[mafro987 Joined: Jan 23rd, 2014 Topics: 3 Posts: 2337 View Predictions]

#1204204575

wolfali wrote:

I won’t mind her likely Emmy win because she’s overdue and should already have received recognition for other pieces of her filmography but there are around 5 other performances eligible in that category that are more deserving of the win.

Make that 10.

For Your Consideration:

Best International Feature: Instinct (The Netherlands)
Best Actress: Carice van Houten (Instinct)

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[mafro987 Joined: Jan 23rd, 2014 Topics: 3 Posts: 2337 View Predictions]

#1204204049

forwardswill wrote:

First celeb death in quite sometime that I’ve been completely blindsided by. Felt like she hadn’t even peaked yet. What an actor.

She definitely hadn’t peaked. She was capable of Emmy/Oscar winning performances and I was really hoping she got the right role to break through at that level (as Manville did for Another Year and then Phantom Thread).

For Your Consideration:

Best International Feature: Instinct (The Netherlands)
Best Actress: Carice van Houten (Instinct)

Reply

[mafro987 Joined: Jan 23rd, 2014 Topics: 3 Posts: 2337 View Predictions]

#1204204032

forwardswill wrote:

Feeble as it sounds, I hope this news spontaneously pushes her to a BAFTA nomination for Quiz

She was the best in cast and only had the final episode.

For Your Consideration:

Best International Feature: Instinct (The Netherlands)
Best Actress: Carice van Houten (Instinct)

Reply

[mafro987 Joined: Jan 23rd, 2014 Topics: 3 Posts: 2337 View Predictions]

#1204203738

This is unrelated but I just read that Helen McCrory has passed away. I’m in complete shock. She was so talented and shone in every role she played, and was definitely under-recognised by the industry. I’m sure she will be included in the BAFTA in memoriam (and probably the Emmys too).

For Your Consideration:

Best International Feature: Instinct (The Netherlands)
Best Actress: Carice van Houten (Instinct)

Reply

[mafro987 Joined: Jan 23rd, 2014 Topics: 3 Posts: 2337 View Predictions]

#1204203430

Melvinezq wrote:

No, when Moonlight won, Spike Lee said that it happened because of #oscarsowhite. Now, it seems like Emmy doesn’t really have the same issue, but it may happen since this series’ topic is mainly related to slavery and slaves’ struggle.

That being said, I don’t think the people’s reaction will prevent this to do well at The Emmy (of course if this turns out to be what has been expected), but I wonder others here have a different opinion.

That comment (which he made months after the ceremony during an interview) can’t be categorised as ‘backlash’ against Moonlight. He wasn’t speaking out against the film – he was speaking out against the industry/Academy.

As you say, the issue isn’t as big with the Emmys, which just awarded Watchmen in the same category The Underground Railroad is competing for this year. I think the other posters were commenting on general public perception rather than what voters think specifically. Public perception is (to some degree) important in shaping awards narratives though.

For Your Consideration:

Best International Feature: Instinct (The Netherlands)
Best Actress: Carice van Houten (Instinct)

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[mafro987 Joined: Jan 23rd, 2014 Topics: 3 Posts: 2337 View Predictions]

#1204203395

Melvinezq wrote:

BTW, will Emmy get a backlash if this wins like they did back when Moonlight won? It was a very small backlash actually, but people like Spike Lee made a statement for that.

I’m assuming you mean Green Book (which Spike Lee spoke out against), and no – the issues with that film are different to the point being discussed.

For Your Consideration:

Best International Feature: Instinct (The Netherlands)
Best Actress: Carice van Houten (Instinct)

Reply

[mafro987 Joined: Jan 23rd, 2014 Topics: 3 Posts: 2337 View Predictions]

#1204202917

I was only going to pick one, but why not just do all three?

