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Drama Predictions (Part 11)

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    mf617
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    #1203540332

    I put “This Is Us” in my eighth slot, and in all reality, it is probably higher than #8. Maybe I let my own personal feelings about the season cloud my judgment, or I went with the shiny new thing (“The Morning Show”) for my #7 slot, but that is moot now. Honestly, “BLL” might be in the eighth slot (or entirely). I still don’t see “Killing Eve, “Pose” or “Westworld” returning, and I think “Stranger Things” definitely has a solid chance but it is not in my lineup just yet. The only other show I am really considering is “The Outsider,” but I’m all over the place trying to measure the buzz and overall reaction to that show.

    “Better Call Saul”
    “Big Little Lies”
    “The Crown”
    “The Handmaid’s Tale”
    “The Morning Show”
    “Ozark”
    “Succession”
    “This Is Is”

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    wolfali
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    #1203540338

    I wonder who would have been nominated in the Drama categories in 2019 had these rules been in place.

    My thoughts (additional nominees in bold)

    Drama Series

    Exactly the same

    Drama Actress

    • Emilia Clarke
    • Jodie Comer
    • Viola Davis/Robin Wright
    • Laura Linney
    • Mandy Moore
    • Sandra Oh

    Drama Actor

    Exactly the same

    Drama Supporting Actor

    • Alfie Allen
    • Jonathan Banks
    • Nikolaj Coster-Waldau
    • Peter Dinklage
    • Giancarlo Esposito
    • Michael Kelly
    • Peter Mullan
    • Chris Sullivan

    Drama Supporting Actress

    • Gwendoline Christie
    • Julia Garner
    • Lena Headey
    • Susan Kelechi Watson (I think she could surprise à la Sullivan this year)
    • Rhea Seehorn
    • Fiona Shaw
    • Sophie Turner
    • Maisie Williams

    Drama Writing

    • Better Call Saul (“Winner”), Written by Peter Gould and Thomas Schnauz
    • Better Call Saul
    • Bodyguard (“Episode 1”), Written by Jed Mercurio
    • Game of Thrones (“The Iron Throne”), Written by David Benioff and D. B. Weiss
    • The Handmaid’s Tale (“Holly”), Written by Bruce Miller and Kira Snyder
    • Killing Eve (“Nice and Neat”), Written by Emerald Fennell
    • Pose (“Pilot”), Written by Ryan Murphy & Brad Falchuk & Steven Canals
    • Succession (“Nobody Is Ever Missing”), Written by Jesse Armstrong

    Drama Directing

    • Game of Thrones (“The Iron Throne”), Directed by David Benioff and D. B. Weiss
    • Game of Thrones (“The Last of the Starks”), Directed by David Nutter
    • Game of Thrones (“The Long Night”), Directed by Miguel Sapochnik
    • The Handmaid’s Tale (“Holly”), Directed by Daina Reid
    • Killing Eve (“Desperate Times”), Directed by Lisa Brühlmann
    • Ozark (“Reparations”), Directed by Jason Bateman
    • Pose (“Pilot”), Directed by Ryan Murphy
    • Succession (“Celebration”), Directed by Adam McKay

    Drama Guest Actor

    Same

    Drama Guest Actress

    Same

    Oscars FYC:
    "THE POWER OF THE DOG" – IN ALL CATEGORIES
    "SPENCER" – In all categories especially Director (Pablo Larrain) and Actress (Kristen Stewart)
    "SHIVA BABY" – in all categories especially Picture, Adapted Screenplay, Score
    "TOGETHER" – Actress (Sharon Horgan), Actor (James McAvoy), Original Screenplay
    "FLEE" – IN ALL CATEGORIES
    "LAST NIGHT IN SOHO" – Director (Edgar Wright), S. Actress (Anya Taylor-Joy/Diana Rigg), Cinematography, Costume Design and Production Design

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    methaddiction
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    #1203540345

    I think Peter Mullan could’ve gotten in.

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    hopelesstar
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    Mar 10th, 2020
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    #1203540370

    Maybe Hartley would have happened. Susan Kelechi-Waston is a strong bet for #7 or #8 place.

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    wolfali
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    #1203540434

    I think Peter Mullan could’ve gotten in.

    Completely forgot about him! Yes he would have gotten in (over Kieran Culkin).

    Oscars FYC:
    "THE POWER OF THE DOG" – IN ALL CATEGORIES
    "SPENCER" – In all categories especially Director (Pablo Larrain) and Actress (Kristen Stewart)
    "SHIVA BABY" – in all categories especially Picture, Adapted Screenplay, Score
    "TOGETHER" – Actress (Sharon Horgan), Actor (James McAvoy), Original Screenplay
    "FLEE" – IN ALL CATEGORIES
    "LAST NIGHT IN SOHO" – Director (Edgar Wright), S. Actress (Anya Taylor-Joy/Diana Rigg), Cinematography, Costume Design and Production Design

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    Eden
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    Jun 7th, 2016
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    #1203540447

    I think both drama and comedy races have a group of similar shows fighting for the last few spots and I’m curious how their similarity may affect them, so share your thoughts.

    In drama, This Is Us, Big Little Lies and The Morning Show are, in lack of better words, emotional dramas, mostly popular with women. In comedy, three auteur shows are in a good position to earn their first nomination – Better Things, Insecure and Ramy.

