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SAG 2023 Television Predictions

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  • wolfali
    Joined:
    Sep 4th, 2018
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    #1205169521

    Yellowjackets would be my personal choice to win. I agree The White Lotus is win competitive (it helps that, whilst The Crown can most definitely three peat, it is much less ensemble driven as a show than it was for seasons 3 to 4). That being said at the same time I’m not really sure how to read its position here. Granted they have ballots here which should avoid the category confusion we saw with season 1 at some of these awards this past season but I can see some members of the committee not being as keen to go all out on it due to being conflicted on how to categorise it seeing as it’s still “technically” an anthology series. This is in part why I dropped Coolidge whilst moving up the show in my ensemble predictions.

    FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.


    Victor
    Joined:
    Jun 18th, 2020
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    #1205169575

    I would rank the big contenders as (remind that I’m talking about the ACTING of the ENSEMBLE, not the Best Series)

    1. The White Lotus
    2. Severance
    3. Yellowjackets
    4. House of the Dragon
    5. The Crown

    Please! These gays, they're trying to murder me!


    adriandecker770
    Joined:
    Oct 2nd, 2022
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    #1205169589

    For me:

    1. Yellowjackets

    2. The White Lotus

    3. Severance

    4. House of the Dragon

    (Haven’t seen this season of the crown)

    If I were ranking the shows themselves, I’d bump Severance up to 1. And keep the rest the same

     


    wolfali
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    #1205169636

    Ranking of the top 12 in the predictions centre odds by personal preference of ensemble.

    1. Yellowjackets
    2. Severance
    3. The White Lotus
    4. The Crown
    5. Better Call Saul
    6. House of the Dragon
    7. The Handmaid’s Tale
    8. Stranger Things
    9. Ozark
    10. Euphoria

    11. The Lord of the Rings : The Rings of Power

    By shows themselves:

    1. Better Call Saul
    2. Severance
    3. The White Lotus
    4. The Crown
    5. Ozark
    6. Yellowjackets
    7. Stranger Things
    8. House of the Dragon
    9. The Handmaid’s Tale
    10. Euphoria

    9999029202. The Lord of the Rings : The Rings of Power

    FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.


    LittleLucky
    Joined:
    Jul 12th, 2022
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    #1205169645

    I’d personally nominate these 5 drama ensembles:

    1. Yellowjackets
    2. Severance
    3. The White Lotus
    4. The Bear (it’s unquestionably a drama in my eyes)
    5. Industry

    and #6 would probably be House of the Dragon for me since The Bear’s probably going comedy


    wolfali
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    #1205169649

    Industry

    Taste!

    FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.


    adriandecker770
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    #1205169662

    12 ensemble (im assuming the 12th missing from your list is The Boys? Haven’t seen handamids or the crown so I won’t rank them)

    1. Yellowjackets

    2. The White Lotus

    3. Severance

    4. Better Call Saul

    5. The Boys
    <p style=”text-align: left;”>6. Stranger Things</p>
    7. Euphoria

    8. Ozark

    9. House of the Dragon

    10. Rings of Power

    10 shows themselves:

    1. Better Call Saul

    2. Severance

    3. Yellowjackets

    4. The White Lotus

    5. The Boys

    6. Stranger Things

    7. Rings of Power

    8. Ozark

    9. Euphoria

    10. House of the Dragon

    My personal nominations would keep the top 5 and swap out The Boys for Pachinko. Rings of Power being so high isn’t really me saying I like it, and more speaks towards how little I care for the bottom 4


    torilinnea
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    Jul 7th, 2014
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    #1205169768

    My immediate response is to say BCS, but it would really just be me wanting the show to win. It felt much less ensemble-y this season and more like a Bob-Rhea two hander, but everyone still gave incredible performances. I’d probably nom Severance > Pachinko > Yellowjackets > White Lotus > BCS.


    wolfali
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    #1205169806

    I wonder if Better Call Saul does get an ensemble nomination if Carol Burnett would be counted in the nomination or if she wouldn’t qualify because it’s for season 6 as a whole and she was only in 4 episodes. It’s done by billing right?

    FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.


    kat_ebbs
    Joined:
    Jun 10th, 2021
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    #1205169851

    That’s a good figure for it seeing as the season only came out two weeks ago. It doesn’t seem to have had as strong a peak as season 4 did so I wonder if the season is just something people are progressively catching up on.

