At this point I think The Father and Minari are the ones that could challenge Nomadland. I would say Trial 7 too if not for its clunkiness and PYW if not for the subject matter

David O Russell and the actors’ semi-crazy performances were hyped up and it’s easy to see why. But the novelty wore off and his new film will not be received as well.

Minari in Director but not Picture? Still ill take it i guess

Emma stone easy a

YESSSSSSSSSS

And Byrne in Neighbors.

Does anyone else think Promising Young Woman’s precedent could be Get Out? Other than lower critics reviews and lower visibility, it fits the bill nicely. Maybe it gets equivalent nominations in Picture/Director/Screenplay/Actress and win Screenplay (and actress)

First BP win for Minari? Lets go$$!!!!!!

Soul’s not gonna win, I’d say for now the favorite is Nomadland with Minari as the possible spoiler.

I agree except Mank feels like it has much less passionate supporters than Roma/Irishman.

Maybe sth like “best international film in a foreign language” could work, though that might be way too underinclusive.

Btw, the Father wouldn’t be eligible for Oscar’s International Film category would it?

Yeah, but the rule is still stupid. The Farewell and Minari shouldn’t be grouped with Roma and Parasite.

I’m SO interested in Minari’s chances. Its reception at critics awards is a tad underwhelming.. but hoping the industry will eat it up more, especially if the movie is all about the vibes. Lets get that director nomination!!!

From Twitter: Gotham gave Trial 7 a special ensemble award.

Theaters won’t be dead. A newly released movie in Japan is about to become the highest grossing of all time there. Netflix was always there before the pandemic, but people still went to the movies because it’s a good hangout place and they can watch new releases.

Nomadland kiiind of underperforming but wow look at that reception for First Cow

I disagree. Critics Choice Awards has basically zero predictive power after accounting for the Globes result. But the nominations are useful, you’re right

I think Guild awards are meaningful. They just need to be schedule at a different time of the year so it doesn’t just serve as an Oscar purpose.

`Promising young woman doesn’t have soaring reviews nor does it seem like a baity film. Plus it’s a one woman’s act. I don’t think it’s going to win BP at major awards

HSM is still a bop. Camp Rock I haven’t seen