Golden Globes 2023 – TV Predictions

[braydenfitzsimmons Joined: May 3rd, 2015 Topics: 97 Posts: 8658 View Predictions]

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Pre-Emmy predictions

SERIES, DRAMA

1. The Bear (FX)
2. The Boys (Prime Video)
3. The Crown (Netflix)
4. Severance (AppleTV+)
5. Better Call Saul (AMC)
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6. House of the Dragon (HBO)
7. Ozark (Netflix)
8. The Idol (HBO)
9. The Good Fight (Paramount+)
10. The Handmaid’s Tale (Hulu)

LEAD ACTOR, DRAMA

1. Antony Starr, The Boys
2. Jeremy Allen White, The Bear
3. Adam Scott, Severance
4. Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul
5. Dominic West, The Crown
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6. Jason Bateman, Ozark
7. Jeff Bridges, The Old Man
8. Jonathan Bailey, Bridgerton
9. Jon Bernthal, American Giglio
10. Jabari Banks, Bel-Air

LEAD ACTRESS, DRAMA

1. Elizabeth Debicki, The Crown
2. Imelda Staunton, The Crown
3. Christine Baranski, The Good Fight
4. Elisabeth Moss, The Handmaid’s Tale
5. Britt Lower, Severance
———————————————————————————————
6. Zendaya, Euphoria
7. Laura Linney, Ozark
8. Catriona Balfe, Outlander
9. Mandy Moore, This Is Us
10. Simone Ashley, Bridgerton

SERIES, COMEDY or MUSICAL

1. Abbott Elementary (ABC)
2. Barry (HBO)
3. Only Murders in the Building (Hulu)
4. Wednesday (Netflix)
5. What We Do in the Shadows (FX)
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6. Hacks (HBO Max)
7. Blockbuster (Netflix)
8. Rap Shit (HBO Max)
9. Ramy (Hulu)
10. A League of Their Own (Prime Video)

LEAD ACTOR, COMEDY

1. Bill Hader, Barry
2. Steve Martin, Only Murders in the Building
3. Martin Short, Only Murders in the Building
4. Randall Park, Blockbuster
5. Ramy Youssef, Ramy———————————————————————————————
6. Matt Berry, What We Do in the Shadows
7. Kayvan Novak, What We Do in the Shadows
8. Mohammed Amer, Mo
9. Chris Estrada, This Fool

SERIES, COMEDY/MUSICAL

1. Quinta Brunson, Abbott Elementary
2. Jenna Ortega, Wednesday
3. Jean Smart, Hacks
4. Selena Gomez, Only Murders in the Building
5. Aida Osman, Rap Sh!t
–
6. Hannah Einbinder, Hacks
7. Rachel Brosnahan, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
8. Kaley Cuoco, The Flight Attendant
9. Natasia Demetriou, What We Do in the Shadows
10. Melissa Fumero, Blockbuster

LIMITED SERIES or MOVIE

1. Pam & Tommy (Hulu)
2. The Dropout (Hulu)
4. The White Lotus: Sicily (HBO)
5. The English (Prime Video)
5. Station Eleven (HBO Max)
———————————————————————————————
6. Welcome to Chippendales (Hulu)
7. Black Bird (AppleTV+)
8. This Is Going to Hurt (AMC)
9. Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story (Netflix)
10. Painkiller (Netflix)

LEAD ACTOR, LIMITED SERIES

1. Sebastian Stan, Pam & Tommy
2. Taron Edgerton, Black Bird
3. Evan Peters, Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story
4. Himesh Patel, Station Eleven
5. Ben Whishaw, This Is Going to Hurt
———————————————————————————————
6. Kumail Nanjanji, Welcome to Chippendales
7. Andrew Garfield, Under the Banner of Heaven
8. Daniel Radcliffe, Weird: The Al Yankovic Story
9. Matthew Broderick, Painkiller
10. Colin Firth, The Staircase

