SAG 2023 Television Predictions

[Matpel Joined: Oct 1st, 2022 Topics: 0 Posts: 63 View Predictions]

#1205137808

Drama:

• Ensemble: Stranger Things
• Actor: Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul
• Actress: Laura Linney, Ozark

Comedy:

• Ensemble: Abbott Elementary
• Actor: Steve Martin, Only Murders in the Building
• Actress: Quinta Brunson, Abbott Elementary

Limited:

• *Ensemble: Station Eleven*
• Actor: Evan Peters, Monster / Colin Firth, The Staircase
• Actress: Lily James, Pam and Tommy

[Sir Shaw Joined: Aug 1st, 2019 Topics: 7 Posts: 1345 View Predictions]

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Glad The White Lotus is in Drama here, everyone in S2 pilot were at the top of their game and deserved to be recognised.

[Chris Beachum Joined: May 22nd, 2011 Topics: 751 Posts: 1181 View Predictions]

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Adding in a big last-minute contender for Globes/SAG predictions events. Showtime will premiere “George and Tammy” limited series in early December with Jessica Chastain as Tammy Wynette and Michael Shannon as George Jones (two legendary Country Music Hall of Fame stars with a very volatile marriage). Trailer is below:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DjrEeuQ5838

[Victor Joined: Jun 18th, 2020 Topics: 18 Posts: 8601 View Predictions]

#1205143149

Kinda struggling with Comedy Actor
Hader and the Martins are safe, but the last two…
I have Tyler James Williams and Jeremy Allen White, but JAW over 2x winner Tony Shalhoub feels off. I do think it’s a combination between those 3 for the last 2 spots, i just don’t know which 2.

Please! These gays, they're trying to murder me!

[kat_ebbs Joined: Jun 10th, 2021 Topics: 28 Posts: 7461 View Predictions]

#1205143196

Victor wrote:

Kinda struggling with Comedy Actor Hader and the Martins are safe, but the last two… I have Tyler James Williams and Jeremy Allen White, but JAW over 2x winner Tony Shalhoub feels off. I do think it’s a combination between those 3 for the last 2 spots, i just don’t know which 2.

My curve ball is Winkler who feels like an appropriate sub in for Michael Douglas

[JV Joined: Dec 31st, 2019 Topics: 9 Posts: 5073 View Predictions]

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I don’t want to look reactive, but I dropped both West and Pryce. SAG has never been big on male performances from the show. I think they needed Josh O’Connor/John Lithgow level of acclaim. Turturro making it has been on my mind for a while.

[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 240 Posts: 36813 View Predictions]

#1205146016

SAG has updated their page for FYC stuff.

– HBO Max (with Hacks, The Staircase, The Flight Attendant, Station Eleven and Julia being the shows highlighted) and HBO have launched their FYC sites. Disney appear to have launched an individual FYC site for Abbott Elementary.

– Hacks, Ozark, Interview with the Vampire, Stranger Things and The Rings of Power are all having LA FYC screenings over the next two weeks. The Crown is having one in an hours time.

– The English is having an FYC screening in New York (with Blunt attending) in New York on Thursday whilst the whole cast will be attending an FYC screening in LA on Monday.

– DVD screeners have started coming in with Black Bird, Inventing Anna, Mo and Ozark being the first ones to come in.

FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.

[m_butterfly Joined: Feb 3rd, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 253 View Predictions]

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I think at least one of The Crown guys could make ’cause I feel the love it the way they did Downton Abbey. But I don’t know if I should go with Jeff Bridges or Paddy Considine in fifth, I haven’t seen The Old Man and SAG was never too in love Game of Thrones.

[kat_ebbs Joined: Jun 10th, 2021 Topics: 28 Posts: 7461 View Predictions]

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m_butterfly wrote:

I think at least one of The Crown guys could make ’cause I feel the love it the way they did Downton Abbey. But I don’t know if I should go with Jeff Bridges or Paddy Considine in fifth, I haven’t seen The Old Man and SAG was never too in love Game of Thrones.

SAG like Bridges he’s been nominated before and he seems the most likely veteran.

[braydenfitzsimmons Joined: May 3rd, 2015 Topics: 95 Posts: 8450 View Predictions]

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Mo being the first screeners sent is interesting, didn’t think it would a priority for Netflix. Curious to see how it performs for the rest for the season.

[adriandecker770 Joined: Oct 2nd, 2022 Topics: 3 Posts: 399 View Predictions]

#1205146099

I loved Mo, glad to see that Netflix hasn’t forgotten about it

[kat_ebbs Joined: Jun 10th, 2021 Topics: 28 Posts: 7461 View Predictions]

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adriandecker770 wrote:

I loved Mo, glad to see that Netflix hasn’t forgotten about it

I really liked it too, and it’s the Netflix show that needs the FYC boost the most.  Recommend it if you have a few hours.

[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 240 Posts: 36813 View Predictions]

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I think the industry is going to disproportionately like Dominic West’s performance compared to critics but after finishing this season of The Crown I feel content dropping Jonathan Pryce from my predictions. Maybe it’s presumptuous and maybe I’m just projecting my own feelings around his performance on my predictions but I just can’t see his performance attracting enough passion to get nominated. Likewise the film committee didn’t nominate Pryce for his Oscar nominated film performance in a Netflix movie and neither Tobias Menzies nor Matt Smith have been nominated for their performances as Phillip (in spite of the former winning the supporting actor Emmy) so are they really going to nominate the character now when the performer playing them is widely considered to be the weakest of the bunch? I feel like if he makes it in it will be a real testament to how strong a contender The Crown is both here at SAG and overall like with Ted Lasso and Succession last year.

I’ve slotted Paddy Considine in his place because House of the Dragon’s trajectory reminds me a lot of Westworld season 1’s and I think he has amassed enough passion to stand out from the ensemble like Thandiwe Newton did.

FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.

[kat_ebbs Joined: Jun 10th, 2021 Topics: 28 Posts: 7461 View Predictions]

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wolfali wrote:

Maybe it’s presumptuous and maybe I’m just projecting my own feelings around his performance on my predictions but I just can’t see his performance attracting enough passion to get nominated.

I mean he really doesn’t have much to do. It’s ostensibly a serviceable supporting performance, and not a flashy one at that. At least Considine gets a really meaty exit.

[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 240 Posts: 36813 View Predictions]

#1205154851

kat_ebbs wrote:

I mean he really doesn’t have much to do.

Hmm I don’t think that’s his issue. There are two episodes of this season devoted entirely to Phillip as a character after all.

I think his problem is more that he he doesn’t really make much impact in spite of his sizeable material (which for me is because of his characterisation being out of sync with the rest of the ensemble) and in a category like this that could cost him. Sure he may be a well regarded veteran in a top awards contender but so is John Turturro. So is F. Murray Abraham. My argument at the end of the day for not predicting him is that I can’t really imagine so many more members of the committee voting for him than those who will be voting for Manville on the actress side. Granted Pryce would be the 2nd nominee from The Crown in his category and Manville would be the 3rd. But at the same time with how competitive both actor and actress categories are this year will the fact that he has weaker internal competition make much of a difference?

FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.