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SAG Awards TV Predictions (Part 3)

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    wolfali
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    #1204531984

    Billy Crudup realizing that his competition at SAG and the Emmys will just be Succession vote splits

    FYC:
    Picture: Passing, The Power of the Dog, Shiva Baby, Spencer
    Director: Jane Campion, Rebecca Hall, Pablo Larrain
    Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch, Andrew Garfield, Winston Duke/James McAvoy
    Actress: Olivia Colman, Kristen Stewart, Tessa Thompson
    S. Actor: Richard E. Grant, Troy Kotsur, Kodi Smit-McPhee
    S. Actress : Kirsten Dunst/Martha Plimpton/Ruth Negga/Diana Rigg/Anya Taylor-Joy
    O. Screenplay: Bergman Island/Mass/Nine Days
    A. Screenplay: The Lost Daughter/Passing/The Power of the Dog/Shiva Baby

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    kat_ebbs
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    #1204531994

    If TMS S2 continues like this,Billy Crudup may very well win SAG. He’s phenomenal and being a previous nominee is beneficial. He most likely won’t suffer much due to internal competition (like who prefers Carrell over Crudup? I haven’t met anyone.)

    I adore Crudup this season (even on the most generous assessment of Carell he has neither the screen time or the material). It feels like he was born to play that role. I like him better than S1. His performance would be win-worthy most years and it’s particularly notable in a really inconsistent season.

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    Luca
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    #1204531996

    I agree. I already wrote this in the TMS thread, but after not caring much about his performance in S1, I am completely blown away by Billy Crudup’s work this season. He’s a master at delivering lines and elevating dialogue, which we already saw in season 1, but the reason his work really shines this season IMO is that he is peeling back some of his character’s layers without the script necessarily laying the groundwork. And he peels them back slowly but deliberately, which I absolutely love. I would totally be here for him winning SAG and the Emmy.

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    kat_ebbs
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    #1204532028

    but the reason his work really shines this season IMO is that he is peeling back some of his character’s layers without the script necessarily laying the groundwork.

    I feel like you can see Crudup’s theatre background work to his advantage really well this season when you consider that he’s often doing a lot of that non-verbal stuff  whilst on the phone or standing alone with no one to feed off – it’s a bit like watching a really good one-man show.

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    Victor
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    #1204532058

    I have Crudup winning since day one and i don’t think I’m ever gonna change. Easy choice in a field that’s bound to a vote split.

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    kat_ebbs
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    #1204532066

    I have Crudup winning since day one and i don’t think I’m ever gonna change. Easy choice in a field that’s bound to a vote split.

    Smart! I think I’m going to move him to winning too after this last episode.

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    Karen Gill.
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    #1204533198

    I’m probably too much of a stan but is there any possibility that Qualley wins SAG or Globe or Critics Choice? Her performance is extraordinary and I wouldn’t want her to go empty handed to the Emmys. Is it possible she can win SAG/Globe/Critics Choice? (Throw some in for Andie MacDowell as well).[after all Kate Winslet did miss Gotham].

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    kat_ebbs
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    #1204533248

    I’m probably too much of a stan but is there any possibility that Qualley wins SAG or Globe or Critics Choice? Her performance is extraordinary and I wouldn’t want her to go empty handed to the Emmys. Is it possible she can win SAG/Globe/Critics Choice? (Throw some in for Andie MacDowell as well).[after all Kate Winslet did miss Gotham]

    I don’t think it’s impossible, but I think SAG would be the most unlikely. They don’t go for a lot of young winners. Most of them are well over 35. Anya won last year but the circumstances were quite different – she ate up the buzz because of the timing. Her best chance I guess would be if she made it and BOTH Winslet and Nicholson made it and it caused some level of vote split and McDowell missed.

     

     

     

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    Luca
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    #1204533536

    I’m probably too much of a stan but is there any possibility that Qualley wins SAG or Globe or Critics Choice? Her performance is extraordinary and I wouldn’t want her to go empty handed to the Emmys. Is it possible she can win SAG/Globe/Critics Choice? (Throw some in for Andie MacDowell as well).[after all Kate Winslet did miss Gotham].

    Of course there’s a chance Qualley wins stuff, but let me say this: the Gotham, voted on by six people, is of zero relevance in regard to these winter awards.

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    Gabarnes43
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    #1204533547

    I still think Winslet is LOCKED for SAG. They love veterans and she just won the emmy over the winter sweeper. Sure Nicholson may take a couple votes away, but I don’t see that many choosing her over Winslet.

    FYC WINTER TV AWARDS

    Mare of Easttown and The White Lotus in all categories including: Kate Winslet, Jennifer Coolidge and Murray Bartlett

    Ted Lasso in all categories

    The Handmaids Tale in all categories including Series, The Morning Show in categories including Jennifer Aniston and Billy Crudup

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    Manav
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    #1204533551

    I get the feeling that Winslet hasn’t lost much buzz while Nicholson has (since her role was primarily in the finale which was 5 months back). Since Mare is regarded mostly as the Kate Winslet show,she has sustained her momentum.

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    forwardswill
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    #1204533556

    I just realised that there’s a very real chance that Sterling K. Brown is the only non-white actor nominated at these this year. Will SAG be held to account if that happens or do we think it would get forgotten due to likely more diversity on the film side?

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    Manav
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    #1204533568

    I just realised that there’s a very real chance that Sterling K. Brown is the only non-white actor nominated at these this year. Will SAG be held to account if that happens or do we think it would get forgotten due to likely more diversity on the film side?

    I think it will be forgotten. The news outlets will be busy praising the “landmark levels of diversity on the film side” that they’ll hardly pay any heed to lack of diversity on the Television side. For most,SAG coverage is mainly as a forerunner to the Oscars. So they won’t pay attention. It’s a shame really cause if they don’t pay attention to the Television Precursors,then criticizing just the Emmys all of a sudden feels a bit unjust. All bodies should be held accountable for lack of diversity and not just the Emmys and the Oscars.

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    forwardswill
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    #1204533575

    I think it will be forgotten. The news outlets will be busy praising the “landmark levels of diversity on thr film side” that they’ll hardly pay any head to lack of diversity on the Television side. For most,SAG coverage is mainly as a forerunner to the Oscars. So they won’t pay attention. It’s a shame really cause if they don’t pay attention at the Television Precursors,then criticizing just the Emmys all of a sudden feel a bit unjust. All bodies should be held accountable for lack of diversity and not just the Emmys or the Oscars.

    Agreed. Interestingly though, I just had a look and on the film side I am only predicting four actors so hardly the normal levels of diversity we see from them. I also only have one POC-led ensemble getting nominated (King Richard). I will be curious to see what ends up happening.

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    Victor
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    #1204533589

    I think Sandra Oh, Omar Sy and if it’s a hit, Jaden Michael can happen here as well.

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