    The daily search is still pretty high, so it might just be a long tail show.

    4 seemed to spend far more time hanging around in that 50K+ page views (27 days vs 6, not including the peak when The Queen died).

    I think it just went less viral than 2020 when it was flanked by The Queen’s Gambit and Bridgerton and it felt like a glut of young-ish breakout stars. My guess is the choice to underpromote might have backfired a tad. Their cast is nice but not particularly gregarious or online, which makes things a bit harder.


    wolfali
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    #1205169888

    I think it just went less viral than 2020 when it was flanked by The Queen’s Gambit and Bridgerton and it felt like a glut of young-ish breakout stars. My guess is the choice to underpromote might have backfired a tad. Their cast is nice but not particularly gregarious or online, which makes things a bit harder.

    This time in 2020 there were also barely any other shows on television whilst we’re arguably in a period of mass TV right now so it makes sense for it to be more spread out. I think that’s something similar when you look at the stats for something like The White Lotus too. Season 2 hasn’t reached anywhere near the peak it did in online searches that it had when the season 1 finale aired in August 2020 (aside from when it won at the Emmys) and it’s the 12th most searched when compared to its drama competitors at SAG but it’s the most searched of the limited contenders with only The English and Dahmer having leaped ahead of it during its run this season.

    I think The Handmaid’s Tale has definitely had a significant drop though. Both it its streaming ratings and online searches were through the roof when season 4 aired but this season has only achieved half and even at times a third of the ratings season 4 got when it went out and its online engagement seems to have substantially dropped following the season’s conclusion in the US in spite of it airing in many territories (including the UK) and doing fairly well in ratings there.

    FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.


    kat_ebbs
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    #1205169895

    I wonder if Better Call Saul does get an ensemble nomination if Carol Burnett would be counted in the nomination or if she wouldn’t qualify because it’s for season 6 as a whole and she was only in 4 episodes. It’s done by billing right?

    I’m pretty sure it goes on episode count but you are excluded if you have a co-star contract. If you’re season regular, or a guest and meet the episode count it’s fine (i.e this will be the case with some of the House of The Dragon cast this year). I think she misses by one episode.

     

     


    wolfali
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    #1205169910

    I’m pretty sure it goes on episode count but you are excluded if you have a co-star contract. If you’re season regular, or a guest and meet the episode count it’s fine (i.e this will be the case with some of the House of The Dragon cast this year). I think she misses by one episode.

    I’m curious to see if AMC tries to petition her in guest at the Emmys even though she doesn’t technically qualify with these episodes. I doubt it will work but if Bradley Whitford can win an Emmy for appearing in 2 out of 3 hanging episodes of The Handmaid’s Tale then why shouldn’t Burnett be nominated for a guest role in a season split in two.

    It’s funny that if all of season 6 aired in this Emmy cycle they would probably have submitted Kerry Condon.

    FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.


    torilinnea
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    Jul 7th, 2014
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    #1205170081

    I love trying to figure out who does and doesn’t make it here because there’s always some great surprises and some “who even is that????” I remember reading The Morning Show ensemble list last year and having to google a bunch of people lol


    kat_ebbs
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    #1205170159

    This time in 2020 there were also barely any other shows on television whilst we’re arguably in a period of mass TV right now so it makes sense for it to be more spread out. I think that’s something similar when you look at the stats for something like The White Lotus too. Season 2 hasn’t reached anywhere near the peak it did in online searches that it had when the season 1 finale aired in August 2020 (aside from when it won at the Emmys) and it’s the 12th most searched when compared to its drama competitors at SAG but it’s the most searched of the limited contenders with only The English and Dahmer having leaped ahead of it during its run this season. I think The Handmaid’s Tale has definitely had a significant drop though. Both it its streaming ratings and online searches were through the roof when season 4 aired but this season has only achieved half and even at times a third of the ratings season 4 got when it went out and its online engagement seems to have substantially dropped following the season’s conclusion in the US in spite of it airing in many territories (including the UK) and doing fairly well in ratings there.

    THT just looks weaker overall compared to last season, and is a much easier case because it’s like for like. I think The Crown is a bit of a harder one to judge.

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