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Emmys 2022 Predictions: Movie/Limited Categories (Part 10)

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    puck05
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    Sep 21st, 2019
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    #1204926830

    It will probably be decently received but as said before I’m just wary of whether people are really going to check ANOTHER grim true crime series in such quick succession. Unless you’re a TV lover like most of us on this forum are or a true crime aficionado, are you really going to watch all three of it, Under the Banner of Heaven and The Dropout around the same time?

    This is why I’m confident in Conversations With Friends since it’s different from majority of the contenders. I’m sure there are many voters who would prefer to watch a show about young people in love rather than another by the book true crime series.

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    wolfali
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    #1204927028

    Inventing Anna was still the 4th most watched original series on the Nielsen charts 40 days after it premiered on February 11th.

    Nielsen streaming top 10 for original series (week of March 21st to March 27th):

    1. Bridgerton (Netflix) – 2.5 billion minutes viewed
    2. Is It Cake? (Netflix) – 1.2 billion minutes viewed
    3. The Last Kingdom (Netflix) – 976 million minutes viewed
    4. Inventing Anna (Netflix) – 558 million minutes viewed
    5. Bad Vegan: Fame.Fraud.Fugitives. (Netflix) – 429 milllion minutes viewed
    6. Pieces Of Her (Netflix) – 365 million minutes viewed
    7. Ozark (Netflix) – 312 million minutes viewed
    8. The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel (Amazon Prime) – 285 million minutes viewed
    9. Human Resources (2022) (Netflix) –– 270 million minutes viewed
    10. Love Is Blind (Netflix) – 248 million minutes viewed

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    Manav
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    Dec 21st, 2019
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    #1204927030

    I firmly think Julia Garner is getting nominated. The category is kind of open and her visibility might really help on an unlimited ballot. The Accent alone will add votes.

    ~Not much active now due to a higher studies course
    ~still love watching films and television shows
    ~Everything Everywhere All At Once in all categories.
    ~Currently watching Abbott Elementary

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    Brazzy
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    Sep 8th, 2020
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    #1204927102

    Julia Roberts is getting some real RAVES for Gaslit. She better happen in that barren field.

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    Manav
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    #1204927113

    Julia Roberts is getting some real RAVES for Gaslit. She better happen in that barren field.

    Visibility issues.

    ~Not much active now due to a higher studies course
    ~still love watching films and television shows
    ~Everything Everywhere All At Once in all categories.
    ~Currently watching Abbott Elementary

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    ejaru1810
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    Sep 10th, 2021
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    #1204927118

    Inventing Anna was still the 4th most watched original series on the Nielsen charts 40 days after it premiered on February 11th.

    Nielsen streaming top 10 for original series (week of March 21st to March 27th):

    1. Bridgerton (Netflix) – 2.5 billion minutes viewed
    2. Is It Cake? (Netflix) – 1.2 billion minutes viewed
    3. The Last Kingdom (Netflix) – 976 million minutes viewed
    4. Inventing Anna (Netflix) – 558 million minutes viewed
    5. Bad Vegan: Fame.Fraud.Fugitives. (Netflix) – 429 milllion minutes viewed
    6. Pieces Of Her (Netflix) – 365 million minutes viewed
    7. Ozark (Netflix) – 312 million minutes viewed
    8. The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel (Amazon Prime) – 285 million minutes viewed
    9. Human Resources (2022) (Netflix) –– 270 million minutes viewed
    10. Love Is Blind (Netflix) – 248 million minutes viewed

    The fact Maisel is the only not-Netflix show, and the only Comedy contender at the Emmys, proves the show is still loved

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    mf617
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    #1204927142

    I’m quite tempted to slot in Anne Hathaway. While the show itself doesn’t seem to have a lot of buzz and Apple’s priorities will be elsewhere (although this is probably their big Limited play regardless), whatever noise there is surrounding the show is focused on Hathaway’s performance. The passion is there. It doesn’t hurt that she’s a big movie star and she is campaigning. Because the show as a whole is probably weak and she would likely be it’s only nomination (maybe a tech category here or there aside), it is an uphill battle but given the number of contenders that have fallen in recent weeks or have a lot working against them, it is certainly not out of the realm of possibility, especially in the Limited categories that are a bit more prone to defaulting to big names in smaller contenders than the Comedy and Drama races.

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    Couverture
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    #1204927441

    The timing lol

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    24Kgirl
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    Feb 3rd, 2022
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    #1204927728

    The Offer debuts with a 66 on Metacritic. Some very negative reactions (indiewire, slash, ign). Gaslit is now at 75 and with more than a dozen reviews added, will probably stay in this mid-70s range. The Staircase trailer served campy messiness and I am kinda interested now. Still don’t see this going anywhere at the Emmys outside of acting.

