2023 PGA Awards predictions: What will win at the Producers Guild?

The Producers Guild of America announced its slate of 2023 nominees in film and television on January 12. Historically, the PGA Awards are seen as one of the best bellwethers to predict the Best Picture Oscar since there is so much overlap in voting memberships between the guild and the academy. What will win at the Producers Guild this year? Read on to see Gold Derby’s 2023 PGA Awards predictions in three movie categories and seven TV races.

Our PGA racetrack odds are based on the combined forecasts of more than 1,600 readers, including Experts we’ve polled from major media outlets, Editors who cover awards year-round for this website, Top 24 Users who did the best predicting the winners last time, All-Star Users who had the best prediction scores over the last two years, and the mass of Users who make up our biggest predictions bloc.

Of this year’s 10 PGA nominees for Best Picture, only seven went on to make it into the top Oscar lineup: “Avatar: The Way of Water,”  “The Banshees of Inisherin,” “Elvis,” “Everything Everywhere All at Once,” “The Fabelmans,” “TAR” and “Top Gun: Maverick.” The guild’s other three choices were “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever,” “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” and “The Whale.” Meanwhile, the Oscars went with “All Quiet on the Western Front,” “Triangle of Sadness” and “Women Talking.”

The winners of the 34th Producers Guild of America Awards will receive their trophies on February 25, 2023 at The Beverly Hilton Hotel. Special achievement prizes will be handed out to Tom Cruise, Michael De Luca & Pamela Abdy, Mindy Kaling and “Till.”