACTRESS (Locks: Helena Bonham Carter, Laura Dern, Julia Garner, Janet McTeer and Meryl Streep)

    • Helena Bonham Carter, The Crown
    • Laura Dern, Big Little Lies
    • Ann Dowd, The Handmaid’s Tale
    • Julia Garner, Ozark
    • Janet McTeer, Ozark
    • Thandie Newton, Westworld
    • Sarah Snook, Succession
    • Meryl Streep, Big Little Lies

    9th Place : Gugu Mbatha-Raw

    GUEST ACTOR (Locks : Jason Bateman, Ron Cephas Jones, Charles Dance and Andrew Scott)

    Jason Bateman, Ozark
    Charles Dance, The Crown
    O-T Fagbenle, The Handmaid’s Tale
    Ron Cephas Jones, This is Us
    Gerald McRaney, This is Us
    Andrew Scott, Black Mirror

    7th Place : James Cromwell, Succession

    GUEST ACTRESS (Locks : Alexis Bledel and Cicely Tyson)

    Alexis Bledel, The Handmaid’s Tale
    Cherry Jones, Succession
    Jane Lapotaire, The Crown
    Phylicia Rashad, This is Us
    Cicely Tyson, How to Get Away with Murder
    Harriet Walter, Succession

    7th Place : Pamela Adlon, This is Us

    Oscars FYC:
    "THE POWER OF THE DOG" – IN ALL CATEGORIES
    "SPENCER" – In all categories especially Director (Pablo Larrain) and Actress (Kristen Stewart)
    "SHIVA BABY" – in all categories especially Picture, Adapted Screenplay, Score
    "TOGETHER" – Actress (Sharon Horgan), Actor (James McAvoy), Original Screenplay
    "FLEE" – IN ALL CATEGORIES
    "LAST NIGHT IN SOHO" – Director (Edgar Wright), S. Actress (Anya Taylor-Joy/Diana Rigg), Cinematography, Costume Design and Production Design

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    Kay
    Joined:
    Feb 22nd, 2019
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    #1203540208

    I’m listening to Nicholas Britell’s score for the second season of Succession and… ugh can we just fast forward to September, the part where he gives his acceptance speech? I’m getting impatient!

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    wolfali
    Joined:
    Sep 4th, 2018
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    #1203540216

    This is Us right now after not having Milo submitted into Supporting.

    Oscars FYC:
    "THE POWER OF THE DOG" – IN ALL CATEGORIES
    "SPENCER" – In all categories especially Director (Pablo Larrain) and Actress (Kristen Stewart)
    "SHIVA BABY" – in all categories especially Picture, Adapted Screenplay, Score
    "TOGETHER" – Actress (Sharon Horgan), Actor (James McAvoy), Original Screenplay
    "FLEE" – IN ALL CATEGORIES
    "LAST NIGHT IN SOHO" – Director (Edgar Wright), S. Actress (Anya Taylor-Joy/Diana Rigg), Cinematography, Costume Design and Production Design

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    Ivo Stoyanov
    Joined:
    Jun 3rd, 2015
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    #1203540224

    I have a question, can we have more than 6 nominees in drama lead if we have have results close to ties as before? Or this means that “locked” 6 nominees is the new normal?

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    wolfali
    Joined:
    Sep 4th, 2018
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    #1203540230

    I have a question, can we have more than 6 nominees in drama lead if we have have results close to ties as before? Or this means that “locked” 6 nominees is the new normal?

    I hope it’s the former because otherwise we’re going to have lots of performances miss out this year that could easily have won in another year.

    Oscars FYC:
    "THE POWER OF THE DOG" – IN ALL CATEGORIES
    "SPENCER" – In all categories especially Director (Pablo Larrain) and Actress (Kristen Stewart)
    "SHIVA BABY" – in all categories especially Picture, Adapted Screenplay, Score
    "TOGETHER" – Actress (Sharon Horgan), Actor (James McAvoy), Original Screenplay
    "FLEE" – IN ALL CATEGORIES
    "LAST NIGHT IN SOHO" – Director (Edgar Wright), S. Actress (Anya Taylor-Joy/Diana Rigg), Cinematography, Costume Design and Production Design

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    mafro987
    Joined:
    Jan 23rd, 2014
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    #1203540234

    I have a question, can we have more than 6 nominees in drama lead if we have have results close to ties as before? Or this means that “locked” 6 nominees is the new normal?

    My understanding is that the 2% rule is scrapped. If there is an exact tie, I presume the tied nominees can both get in as I didn’t see anything about scrapping that.

    For Your Consideration:

    Carrie Coon, ‘The Gilded Age’ (no I haven’t seen it, but we have no choice but to stan anyway)

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    AMG
    Joined:
    Sep 20th, 2012
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    #1203540253

    Would love to see it but Tom Pelphrey, Chris Sullivan, Josh O’Connor, Ed Harris, Jeffrey Wright and maybe Matthew Macfadyen are likely far ahead.

    I just think there has to be something similar to last year’s Chris Sullivan level of surprise. Especially if there’s 8 supporting actors. Lindo could benefit from wider love.

    Check out more of my thoughts on Twitter (@AMG_Review) and Instagram (amg_reviews)

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    hopelesstar
    Joined:
    Mar 10th, 2020
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    #1203540261

    A Mark Duplass nomination is not out of the realm of possibility in a field of 8.

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