JakeT
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September 27, 2020 at 10:48 am #1203737936
so <b>I’m wondering if we’re just overthinking things</b> as we always are and that Frances is going to take this in a cakewalk.
I think you’re definitely overthinking. But I still don’t think Frances is winning, despite her stellar notices. She’s basically the only contender whose film has been seen.
September 16, 2020 at 11:25 am #1203710369JHud is a bad actor and shouldn’t have one Oscar, let alone two. She’s a brilliant singer. That’s it.
September 15, 2020 at 12:16 pm #1203708345It’s a bit of a guilty pleasure of mine now. I enjoy it, it’s easy watching, Swank is very convincing and the supporting cast is good.
ReplySeptember 15, 2020 at 4:09 am #1203707659I didn’t find anybody apart from SBC particularly impressive in the trailer. Sure I’ll feel differently upon viewing
ReplySeptember 14, 2020 at 11:17 pm #1203707428This thread stresses me out more than ever before and we’re barely in season.
September 12, 2020 at 11:22 pm #1203702671How is what I said ironic when I’ve said people need to stop saying that a contender is winning in a landslide or that “there is no way” a certain performer will win? Seems to me like you just seem to not want McDormand to win a 3rd. I understand that (I honestly don’t mind either way who wins Actress as long as it’s not Winslet) but I think it’s a stretch to say there is no way Frances is winning when she literally proved everyone wrong by winning a second Oscar in Lead 20 years after her first.
At this stage, I haven’t formed an opinion of who I want to win. I simply think it’s incredibly unlikely she’ll win a third so soon after her second – the stats support this view.
What I do know is that you’ve been very vocal in this thread and others exclaiming various people are going to win, hence what you said is ironic. You’re the biggest culprit here.
Anyway- let’s leave this here and just agree to disagree on McDormand.
September 12, 2020 at 10:54 pm #1203702620So? McDormand’s first win was so long ago that the younger crop of Academy members probably don’t even remember it. If she is in a film that is acclaimed and is meant to be delivering her career best performance in the film of the year she is in with a very strong chance. This applies to all of us whomever we’re stanning but we need to stop acting like “so and so is winning in a landslide” or this can’t happen at the Oscars when like I said we have Davis looking to make history, McDormand in her career best performance, Sophia Loren and Michelle Pfeiffer’s comebacks, Volpi Cup win and the buzziest new thing Vanessa Kirby in a gamechanging according to critics that Cate fucking Blanchett is rooting for and Jennifer Hudson and Andra Day playing famous singers. I mean of course McDormands has her cons but so does everybody else and at this point only her and Viola (and to an extent Kirby if her film is released by the deadline by Netflix considering how no Volpi Cup winner in an English speaking film with a big distributor has missed since 2000) are locks.
The irony. I can’t.
September 12, 2020 at 10:41 pm #1203702602This is literally what people said about Renee Zellweger saying she’ll lose SAG to Johansson because she’s won “too many of them”. Hillary Swank, Christoph Waltz and Mahershala Ali say hi.
They all have two
September 12, 2020 at 10:31 pm #1203702582McDormand isn’t winning a third so soon after her second. You can quote me on this in April.
September 12, 2020 at 12:19 am #1203700261Is there any chance McDormand wins again? She’s getting absolute raves for this film, but she already has two lead acting Oscars and just swept the season 3 years ago. I would predict her in a heartbeat if it wasn’r for her Three Billboards sweep. This being said, we all underestimated her in 2018 and she proved us all wrong, so I don’t know. She’s definetely Top 3.
No- we haven’t even seen most of the other assumed contenders yet.
September 10, 2020 at 1:17 pm #1203697625More people (including myself) are predicting Zhao, but I wonder if King winds up being the bigger female director player, as it sounds like a great debut, and she’s very well established and loved in the industry.
Loved as an actor doesn’t necessarily translate into loved as a director, as we’ve seen recently. It’s sad we’ve already reduced it to the bigger female player, because we all know only one, if any, is getting in.
September 10, 2020 at 1:14 pm #1203697616Mel Gibson, Roman Polanski, & Woody Allen re-entered the race after career defining controversies. Most people have already forgotten about Ansel’s allegations. WSS will fail to make BP if it doesn’t live up to expectations.
These are not valid comparisons. I do reluctantly agree though that allegations against Ansel are mostly forgotten. That doesn’t mean to say they won’t be remembered upon release.
September 10, 2020 at 1:09 pm #1203697609This is actually No.1 on Netflix in the UK. I see it not as an awards contender, but potentially surprising fan favourite. About to watch, and I actually thought the trailer looked good
ReplySeptember 9, 2020 at 11:13 pm #1203696677There’s something that feels really off about predicting when I don’t know what films that are even going to happen this season in terms of release to a certain extent. I feel 50% of my list could change depending on releases. Now, for the main subject of my post. Is West Side Story going to happen? I’m not quite sure I see the argument that another adaptation of a musical that already got a Best Picture win and colossal success is going to repeat the same magic, even with Spielberg. The casting seems really off, and it seems a little quiet with promotion for a film that’s a 100 million dollar budget apparently. I really don’t buy these 15/1 odds.
I was thinking this recently. Does anybody even want to see this movie, did they ever? I’ve got zero interest, which isn’t to say nobody else will, but I wonder if it’ll find a modern audience. It’s just seems a bit uninspired. Add to that the leading man (who I already consider a not particularly talented actor) is accused of sexual assault. I’m sure the choreography will be good though.
