[M: The Original Joined: Aug 5th, 2014 Topics: 8 Posts: 1025 View Predictions]

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Ellen Burstyn’s last Best Actress nod was for the unrated version of her movie. Which was given NC-17 but the distributor wanted no stigma so they went unrated without cuts.

[M: The Original Joined: Aug 5th, 2014 Topics: 8 Posts: 1025 View Predictions]

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Vicki Leekx wrote:

Queen Tilda is coming

For? Tilda doing year best work hasn’t ignited new interest from voters before.

[M: The Original Joined: Aug 5th, 2014 Topics: 8 Posts: 1025 View Predictions]

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Villeneuve wrote:

Can Regina King happen? They are singling her out from Harder they fall

Can her movie happen outside of her? This season is more competitive than the one she won for.

[M: The Original Joined: Aug 5th, 2014 Topics: 8 Posts: 1025 View Predictions]

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Barbra Please wrote:

I’m curious if there’s going another Marina De Tavira and Lakeith Stanfield in supporting races again.

Imagine being a surprise nominees with only Oscar nomination so far.

This should become a trend for the Oscars. Recognizing great performances without being a precursors sheep.

Both were in best picture nominees.

[M: The Original Joined: Aug 5th, 2014 Topics: 8 Posts: 1025 View Predictions]

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kbc wrote:

Not only that it seems Focus is thinking it can pull enough votes to get Judi Dench her second Oscar despite the competition.

Dench has two things in her favorite overdue for a 2nd win — she lost the battle to win in Best Actress some nominations back and her movie being a best picture contender for the win.

[M: The Original Joined: Aug 5th, 2014 Topics: 8 Posts: 1025 View Predictions]

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Bee wrote:

I’m not understanding the perception that Stewart struggles with SAG? Spencer is one of the most hyped films and she’s literally the frontrunner, so why wouldn’t they watch and therefore vote for her?

Tammy Faye played way stronger with the SAG people. It is a sag-got of a movie.

[M: The Original Joined: Aug 5th, 2014 Topics: 8 Posts: 1025 View Predictions]

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crabbie wrote:

Regina King first time Oscar nominee defeated six-time nominated Amy Adams. Regina King had 2 Emmys at the time and it’s already difficult to win 2 Emmys as it is so yeah it cemented her as an acting veteran who needed the right film to be an Oscar vehicle for her to win. 2 Emmys > 2 Oscar nominations.

Supporting Actress wins usually go to first time nominees. I don’t know exactly how to identify the hesitation of Oscar voters with Amy Adams? Taken for granted like previous multi-nominees who never won competitively.

[M: The Original Joined: Aug 5th, 2014 Topics: 8 Posts: 1025 View Predictions]

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Bassett wrote:

Janney was already an Emmy/SAG legend and industry giant before she won her Oscar and it doesn’t look like Jess is anywhere near that status yet. Not comparable

Chastain is a two-time previous Oscar nominee. Which actually helps more than recognition elsewhere outside the medium. Janney was a participate in many Oscar recognized movies. I know supporting actress is looser than best but I see her path to victory will look a lot like Janney’s when everyone thought Metcalf had it in the bag for an eventually upset.

[M: The Original Joined: Aug 5th, 2014 Topics: 8 Posts: 1025 View Predictions]

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I think Chastain is this season’s Allison Janney.

[M: The Original Joined: Aug 5th, 2014 Topics: 8 Posts: 1025 View Predictions]

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Babylonian wrote:

Do you guys think we’ll see any black or non-white Best Lead Actress winners in the 2020s? It’s getting ridiculous that is hasn’t happened since Halle Berry.

No. They’re pretty consistent about keeping competitive Oscars from Glenn Close and any nonwhite nominee in Best Actress.

[M: The Original Joined: Aug 5th, 2014 Topics: 8 Posts: 1025 View Predictions]

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wolfali wrote:

Tessa Thompson feels like the LaKeith Stanfield/Steven Yeun breakthrough type of nomination of this year (hopefully the voters don’t write her into supporting like they did with Stanfield though lol).

That was such a unique situation where they didn’t want to vote for precursor alternative Jared Leto. I still don’t understand why David Strathairn couldn’t coattail for Nomadland?

[M: The Original Joined: Aug 5th, 2014 Topics: 8 Posts: 1025 View Predictions]

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Plumpshell wrote:

I’ve just realised that if Denzel wins Frances will be giving him his Oscar

Just like Streep did for Day-Lewis.

[M: The Original Joined: Aug 5th, 2014 Topics: 8 Posts: 1025 View Predictions]

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I think Chastain is the tangible front runner. People who never wanted her in the conversation in the first place are happy her movie tanked at the specialty box office. But that is an historical irrelevancy for this specific category. Stewart is seen as the cool kid choice — an underdog child star finally getting her due — see Kirsten Dunst — and also for us old heads Martha Plimpton.

If Spencer is following the same stylistic template as Jackie — it’ll only be a factor in best actress and (makeup and costumes).

[M: The Original Joined: Aug 5th, 2014 Topics: 8 Posts: 1025 View Predictions]

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Bassett wrote:

Let’s just say that I’m pretty.. cautious about predicting a black performer to win in Lead

Will is arguably the biggest black leading star ever but I can’t bring myself to predict him until it actually happens. Although I’d love that

His rival this season is Denzel which means he’ll loose to Denzel. They need to stop playing with his 3rd Oscar and lock him in.

[M: The Original Joined: Aug 5th, 2014 Topics: 8 Posts: 1025 View Predictions]

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Lil Tony wrote:

I voted Alfre Woodard because she doesn’t get the opportunities she deserves. I’ll still be happy if Meryl Street takes it

I voted for Woodard too. The industry thrust and attention they’re giving she and Octavia Spencer should have been a thing for her too.

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