Tom O'Neil's Inside Track

2 Oscar Experts’ predictions PANIC: Pete vs. Tom on Best Picture race – HELP! [Video & audio podcast]

That bold Oscar wag Pete Hammond (Deadline) doesn’t agree with 19 out of 21 Experts at Gold Derby who predict “Roma” will win the Oscar for Best Picture. “I’m picking ‘Green Book’ since it won the Producers’ Guild Award,” he declares in our webcam chat. Watch above or listen to the audio podcast version below.

“PGA has the same voting method as the Oscars,” he notes. “They both use the preferential ballot. ‘Green Book’ seems to be the kind of likeable movie that would be a strong number-two vote if it’s not your number one. ‘Roma’ is a strong number-one vote” or might be ranked low on a voter’s ballot due to resistance against Netflix by the traditional film-industry base, Pete adds.

I disagree and defend my own “Roma” prediction by reminding Pete that “we’ve seen a pattern of esoteric, art-house movies winning Best Picture recently, such as ‘Shape of Water,’ ‘Moonlight’ and ‘Birdman.'” “Roma” fits that pattern. “Green Book” does not.

Pete concedes that point and adds, “There are many other movies that have a path to winning Best Picture,” he notes, citing “A Star Is Born” and “The Favourite.”

Tom O'Neil's Inside Track
Editor and President Tom O'Neil founded Gold Derby in 2000.
Tom's Latest Updated Predictions
Emmy Awards Nominations 2019
( Comedy Series )
Bet Points: 100
  • 1
    Veep
    Veep
    5/1
  • 2
    The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
    The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
    11/2
  • 3
    Barry
    Barry
    6/1
  • 4
    The Good Place
    The Good Place
    8/1
  • 5
    Glow
    GLOW
    15/2
  • 6
    The Kominsky Method
    The Kominsky Method
    8/1
  • 7
    black-ish
    Black-ish
    13/1
  • Updated on: 22 Mar 19, 20:22 pm PT
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