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Over 3,000 people have made their picks in our Gold Derby predictions center. That includes the public, experts, editors, Top 24 from last year and more.
Here is a link to the most recent odds and picks for all 23 Primetime categories:
https://www.goldderby.com/article/2020/emmy-predictions-odds-categories-schitts-creek/
You’ve got until Sunday at 4:00 PT to change your picks or make them for the first time.
What are your final predictions? Which ones are giving you the most trouble??
ReplyLead Performances in Drama. A Succession split is possible in Actor, and Actress as four possibilities for me.
ReplyCopy URLFYC Oscars: Licorice Pizza (Best Picture, Best Director, Original Screenplay), The Mitchells vs The Machines (Best Picture, Animated Feature, Original Screenplay), Wes Anderson (Best Director), Denzel Washington (The Tragedy of MacBeth), Andrew Garfield and Robin de Jesus (Tick, Tick...BOOM!), Jayne Houdyshell (The Humans), Stephen Karam (Adapted Screenplay), Attica and Summer of Soul (Best Documentary)
FYC Razzies: Dear Evan Hansen (in all eligible categories)
Drama & Comedy Directing:
With Succession winning casting and editing, I did switch to it in directing, but we just saw last year the drama series winner win casting and editing, only to lose directing in a vote-split to Ozark. Why would history not repeat itself? There is a reason why I was predicting series and casting for Succession and directing for Ozark. The odds ignored the vote-splits that materialized in the category the last two years and this is the first time in that stretch that I am too. I had editing for Ozark too, but acknowledged that it could lose through vote-splitting. Hopefully we see unexpected strength for Ozark (cinematography and sound) or Succession (guest) tomorrow. I also have issues with the Succession directing on merit and showiness, but I suppose that Ozark just won.
I have Ramy in directing, but it is so hard to justify with Ramy not making a series field of eight and with Schitt’s Creek being the series winner. Freaking David Lynch for series/casting-snubbed Twin Peaks did not really come close to winning over the relevant series winner in directing a couple of years ago. But the directors have clearly gone in a different direction this year by acknowledging both Ramy and The Great, plus Modern Family. Maybe this just a slam dunk for Schitt’s Creek, since they had to go so far down the line to find nominees?
But I do not see how it can be a slam dunk when directors clearly has enough standards that they are yet to award Last Week Tonight, even though it is so far ahead of all other variety shows in a general sense, even Saturday Night Live. So they do sidestep their favourites if there is just nothing there directorially. The other thing is that it is basically only Ramy and Schitt’s Creek that I am considering. I question passion for The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel among directors, seeing as how it has lost DGA three times now and only won the Emmy when Atlanta was vote-splitting. Then again, the Creative Arts showed us repeatedly that the Emmys are very capable this year of defaulting to things after having moved on from them.
ReplyCopy URLI’m going with:
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Succession, Schitts Creek
Strong (whom I adore and maybe it’s wishful thinking), Linney, Garner (whom I love), and Crudup (who’s the best thing about this show), and Succession twice, even though I have a feeling about that Fire Pink episode.
O’Hara, Eugene Levy, Tony Shalhoub, and my personal I-don’t-care-if-she-loses-I’m-predicting-her Annie for acting; then, Maisel for directing and Schitts Creek for writing. I don’t buy Schitts Creek in directing. Fleabag had a very distinctive style. This one feels like if it was captured by accident. Visually it’s kinda bland.
For limited: Watchmen all around, with Aduba supporting actress. I’m torn in supporting actor. Gossett, Jr. is your typical Emmy winner in the category but that actor playing him as a young man just feels right.
And same as with Annie, I’m sticking with Mescal.Aduba or Smart and Snook or HBC those are the two that are bugging me the most now I’ve thought about it again.
HBC leading both the audience and critics metacrtic polls is significant (funny how Olivia Colman led over Laura Linney in the audience one).
ReplyCopy URLSolidarity with the striking writers. Pay them the wages they are owed for bringing us the content we are all on here because of!
I’m convinced people are voting for Olivia because they like her as a person if we’re going off performance she shouldn’t be leading any poll.
This is true although just to say I vaguely remember you saying when The Crown came out on the season 3 thread that Olivia already deserves to win the Emmy after 3 episodes…
ReplyCopy URLSolidarity with the striking writers. Pay them the wages they are owed for bringing us the content we are all on here because of!
I have Succession, Schitt’s Creek and Watchmen winning both directing and writing. But I’m not confident about it. I think this has never happened before or, at least, it didn’t happen in the most recent years. Writing is locked for the three shows, but I have no idea which show(s) would lose directing. Should I change Schitt’s Creek in directing to The Great or Ramy? Let’s not forget the last time a series won in directing without a series nominations was back in 2008.
I’ve switched from Helena Bonham Carter to Julia Garner in supporting actress. The reason that I did it is a little bit obvious: I’m predicting Linney to win, Garner is the defending champion, so why she wouldn’t win? However, I think we might have a surprise in this category (I wouldn’t underestimate Carter, Fiona Shaw and
Rhea SeehornSarah Snook).Also, I’m not sure about lead actor in a comedy.
ReplyCopy URLOutstanding Comedy Series
Schitt’s Creek (Pop TV)Outstanding Drama Series
Succession (HBO)Outstanding Limited Series
Watchmen (HBO)Outstanding Variety Talk Series
Last Week Tonight With John Oliver (HBO)Outstanding Competition Program
RuPaul’s Drag Race (VH1)Outstanding Lead Actor In A Comedy Series
Eugene Levy as Johnny Rose, Schitt’s Creek (Pop TV)Outstanding Lead Actor In A Drama Series
Jeremy Strong as Kendall Roy, Succession (HBO)Outstanding Lead Actor In A Limited Series Or A Movie
Paul Mescal as Connell, Normal People (Hulu)Outstanding Lead Actress In A Comedy Series
Catherine O’Hara as Moira Rose, Schitt’s Creek (Pop TV)Outstanding Lead Actress In A Drama Series
Laura Linney as Wendy Byrde, Ozark (Netflix)Outstanding Lead Actress In A Limited Series Or A Movie
Regina King as Angela Abar / Sister Night, Watchmen (HBO)Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Comedy Series
Daniel Levy as David Rose, Schitt’s Creek (Pop TV)Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Drama Series
Billy Crudup as Cory Ellison, The Morning Show (Apple TV+)Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Limited Series Or A Movie
Yahya Abdul-Mateen II as Cal Abar / Dr. Manhattan, Watchmen (HBO)Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Comedy Series
Annie Murphy as Alexis Rose, Schitt’s Creek (Pop TV)Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Drama Series
Sarah Snook as Shiv Roy, Succession (HBO)Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Limited Series Or A Movie
Jean Smart as Agent Laurie Blake, Watchmen (HBO)Outstanding Directing For A Comedy Series
Andrew Cividino & Daniel Levy, Schitt’s Creek (Pop TV) [“Happy Ending”]Outstanding Directing For A Drama Series
Mark Mylod, Succession (HBO) [“This Is Not For Tears”]Outstanding Directing For A Limited Series, Movie, Or A Dramatic Special
Stephen Williams, Watchmen (HBO) [“This Extraordinary Being”]Outstanding Writing For A Comedy Series
Daniel Levy, Schitt’s Creek (Pop TV) [“Happy Ending”]Outstanding Writing For A Drama Series
Jesse Armstrong, Succession (HBO) [“This Is Not For Tears”]Outstanding Writing For A Limited Series, Movie, Or A Dramatic Special
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Damon Lindelof & Cord Jefferson, Watchmen (HBO) [“This Extraordinary Being”]
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