    It seems unlikely to have all three shows of similar nature make it. Any thoughts?

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    wolfali
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    #1203540450

    I am quite confident in my predictions for Drama series apart from my slot (which I am juggling between The Handmaid’s Tale and This is Us for). I have a feeling one of them will end up like The Good Wife and just get multiple acting nominations (and possibly an acting win) without getting Series.

    One of them is an acting juggernaut that like the second season of The Good Wife (before it got dropped in Series) got nominated only for Series and got nominated for the same-ish number of acting Emmys whilst the other (like The Good Wife season 3 at SAG which got dropped in Series at the Emmys) got nominated for Ensemble and Actress whilst having its acting support at SAG weaken from the previous year.

    Oscars FYC:
    "THE POWER OF THE DOG" – IN ALL CATEGORIES
    "SPENCER" – In all categories especially Director (Pablo Larrain) and Actress (Kristen Stewart)
    "SHIVA BABY" – in all categories especially Picture, Adapted Screenplay, Score
    "TOGETHER" – Actress (Sharon Horgan), Actor (James McAvoy), Original Screenplay
    "FLEE" – IN ALL CATEGORIES
    "LAST NIGHT IN SOHO" – Director (Edgar Wright), S. Actress (Anya Taylor-Joy/Diana Rigg), Cinematography, Costume Design and Production Design

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    Kay
    Joined:
    Feb 22nd, 2019
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    #1203540452

    This is Us right now after not having Milo submitted into Supporting.

    Can’t they just change it? I mean voting hasn’t begun so…

     

    I just think there has to be something similar to last year’s Chris Sullivan level of surprise. Especially if there’s 8 supporting actors. Lindo could benefit from wider love.

    At least Chris Sullivan was in a Drama Series nominee (for the third year in a row) while The Good Fight has received a total of two nominations (for Music & Lyrics and Main Title). If you’re looking for a bit of a surprise, Matthew Macfadyen, Ben Daniels, Luke Hemsworth, Kim Bodnia and maybe even Mark Duplasss are right there!!

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    Dan Backslide
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    Apr 24th, 2016
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    #1203540455

    Maybe Hartley would have happened. Susan Kelechi-Waston is a strong bet for #7 or #8 place.

    On the topic of supporting actress, the idea that Rhea Seehorn likely would’ve made it last year under these rules makes me very pissed.

    I don’t dislike Sophie Turner, but her nomination last year is possibly my least favorite acting nod of all time.

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    wolfali
    Joined:
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    #1203540458

    At least Chris Sullivan was in a Drama Series nominee (for the third year in a row) while The Good Fight has received a total of two nominations (for Music & Lyrics and Main Title). If you’re looking for a bit of a surprise, Matthew Macfadyen, Ben Daniels, Luke Hemsworth, Kim Bodnia and maybe even Mark Duplasss are right there!!

    Ben Daniels hasn’t even been submitted (but I agree Jason Watkins could be the surprise). And you’ve misspelt Kieran Culkin.

    As for Hemsworth and Bodnia…

    Oscars FYC:
    "THE POWER OF THE DOG" – IN ALL CATEGORIES
    "SPENCER" – In all categories especially Director (Pablo Larrain) and Actress (Kristen Stewart)
    "SHIVA BABY" – in all categories especially Picture, Adapted Screenplay, Score
    "TOGETHER" – Actress (Sharon Horgan), Actor (James McAvoy), Original Screenplay
    "FLEE" – IN ALL CATEGORIES
    "LAST NIGHT IN SOHO" – Director (Edgar Wright), S. Actress (Anya Taylor-Joy/Diana Rigg), Cinematography, Costume Design and Production Design

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    Hoster1
    Joined:
    Aug 8th, 2016
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    #1203540466

    Luke Hemsworth for what?

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    hopelesstar
    Joined:
    Mar 10th, 2020
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    #1203540468

    Mark Duplasss

    Him and Gugu Mbatha-Raw are spoilers to get in now if TMS really hits with actors, as many of us have been predicting.

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    methaddiction
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    Aug 1st, 2017
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    #1203540470

    Wright and Harris would get in way before Hemsworth and Westworld wouldn’t get three Supporting Actors nominated.

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    wolfali
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    Sep 4th, 2018
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    #1203540483

    Wright and Harris would get in way before Hemsworth and Westworld wouldn’t get three Supporting Actors nominated.

    I don’t think it can even get two. I’m starting to think the only shows that can get two supporting actors nominated here are The Crown, The Morning Show and Better Call Saul.

    Oscars FYC:
    "THE POWER OF THE DOG" – IN ALL CATEGORIES
    "SPENCER" – In all categories especially Director (Pablo Larrain) and Actress (Kristen Stewart)
    "SHIVA BABY" – in all categories especially Picture, Adapted Screenplay, Score
    "TOGETHER" – Actress (Sharon Horgan), Actor (James McAvoy), Original Screenplay
    "FLEE" – IN ALL CATEGORIES
    "LAST NIGHT IN SOHO" – Director (Edgar Wright), S. Actress (Anya Taylor-Joy/Diana Rigg), Cinematography, Costume Design and Production Design

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    methaddiction
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    Aug 1st, 2017
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    #1203540489

    Yeah I’m not betting on any of them getting in Wright could though because he’s never missed.

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