LEAD ACTRESS, LIMITED

1. Lily James, Pam & Tommy
2. Amanda Seyfried, The Dropout
3. Emily Blunt, The English
4. Niecey Nash, Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story
5. Sofia Vergara, Griselda
———————————————————————————————
6. Vera Farmiga, Five Days at Memorial
7. Uzo Aduba, Painkiller
8. Evan Rachel Wood, Weird: The Al Yankovic Story
9. Alicia Vikander, Irma Vep
10. Mackenzie Davis, Station Eleven

SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Naveen Andrews, The Dropout
2. Will Sharpe, The White Lotus: Sicily
3. Paul Walter Houser, Black Bird
4. Murray Bartlett, Welcome to Chippendales
5. Emma D’arcy, House of the Dragon*
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6. Seth Rogen, The Dropout
7. Henry Winkler, Barry
8. Matt Smith, House of the Dragon
9. Tom Hollander, The White Lotus: Sicily
10. Troye Sivan, The Idol

SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Aubrey Plaza, The White Lotus: Sicily
2. Ayo Edebiri, The Bear
3. Janelle James, Abbott Elementary
4. Anne Heche, The Idol
5. Emma D‘arcy, House of the Dragon*
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6. Catherine Zeta-Jones, Wednesday
7. Jennifer Coolidge, The White Lotus: Sicily
8. Julia Garner, Ozark
9. Alex Borstein, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
10. Cherry Jones, Five Days at Memorial

* not sure where to place D’arcy, they are non-binary so have them in both supporting categories until confirmation.

[kat_ebbs Joined: Jun 10th, 2021 Topics: 29 Posts: 8388 View Predictions]

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Do we have confirmation The Bear will go to drama?

[alittle03 Joined: Sep 16th, 2020 Topics: 7 Posts: 2271 View Predictions]

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Yeah, wouldn’t it go under comedy, as per the episode lengths? I’m not sure how it works, so I’d love clarity on this.

[kat_ebbs Joined: Jun 10th, 2021 Topics: 29 Posts: 8388 View Predictions]

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alittle03 wrote:

Yeah, wouldn’t it go under comedy, as per the episode lengths? I’m not sure how it works, so I’d love clarity on this.

My understanding of the current rules is that a half hour drama can run at the Globes and the Emmys, but not at SAG – it will have to run in comedy there – so FX would have to forsake alignment in Emmy precursors to do so. I don’t think CCA care.

[FRANCK-MD Joined: Nov 16th, 2013 Topics: 2 Posts: 43 View Predictions]

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Do we have confirmation Wednesday will go to comedy ?

I haven’t heard anything about a potential season 2.

[kat_ebbs Joined: Jun 10th, 2021 Topics: 29 Posts: 8388 View Predictions]

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FRANCK-MD wrote:

Do we have confirmation Wednesday will go to comedy ?

There’s no real indication in their promotion it’s limited and they tend to not take on IP like that short term.

I’d say all signs point to comedy – Angelica Huston was nominated for the 90s Movies in Musical/Comedy, Zeta-Jones and Ricci have previously had Musical/Comedy nominations, young actresses tend to have better luck running there instead of drama, and Ricci and Christie are both Emmy nominees under this system in dramas that will be submitted in this round, which isn’t ideal.

There’s a strong likelihood Dead to Me is too strong in lead to give Ortega space in terms of Netflix productions so the “in” here is a supporting nomination instead.