Carrie Coon, The Leftovers

Amy Brenneman, The Leftovers

Regina King, The Leftovers

For Your Consideration:

Best International Feature: Instinct (The Netherlands)
Best Actress: Carice van Houten (Instinct)

Reply

[mafro987 Joined: Jan 23rd, 2014 Topics: 3 Posts: 2337 View Predictions]

#1204201743

Eddy Q wrote:

Christopher Rosen briefly raised a really good point on a recent video chat with Joyce Eng which I’d like to expand upon…

I just watched it and I got the sense that he was underestimating The Father (despite saying he was predicting it for Screenplay). He suggested that Riz Ahmed was ahead of Hopkins in the best actor race for example (which is obviously wrong).

For Your Consideration:

Best International Feature: Instinct (The Netherlands)
Best Actress: Carice van Houten (Instinct)

Reply

[mafro987 Joined: Jan 23rd, 2014 Topics: 3 Posts: 2337 View Predictions]

#1204200057

JV wrote:

Happy that Alison Wright was added, even though I don’t think she has any chance.

Emmy voters, if you’re reading this, please make it happen. She need her second nomination.

She should already be a winner.

For Your Consideration:

Best International Feature: Instinct (The Netherlands)
Best Actress: Carice van Houten (Instinct)

Reply

[mafro987 Joined: Jan 23rd, 2014 Topics: 3 Posts: 2337 View Predictions]

#1204195879

The Serpent has 511 points today. 500 points was the barrier I was looking for in order to call it a genuine international hit. It keeps on growing which is really impressive, despite minimal promotion.

For Your Consideration:

Best International Feature: Instinct (The Netherlands)
Best Actress: Carice van Houten (Instinct)

Reply

[mafro987 Joined: Jan 23rd, 2014 Topics: 3 Posts: 2337 View Predictions]

#1204195785

wolfali wrote:

She’s the Cate Blanchett of this year.

This actually works, with Coel in the Haas position.

For Your Consideration:

Best International Feature: Instinct (The Netherlands)
Best Actress: Carice van Houten (Instinct)

Reply

[mafro987 Joined: Jan 23rd, 2014 Topics: 3 Posts: 2337 View Predictions]

#1204195507

I do think there’s possibly an element on the forum of wanting The Father to win something and collectively giving it more of a chance than it actually has. I definitely don’t see the Philomena comparison though. That was a Weinstein push lacking the natural passion that The Father has generated, and it didn’t have a reason for missing the guilds (unlike The Father which didn’t send screeners). I don’t think the 12YAS comparison fits either. McQueen was always losing Director in that race, while Nomadland is covered by Picture/Director/Cinematography. It needed the Screenplay win in a way that Nomadland doesn’t.

For Your Consideration:

Best International Feature: Instinct (The Netherlands)
Best Actress: Carice van Houten (Instinct)

Reply

[mafro987 Joined: Jan 23rd, 2014 Topics: 3 Posts: 2337 View Predictions]

#1204195322

I’m currently predicting The Father (and suspected it had a chance even before the BAFTA win), but the Nomadland arguments are pretty convincing to be honest.

For Your Consideration:

Best International Feature: Instinct (The Netherlands)
Best Actress: Carice van Houten (Instinct)

Reply

[mafro987 Joined: Jan 23rd, 2014 Topics: 3 Posts: 2337 View Predictions]

#1204194854

I still have no clue what to make of this category. It’s the one I’m least confident on.

For Your Consideration:

Best International Feature: Instinct (The Netherlands)
Best Actress: Carice van Houten (Instinct)

Reply

[mafro987 Joined: Jan 23rd, 2014 Topics: 3 Posts: 2337 View Predictions]

#1204191354

boogiezen wrote:

Exactly we have opinions here BUT the mere fact that she won Critics Choice, Globes, and fuc*ing SAG means it was worthy. You all are perplexed about why she is sweeping. Lol.

You’re new here so it will take you time to fully understand the different factors to consider when predicting awards. Performance is only one factor. Someone winning an acting award doesn’t automatically make them the best performer.

For Your Consideration:

Best International Feature: Instinct (The Netherlands)
Best Actress: Carice van Houten (Instinct)