[storminthedark Joined: Jul 13th, 2020 Topics: 1 Posts: 344 View Predictions]

#1204965861

Potion will probably be a decent sized hit during summer because radio is crying out for them but it’s pretty bland. Calvin needs to do better and both Dua and YT don’t add much.

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[storminthedark Joined: Jul 13th, 2020 Topics: 1 Posts: 344 View Predictions]

#1204954130

Ron Howard’s Thirteen Lives is moved to early August and skips a fall festival run.

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[storminthedark Joined: Jul 13th, 2020 Topics: 1 Posts: 344 View Predictions]

#1204951749

I don’t know how to feel about Adele, she has universal appeal to voters in a way that essentially no other artist does and her Grammy history is undeniable to consider she might just sweep again this year. Saying that, it would also be naive to disregard how 30 is a massive underperformance commercially not only by her standards but by “normal” standards for other artist tbh, being #56 this week for an album that came out 24 weeks ago isn’t that impressive. Even in the UK it’s an underperformance for her at #48 this week.

Commercial success and critical acclaim aren’t essential to the Grammys but it generally feels as if the conversation has moved on from the era, and I don’t know if there’s the same urgency or passion to reward her this era as before at all.

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[storminthedark Joined: Jul 13th, 2020 Topics: 1 Posts: 344 View Predictions]

#1204950757

The discourse around Auntie Diaries is going to be…interesting.

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[storminthedark Joined: Jul 13th, 2020 Topics: 1 Posts: 344 View Predictions]

#1204947851

Being critically panned doesn’t mean that much for not getting in the GF so I could still see Jack getting in, at least for First Class. Rap album is much less likely now though. Kendrick and Harry are dropping the next two weeks so it’ll be interesting to see how his album fairs with longevity against them.

Seems like 1989 TV is going to be announced this week too.

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[storminthedark Joined: Jul 13th, 2020 Topics: 1 Posts: 344 View Predictions]

#1204946720

The Heart Part 5 was incredible. That sample is genius.

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[storminthedark Joined: Jul 13th, 2020 Topics: 1 Posts: 344 View Predictions]

#1204941881

film123 wrote:

Like I said. Doja Cat is coming with that song from Elvis.

Is there not some eligibility issues for Doja because of the sample? I’m not 100% sure but on Wikipedia it states that “Only songs that are “original and written specifically for the motion picture” are eligible to win. Songs that rely on sampled or reworked material along with cover versions, remixes and parodies, such as “Gangsta’s Paradise” (which samples “Pastime Paradise” by Stevie Wonder) in the 1995 film Dangerous Minds, are also ineligible.”

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[storminthedark Joined: Jul 13th, 2020 Topics: 1 Posts: 344 View Predictions]

#1204937224

almanzarlamarcarlile wrote:

I don’t think that’s a questionable point to be made, if there’s anything Taylor will push hard for this year’s Grammys it’ll be All Too Well for SOTY. It’s regarded as the best song in her catalogue and she cares a lot about her songwriting career being recognised. It could feasibly pose a threat there.

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[storminthedark Joined: Jul 13th, 2020 Topics: 1 Posts: 344 View Predictions]

#1204936842

I don’t think that SOTY/ROTY will go to anyone other than Easy On Me, but As It Was is actually showing a lot better streaming numbers than EOM was at that time in its run. It’s possible it could split some votes between pop voters.

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[storminthedark Joined: Jul 13th, 2020 Topics: 1 Posts: 344 View Predictions]

#1204935363

I could see Woman racking up some nominations since it’s a weak year for Pop and they seem to like Doja. It depends if they campaign for it once the eligibility period is over or not, they might move on to other things. The track for Elvis she did sounds excellent and there’s the collaboration with Post which could be a contender in Pop Duo/Group.

Justin will probably get a nomination for Ghost if no other big hits come out over summer. If he got in Pop Solo for Yummy, he’ll get it for this.

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[storminthedark Joined: Jul 13th, 2020 Topics: 1 Posts: 344 View Predictions]

#1204931378

That poster is serving Lifetime movie to me. I hope it does well though, the Oscars (and the industry at large) desperately need to boost more WOC.

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[storminthedark Joined: Jul 13th, 2020 Topics: 1 Posts: 344 View Predictions]

#1204930453

For all the talk about Adele and Harry splitting votes giving Kendrick an advantage, I don’t actually think there will be many other pop albums in the AOTY lineup? Adele has appeal in every branch as we all know, Harry will probably gain some votes from rock and maybe some alternative voters if they like AIW, but they’re the only two big pop artists who we know for now will release in time? Unless Taylor submits Red TV and gets in, and I guess Ed too, it’s possible they could be the only two major pop albums in AOTY since May is stacked for rap releases, and I don’t see BTS getting in AOTY with their album in June.

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[storminthedark Joined: Jul 13th, 2020 Topics: 1 Posts: 344 View Predictions]

#1204919294

None of the singles from 30 have been as ubiquitous as Easy on Me, she’d be shooting herself in the foot by submitting other songs in Pop/GF. There’s not been enough success with either Oh My God or I Drink Wine to warrant different submissions.

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[storminthedark Joined: Jul 13th, 2020 Topics: 1 Posts: 344 View Predictions]

#1204918844

Late Night Talking sounds like a bop, if that’s the next single it could be huge.

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[storminthedark Joined: Jul 13th, 2020 Topics: 1 Posts: 344 View Predictions]

#1204916498

jjjmoss wrote:

Adele’s album dropped out of the top 40 already. Yikes.

I don’t know how they’re going to campaign this once the eligibility period closes. It feels like it’s already being forgotten about by the general public, it shouldn’t be dropping this low when the charts are so weak and have been this whole year so far. EOM feels a lot stronger than 30 to me, if there’s going to be an upset against Adele (which still seems unlikely) then I think it’ll be in AOTY rather than SOTY or ROTY.

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