    The Offer down to 56 on MC.  Geesh, that’s almost First Lady levels.  Curious I looked at a few reviews and they all seem to say it’s too long and should have just been a movie (the meeting that could have been an email).

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    a spoonful of sugar
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    Jun 1st, 2012
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    #1204927788

    The Offer down to 56 on MC. Geesh, that’s almost First Lady levels. Curious I looked at a few reviews and they all seem to say it’s too long and should have just been a movie (the meeting that could have been an email).

    Barry Levinson must be thrilled.

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    wolfali
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    #1204927850

    I’m quite tempted to slot in Anne Hathaway. While the show itself doesn’t seem to have a lot of buzz and Apple’s priorities will be elsewhere (although this is probably their big Limited play regardless), whatever noise there is surrounding the show is focused on Hathaway’s performance. The passion is there. It doesn’t hurt that she’s a big movie star and she is campaigning.

    I think what helps someone like Anne Hathaway is that after the reception some of these limited series have received, it’s quite possible she doesn’t even need many votes to get into a field as fractured as this one in the first place. Pretty much everyone who has seen WeCrashed has been raving about her performance and whilst the show doesn’t really feel like a contender anywhere else above the line, it does seem to beogenerating enough chatter to suggest there are eyeballs in it. In a field where (after Margaret Qualley and Amanda Seyfried) a performer from a winter series who missed SAG and performers in series with poor critical reception can still be firm contenders, Hathaway’s small yet very passionate base could be enough to propel to her a nomination.

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    wolfali
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    #1204927875

    Joyce mentions in this week’s Emmy Experts Typing that Apple has sent out screeners for The Essex Serpent and she has seen two episodes.

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    kamila
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    Dec 6th, 2021
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    #1204927908

    Yes the logic for predicting Hathaway also justifies why Roberts doesn’t have as strong of a case despite being tempting. They both have names and are reemerging on the scene, but Hathaway has more eyes on the show and has been away even longer. And she’s getting the same shine Gaga got for absorbing all the critical praise that Leto repels.

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    Victor
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    Jun 18th, 2020
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    #1204927912

    A Very British Scandal is not getting good reviews in the US, down to 70 on MC, while A Very English Scandal has a 84.

    FYC:

    All things Succession, Severance, Ted Lasso, The Great and The White Lotus! Also, Colin Firth and Janelle James while you're at it.

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    wolfali
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    #1204927931

    Yes the logic for predicting Hathaway also justifies why Roberts doesn’t have as strong of a case despite being tempting. They both have names and are reemerging on the scene, but Hathaway has more eyes on the show and has been away even longer. And she’s getting the same shine Gaga got for absorbing all the critical praise that Leto repels.

    The problem I think Julia Roberts really faces is whether anyone is actually going to check her show out. It being on Starz is one thing but it being NINE episodes long and only premiering its season premiere this Sunday with the rest airing over eight weeks long is another thing. Hardly any of these shows (in any of the comedy, drama and limited fields) are going to be seen on a week by week basis and the amount of shows voters have to binge is almost like a television equivalent to the Eiffel Tower. This month alone buzzy new series starring Academy Award winners and helmed by respected industry names like Severance and Pachinko have been made/will be available to binge alongside comedies like Abbott Elementary, the Emmy winning Russian Doll and Our Flag Means Death and limited series starring Academy Award and Emmy winners like The Dropout, A Very British Scandal and Our Flag Means Death. Next month shows like The Flight AttendantJulia, Winning Time and The Girl From Plainville will have concluded their runs and be available to binge and Gaslit will be running in direct competition with HBO titans Barry and Hacks as well as a show like Under the Banner of Heaven (which has more pre-hype and is on a broadcaster who has a stronger Emmy track record).

    By the time Gaslit concludes its run voting will only be four days away and I just don’t know how a voter will be able to find Starz’s on demand service and watch all nine episodes before then. If it were a field like last year’s I’d consider her more actively but I just find it difficult to see anyone having the time for it with such an over-loaded two months of television ahead. Sure it’s a baity role and Roberts is a big name who will probably end up on Variety and The Hollywood Reporter’s roundtables but it’s not like the other contenders in this category don’t have baity roles or are familiar faces to the television academy and Roberts has already missed in the past for a drama on a much bigger streaming service that had just won the Comedy Series Emmy the same season it debuted.

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