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SAG Awards TV Predictions (Part 3)

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    Karen Gill.
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    #1204523991

    For Fun:

    Limited/Anthology Ensemble Poll

    https://strawpoll.com/2w5rfrprp

    As Victor said, I’ll create polls for Drama and Comedy later when all shows have ended premiering.

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    wolfali
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    #1204524300

    As Victor said, I’ll create polls for Drama and Comedy later when all shows have ended premiering.

    Not all shows in your limited lists have finished airing either. You’ve included shows like Landscapers and <i>The Shrink Next Door</i> which either haven’t premiered yet or even had a premiere date set.

    FYC:
    Picture: Passing, The Power of the Dog, Shiva Baby, Spencer
    Director: Jane Campion, Rebecca Hall, Pablo Larrain
    Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch, Andrew Garfield, Winston Duke/James McAvoy
    Actress: Olivia Colman, Kristen Stewart, Tessa Thompson
    S. Actor: Richard E. Grant, Troy Kotsur, Kodi Smit-McPhee
    S. Actress : Kirsten Dunst/Martha Plimpton/Ruth Negga/Diana Rigg/Anya Taylor-Joy
    O. Screenplay: Bergman Island/Mass/Nine Days
    A. Screenplay: The Lost Daughter/Passing/The Power of the Dog/Shiva Baby

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    Karen Gill.
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    #1204524311

    Limited/Anthology Ensemble Poll Results:

    No.of votes cast=26

    Vote Distribution:

    1.) Mare Of Easttown- 20

    2.) Impeachment: American Crime Story-3

    3.) Maid-3

    I voted for Maid.

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    Karen Gill.
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    #1204524313

    Not all shows in your limited lists have finished airing either. You’ve included shows like Landscapers and <i>The Shrink Next Door</i> which either haven’t premiered yet or even had a premiere date set.

    Most shows have aired. My bad at including those two.

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    Chris Beachum
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    #1204525485

    After checking with HBO, “The White Lotus” will be eligible at SAG and elsewhere as a limited series.

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    Victor
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    #1204525489

    After checking with HBO, “The White Lotus” will be eligible at SAG and elsewhere as a limited series.

    PERIOOOOOOODT
    MURRAY BARTLETT MINI ACTOR WINNER

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    kat_ebbs
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    #1204525491

    After checking with HBO, “The White Lotus” will be eligible at SAG and elsewhere as a limited series.

    ohhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh

    thanks Chris.

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    Luca
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    I am sorry, but why? The show has officially been renewed for a season 2 and it’s been confirmed that Coolidge is reprising her character.  It’s not a limited series. It might get by as one at the winter awards, but the Emmys are almost certainly gonna force it to move to drama, a la AHS: Apocalypse and The Sinner S2. They are also missing out on a drama ensemble nom and some easy noms and wins at the winter awards. Make it make sense.

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    Manav
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    #1204525599

    The White Lotus really would have been a juggernaut in Drama. It would have got many nominations in the weak Drama category at SAG and since the Emmys have 8 supporting actress drama slots,The White Lotus could have got 2-3 actresses in. Not to mention chances to win WGA and DGA.

    Coolidge in Drama at SAG could have won. Now she stands a little chance. I don’t know why HBO would want Mare and The White Lotus competing at the winter awards. Was it to allow Succession to easily gobble up Drama awards? With First Lady and many more shows coming up,I doubt The White Lotus will get anyone other than Coolidge and Bartlett at the Emmys.

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    kat_ebbs
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    I am sorry, but why? The show has officially been renewed for a season 2 and it’s been confirmed that Coolidge is reprising her character.

    Did the rules change between 2018 cycle (Top of The Lake) and 2019 (The Sinner)? Because they’re both characters travelling to different locations and yet one went limited and one went drama.

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    Manav
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    #1204525674

    The anthology format always causes confusion. Time for some firm rules to be established.

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    Babygirl
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    #1204525698

    Assuming this confirmation includes Emmys, I actually think The White Lotus going limited is much better for it’s chances. In Drama I don’t think anything but Coolidge had a chance to win, meanwhile in Limited it has a chance to win Series, Writing, Lead Actor and Supporting Actress (or wherever Coolidge ends up) now.

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    Luca
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    #1204525715

    I don’t see how it gets past the TV academy as a limited series. While they disregard rules all the time, AHS: Apocalypse and The Sinner S2-onward are proof that will absolutely move you to drama if your installment features a returning character (I’m sure Top of the Lake: China Girl would have been moved as well had it come out one year later).

    As for its chances, perhaps its winning chances are somewhat better in limited as of now, but they could max out in noms in drama. The drama field is relatively wide open, and I am certain this show could snag several supporting acting noms. I think people like Alexandra Daddario and Jake Lacy could actually get into categories with eight slots, whereas they might have a harder time getting into a lineup of six in limited. While something like The Gilded Age can surely come in and dominate the supporting acting categories, it’s not like limited isn’t stacked — it absolutely is. And I know this forum is somewhat hesitant about The First Lady because it’s Showtime — and I totally get the concerns — but if this is good and campaigned heavily as I expect it will be, other shows are gonna be in trouble, because this cast is humongous. Also, I mentioned it earlier, but as a drama it would have a chance to snag its much-deserved ensemble nom at SAG. I really do not get the decision to keep it in limited. Maybe they don’t want it facing Succession, but?? And what does this say about Landscapers? Are they really gonna juggle three big contenders in limited at the winter awards?

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    Manav
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    #1204525719

    Assuming this confirmation includes Emmys, I actually think The White Lotus going limited is much better for it’s chances. In Drama I don’t think anything but Coolidge had a chance to win, meanwhile in Limited it has a chance to win Series, Writing, Lead Actor and Supporting Actress (or wherever Coolidge ends up) now.

    That’s a fair point but in Limited, doesn’t it risk losing a lot of steam or losing some crucial winter awards? The Limited Slate is packed for next year,so it really can’t afford to lose much of momentum. I could be wrong and The White Lotus may win some of the guilds but it’s a risky move nonetheless. In Limited at the Emmys, it’s unlikely anyone other than Coolidge and Bartlett get in as slots are only 6.

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    Manav
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    #1204525721

    I don’t see how it gets past the TV academy as a limited series. While they disregard rules all the time, AHS: Apocalypse and The Sinner S2-onward are proof that will absolutely move you to drama if your installment features a returning character (I’m sure Top of the Lake: China Girl would have been moved as well had it come out one year later).

    As for its chances, perhaps its winning chances are somewhat better in limited as of now, but they could max out in noms in drama. The drama field is relatively wide open, and I am certain this show could snag several supporting acting noms. I think people like Alexandra Daddario and Jake Lacy could actually get into categories with eight slots, whereas they might have a harder time getting into a lineup of six in limited. While something like The Gilded Age can surely come in and dominate the supporting acting categories, it’s not like limited isn’t stacked — it absolutely is. And I know this forum is somewhat hesitant about The First Lady because it’s Showtime — and I totally get the concerns — but if this is good and campaigned heavily as I expect it will be, other shows are gonna be in trouble, because this cast is humongous. Also, I mentioned it earlier, but as a drama it would have a chance to snag its much-deserved ensemble nom at SAG. I really do not get the decision.

    Exactly.

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