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Nominations/wins that seemed obvious only retrospectively

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  • kat_ebbs
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    Jun 10th, 2021
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    #1205099339

    I’ve noticed a lot of commentators saying Sheryl Lee Ralph’s win is an obvious retrospective “oh, of course” but she certainly wasn’t the favourite. What are some other wins / nominations that fit this pattern? (even if they were obvious a couple of years retrospectively)

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    Manav
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    Dec 21st, 2019
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    #1205099353

    Olivia Colman’s victory for The Crown.
    (No need for me to explain this)

    Gail Mancuso winning for directing Modern Family “Las Vegas” over Jodie Foster for OITNB.
    (An episode of the year’s series winner with a 9+ IMDB rating which was actually baity as hell and really comic was always going to defeat a dramatic episode under the blue ribbon panel system. It’s a good thing though since the best nominee won and Mancuso became the only woman in Television Academy history to win Directing twice.)

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    Labyrinth
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    Feb 21st, 2021
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    #1205099362

    Zendaya for Euphoria. It was basically hope that made me thought Linney might win.

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    wolfali
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    #1205099486

    Jesse Armstrong in drama writing for Nobody is Ever Missing. At the time it was seen as a wide open race that anyone could win with “Nice and Neat” and “Winner” being most people’s predictions but it feels predictable in hindsight between Succession‘s ascendant momentum for its second season that aired just as voting opened, the weaknesses of the other nominated contenders and how much the writers have gravitated to the hot new show on the scene in the comedy and Limited categories ever since. Only Better Call Saul and Bodyguard could really have made challenges and the former was on its 4th season with zero Emmy wins and the latter complete flopped in the nominations round with its only other nod being one in drama series because of the 2% rule.

    FYC: Better Call Saul and The Good Fight in all categories including Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.

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    boss
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    #1205100227

    I was predicting Abbott Elementary to prevail as the series winner this year but in hindsight bias obviously it was going to be Ted Lasso as AE misses a crucial directing nomination. If it had been the winner all along surely the directing nomination would have manifested.

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    braydenfitzsimmons
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    #1205100518

    Uzo Aubda for Mrs America
    Tatiana Maslany for Orphan Black
    MJ Delaney for No Weddings and a Funeral
    Black Mirror for Writing (S3)
    Kate McKinnon for SNL (2016)

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    Onion
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    #1205100846

    Jason Sudeikis for Ted Lasso season 2. We were all stupid for predicting Hader, myself included. The actors literally snubbed Goldberg who was just as good as Hader and some may say she was even the standout of the season. They unfortunately just didn’t care enough about the show this time around. Something that I’ll take note for the following years is that how nominations play out always matters.

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    methaddiction
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    #1205100872

    I was going to say Jason as well.. I know we all wanted Hader to win but the former sweeping the winter awards and Ted Lasso getting 10 acting nominations made it kinda obvious in hindsight.

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    almanzarlamarcarlile
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    #1205100900

    Sian Clifford for Fleabag s2. Wasn’t on Goldderby at the time but I was shocked when I was checking old odds and saw only 22 people predict her.

    World Cup:
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    wolfali
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    #1205100907

    Sian Clifford for Fleabag s2. Wasn’t on Goldderby at the time but I was shocked when I was checking old odds and saw only 22 people predict her.

    The way she was probably closer to winning than Colman was in the end…

    FYC: Better Call Saul and The Good Fight in all categories including Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.

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    braydenfitzsimmons
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    #1205101168

    I was going to say Jason as well.. I know we all wanted Hader to win but the former sweeping the winter awards and Ted Lasso getting 10 acting nominations made it kinda obvious in hindsight.

    Especially with the Niles nomination in supporting, and 90% of her screentime being opposite him.

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    Frank2803
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    #1205101528

    Tobias Menzies

    I think people were still were grieving Michael K Williams death and perceived him as the favorite

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