[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 245 Posts: 37607 View Predictions]

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Drama Series

– The Bear (FX)
– Better Call Saul (AMC)
– The Crown (Netflix)
– House of the Dragon (HBO)
– Severance (AppleTV+)

Drama Actor

– Jeff Bridges, The Old Man
– Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul
– Adam Scott, Severance
– Dominic West, The Crown
– Jeremy Allen White, The Bear

Drama Actress

– Elizabeth Debicki, The Crown
– Laura Linney, Ozark
– Britt Lower, Severance
– Imelda Staunton, The Crown
– Zendaya, Euphoria

Comedy Series

– Abbott Elementary (ABC)
– Barry (HBO)
– Ghosts (CBS)
– Hacks (HBO Max)
– Only Murders in the Building (Hulu)

Comedy Actor

– Utkarsh Ambadkhar, Ghosts
– Donald Glover, Atlanta
– Bill Hader, Barry
– Steve Martin, Only Murders in the Building
– Martin Short, Only Murders in the Building

Comedy Actress

– Rachel Brosnahan, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
– Quinta Brunson, Abbott Elementary
– Hannah Einbinder, Hacks
– Jenna Ortega, Wednesday
– Jean Smart, Hacks

Limited Series

– The Dropout (Hulu)
– The English (Amazon)
– Monster : The Jeffrey Dahmer Story (Netflix)
– Pam and Tommy (Hulu)
– The White Lotus : Sicily (HBO)

Limited/Movie Actress

– Emily Blunt, The English
– Vera Farmiga, Five Days at Memorial
– Julia Garner, Inventing Anna
– Lily James, Pam and Tommy
– Amanda Seyfried, The Dropout

Limited/Movie Actor

– Taron Egerton, Black Bird
– Colin Firth, The Staircase
– Andrew Garfield, Under the Banner of Heaven
– Himesh Patel, Station Eleven
– Evan Peters, Monster : The Jeffrey Dahmer Story

Supporting Actress

– Patricia Arquette, Severance
– Jennifer Coolidge, The White Lotus : Sicily
– Janelle James, Abbott Elementary
– Lesley Manville, The Crown
– Rhea Seehorn, Better Call Saul

Supporting Actor

– Richard Jenkins, Monster : The Jeffrey Dahmer Story
– Jonny Lee Miller, The Crown
– Jonathan Pryce, The Crown
– Matt Smith, House of the Dragon
– Henry Winkler, Barry

FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.

[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 245 Posts: 37607 View Predictions]

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kat_ebbs wrote:

but not at SAG – it will have to run in comedy there –

I don’t think this is correct. Homecoming ran in drama at SAG in spite of being a half hour series.

FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.

[Harmen Moes Joined: Nov 7th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 468 View Predictions]

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Is Ted Lasso S03 next year?

[24Kgirl Joined: Feb 3rd, 2022 Topics: 0 Posts: 211 View Predictions]

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Harmen Moes wrote:

Is Ted Lasso S03 next year?

Speculation is it won’t premiere until 2023 (they are still filming and may be into late September/early October). I think at this point predict winter awards without Lasso.

[Jacob "Oscar Boy" Boe Joined: Apr 20th, 2019 Topics: 5 Posts: 1286 View Predictions]

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braydenfitzsimmons wrote:

 * not sure where to place D’arcy, they are non-binary so have them in both supporting categories until confirmation.

Considering they’re female and playing a woman, it’s pretty safe to assume they’re gonna compete in supporting actress

Once there was only Dark. If you ask me, the Light's winning.

[kat_ebbs Joined: Jun 10th, 2021 Topics: 29 Posts: 8388 View Predictions]

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wolfali wrote:

I don’t think this is correct. Homecoming ran in drama at SAG in spite of being a half hour series.

I think the rules have changed. In the SAG rules this is what is stipulated and there is reference to changes made during the pandemic:

Comedy Series: a thirty (30) minute scripted program (with
a minimum twenty-one (21) minutes of actual programming
content) with an ongoing theme and storyline in a minimum
of four (4) continuous episodes* and marketed as a comedy
series.

Drama Series: a sixty (60) minute scripted program (with
a minimum of forty-two (42) minutes of actual programming
content) with an ongoing theme and storyline in a minimum
of four (4) continuous episodes.

[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 245 Posts: 37607 View Predictions]

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kat_ebbs wrote:

I think the rules have changed. In the SAG rules this is what is stipulated and there is reference to changes made during the pandemic:

Comedy Series: a thirty (30) minute scripted program (with
a minimum twenty-one (21) minutes of actual programming
content) with an ongoing theme and storyline in a minimum
of four (4) continuous episodes* and marketed as a comedy
series.

