2021 Grammy predictions: Song of the Year

The Grammy Award for Song of the Year is the recording academy’s top songwriting honor. Unlike Record of the Year, which goes to the artist, producers, and engineers, this prize is reserved for the composers. So who will win this year when the prizes are handed out on March 14? Scroll down for our odds, which are based on the combined predictions of thousands of Gold Derby users.

The category this year includes a couple of past winners. One is the defending champion, Billie Eilish, who claimed this award in 2020 for “Bad Guy” as part of her historic Grammy sweep. This year she’s nominated for her standalone single “Everything I Wanted,” which she co-wrote with her brother Finneas, her songwriting partner on most of her music. If they win, they’d be the first ever to take this award in consecutive years.

But Beyonce might have something to say about that. She previously won Song of the Year for “Single Ladies (Put a Ring on It).” Even though she’s one of the most awarded individuals in Grammy history, though, that was her only victory to date in any of the top four general categories (Album, Record, Song of the Year, Best New Artist). This is now her fourth nomination in the category, so she’s looking for a long-awaited repeat

Meanwhile, Taylor Swift is nominated for this award for the fifth time for “Cardigan,” which makes her the most nominated female songwriter in history. Perhaps surprisingly, though, she hasn’t won this award yet despite being so well known as a singer-songwriter and a Grammy darling with two previous wins for Album of the Year (“Fearless” and “1989”).

Fellow nominees H.E.R. (“I Can’t Breathe”), and Julia Michaels (“If the World Was Ending” with JP Saxe) have contended for this award in the past, while Dua Lipa (“Don’t Start Now”), Post Malone (“Circles”) and Roddy Ricch (“The Box”) are Song of the Year rookies. Will this award go to a veteran or a first-timer? See who Gold Derby users are collectively betting on below.