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Emmys 2022 Predictions: Drama Categories (Part 17)

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    kat_ebbs
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    #1204963828

    Collider reports via the Licencing Expo that Wednesday will be out in the fall. Logically, I’d guess it’s their Halloween release (good for Ricci to have two shows in quick succession next year even if she can’t sneak in this year, and helpful to probably be doing early promo for that if she does get through)

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    Manav
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    #1204963832

    Genuine question – can you deservingly overperform? Like, is the idea of overperforming in the context of these boards that (a) the show is doing better than the quality warrants or (b) the show is doing better than experts and/or GD predicted?

    It’s usually (b) but sometimes it can also be (a). Case in point, last year’s Emmys. The Handmaid’s Tale getting that buckload of acting nominations was more of (b) while Hamilton getting so many acting nominations was more of (a) along with (b).

    ~Not much active now due to a higher studies course
    ~still love watching films and television shows
    ~Everything Everywhere All At Once in all categories.
    ~Currently watching Abbott Elementary

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    alittle03
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    #1204963834

    After watching that roundtable pretty confident Hoyeon is winning. Actors seem to adore her.

    I have her winning over Garner and Snook at the moment; seems like the industry is included in the droves of people who watched Squid Game and the SAG win seems to be evident of that. As long as Jung doesn’t get randomly snubbed, I think she’s winning.

    • FYC: Everything Everywhere All at Once in any and every single category, especially Best Picture, Michelle Yeoh in Actress, Stephanie Hsu in Supporting Actress, The Daniels in Director/Screenplay, Paul Rogers in Editing, and Son Lux in Score.

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    Manav
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    #1204963846

    I have her winning over Garner and Snook at the moment; seems like the industry is included in the droves of people who watched Squid Game and the SAG win seems to be evident of that. As long as Jung doesn’t get randomly snubbed, I think she’s winning.

    I think it was JV (not sure) who pointed out that an actor who’s won an individual Drama SAG for a Supporting performance has never lost the Emmy. That coupled with the fact that she won for a non-English performance after being completely unknown in the United States presents a really compelling case for an Emmy victory.

    ~Not much active now due to a higher studies course
    ~still love watching films and television shows
    ~Everything Everywhere All At Once in all categories.
    ~Currently watching Abbott Elementary

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    jjjmoss
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    #1204963906

    i am wary of the voters’ history of never not being racist against east asians, but we shall see.

    at least there’s no risk of a caucasian co-star pulling an awful heigl or awful comer on her.

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    jjjmoss
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    #1204963908

    Weird parallel among the three best drama series this season (in my opinion: Succesion, Better Call Saul, Severance). Strong openings, middle episodes that potentially underwhelm but not enough for anyone to really doubt the series quality, then finales that absolutely blow the roof off the house. Having a hard time thinking of better episodes this season than All the Bells Say, Plan and Execution, and The We We Are. Of course theyre all competing against eachother.

    imdb rankings:

    succession finale>8>3>5>7/1>2>4>6

    saul finale>3>2>1>4>6>5

    severance finale>7/8>4>1>2/6>3/5

    people don’t seem to love the premieres all that much, but they do love the finales the most.

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    estrelas
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    #1204963919

    i am wary of the voters’ history of never not being racist against east asians, but we shall see. at least there’s no risk of a caucasian co-star pulling an awful heigl or awful comer on her.

    Both Comer and Heigl highly deserved their wins. It’s not their fault Sandra never managed to win for those shows. Her never winning an Emmy for Grey’s Anatomy is one of the biggest robberies ever but Heigl win was very much deserved.

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    jjjmoss
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    #1204963941

    no they didn’t invent systemic racism.

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    estrelas
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    #1204963949

    no they didn’t invent systemic racism.

    I had no idea…

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    kat_ebbs
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    #1204963953

    no they didn’t invent systemic racism.

    it isn’t binary. Everything is not about wins. Heigl never got another Emmy nomination. Oh is in double figures.

    This also doesn’t deny the fact that systemic racism is very much alive and well and/or hasn’t deeply affected Oh at times (Heigl’s win has aged poorly because of Heigl’s future career, but made a lot of sense in context of that season’s performance and her being in a massive rom com hit during voting).

    jjjmoss, I actually think your callouts are really valid, but can you be a bit more straightforward with them and stop with the passive aggressiveness against other nominees? You have such solid, valid things to say, but you’re just going to antagonise people if you phrase things the way you do. you’re making your points less effective IMHO.

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    kat_ebbs
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    #1204963964

    If you had to chose one person in this category who is too low in the current odds, who would it be?

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    probablyROB
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    #1204963993

    I only watched 2 seasons of Killing Eve. I tried to watch the third season but it was pretty much immediately unwatchable and a different show. Season 2 pretty much crap in comparison to the first season too. But Comer was definitely the star of those first two seasons and acted circles around most of the competition, including her co-star. None of that is a slight on anyone else. But putting down Comer’s performance says a lot about how undiscerning the person saying it is. Maybe you didn’t love her performance but calling it awful is objectively wrong.

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    hopelesstar
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    #1204963999

    This Is Us had it’s highest ratings in the last three seasons for the finale: https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/tv/tv-news/tv-ratings-tuesday-may-24-2022-1235154007/ Good to see a trend of behavior of dropping back in even if you aren’t caught up. I can imagine a lot of voters probably just watching the last few episodes given the buzz if they’ve just caught up.

    ”Beyond TV ratings, the finale also generated 1.5 million social media interactions across platforms including Twitter and Instagram, the most of any scripted series finale of the season, NBC added.”

    NBC throwing shades at Ozark and Killing Eve lol

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    Manav
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    #1204964003

    If you had to chose one person in this category who is too low in the current odds, who would it be?

    Since I’m not sure which category you’re specifying, so:

    Drama Actress: Britt Lower, Severance (18th in the odds)

    Drama Supporting Actress: Regina Hall, Nine Perfect Strangers (44th in the odds) and Melissa McCarthy, Nine Perfect Strangers (43rd in the odds)

    ~Not much active now due to a higher studies course
    ~still love watching films and television shows
    ~Everything Everywhere All At Once in all categories.
    ~Currently watching Abbott Elementary

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    probablyROB
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    #1204964007

    Nine Perfect Strangers was so bad though. I wanted to like it but it just never happened.

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