Drama Series: a sixty (60) minute scripted program (with
a minimum of forty-two (42) minutes of actual programming
content) with an ongoing theme and storyline in a minimum
of four (4) continuous episodes.

Unless these have been brought in after this year’s ceremony I’m pretty sure these are guidelines as opposed to firm rules on eligibility (like what the Emmys have, or at least until this year had, with shows having to petition to submit in comedy if they were hour long and vice versa). Just this year In Treatment competed in drama in spite of being a half hour series and The Great was noninated twice in comedy in spite of being an hour long dramedy. Likewise we’ve had multiple instances in the past two years of half hour dramedies (as opposed to half hour dramas like The Bear is) competing in drama at SAG as opposed to comedy due to their producers submitting them there like I Hate Suzie.

FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.

[kat_ebbs Joined: Jun 10th, 2021 Topics: 29 Posts: 8388 View Predictions]

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wolfali wrote:

Unless these have been brought in after this year’s ceremony I’m pretty sure these are guidelines as opposed to firm rules on eligibility

Fair! This said this was for the 2021 ceremony.
Have they actually indicated they’ll submit in drama?

[Harmen Moes Joined: Nov 7th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 468 View Predictions]

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Best Drama Series
1. The Crown (Netflix)
2. Severance (AppleTV+)
3. The Bear (Hulu)
4. House of the Dragon (HBO)
5. Better Call Saul (AMC)

Best Comedy Series
1. Abbott Elementary (ABC)
2. Hacks (HBO Max)
3. Only Murders in the Building (Hulu)
4. Barry (HBO)
5. Wednesday (Netflix)

Best TV-film/Limited Series
1. The White Lotus: Sicily (HBO)
2. The Dropout (Hulu)
3. Pam & Tommy (Hulu)
4. Monster (Netflix)
5. Black Bird (AppleTV+)

Best Drama Actor
1. Bob Odenkirk – Better Call Saul
2. Dominic West – The Crown
3. Adam Scott – Severance
4. Jeremy Allen White – The Bear
5. Jeff Bridges – The Old Man

Best Drama Actress
1. Elizabeth Debicki – The Crown
2. Imelda Staunton – The Crown
3. Elisabeth Moss – The Handmaid’s Tale
4. Laura Linney – Ozark
5. Zendaya – Euphoria

Best Comedy Actor
1. Bill Hader – Barry
2. Steve Martin – Only Murders in the Building
3. Martin Short – Only Murders in the Building
4. Ramy Youssef – Ramy
5. Donald Glover – Atlanta

Best Comedy Actress
1. Quinta Brunson – Abbott Elementary
2. Jean Smart – Hacks
3. Jenna Ortega – Wednesday
4. Hannah Einbinder – Hacks
5. Selena Gomez – Only Murders in the Building

Best TV-film/Limited Actor
1. Evan Peters – Monster
2. Taron Egerton – Black Bird
3. Sebastian Stan – Pam & Tommy
4. Kumail Nanjanji – Welcome to Chippendales
5. Himesh Patel – Station Eleven

Best TV-film/Limited Actress
1. Amanda Seyfried – The Dropout
2. Lily James – Pam & Tommy
3. Emily Blunt – The English
4. Uzo Aduba – Painkiller
5. Alicia Vikander – Irma Vep

Best Supporting Actor
1. John Turturro – Severance
2. Matt Smith – House of the Dragon
3. Henry Winkler – Barry
4. Richard Jenkins – Monster
5. Tyler James Williams – Abbott Elementary

Best Supporting Actress
1. Rhea Seehorn – Better Call Saul
2. Julia Garner – Ozark
3. Jennifer Coolidge – The White Lotus: Sicily
4. Janelle James – Abbott Elementary
5. Lesley Manville – The Crown