[2021ravenclaw1 Joined: Oct 19th, 2016 Topics: 8 Posts: 1474 View Predictions]

#1205338687

Mother Dináh wrote:

Not when Flowers broke a quadrillion records, is the biggest hit of the year and has a better ballot placement in SOTY.

• God is a woman lost BPSP when No Tears Left To Cry would’ve won
• Lonely lost BPD/GP when Peaches would’ve won
• “Right On Time” barely made it to SOTY thanks to the 8 to 10 expansion, and “You And Me On The Rock” was snubbed.

Miley’s track record at the Grammys is so bad, she can’t waste Flowers like that. Voters are not going to scroll down all the way to R just for Miley Cyrus. They don’t even do that for Brandi Carlile!

No Tears Left to Cry would’ve lost too. Pop voters were just name-checking Gaga that year and switching Ariana’s songs wouldn’t change that. Agree it would be silly not to submit Flowers

“Every time someone tries to win a war before it starts, innocent people die. Every time”

[2021ravenclaw1 Joined: Oct 19th, 2016 Topics: 8 Posts: 1474 View Predictions]

#1205332906

AKingSpeech wrote:

WE ARE was better than every last one of those pop albums. He deserved his win. I feel a way when people use the first African American AOTY winner as a lead artist in over a decade as an example of what shouldn’t happen. It wasn’t a HIT album but this isn’t Billboard Music awards. His upset was a pleasant surprise. Billie didn’t need another after her sweep. Olivia and Taylor damn sure didn’t. Gaga using that declining old man didn’t need it. Besides That’s I’d like to see 8 being the max in the GF with 5 being the max for BNA.

Gaga didn’t use Tony

Everything else this said was fair

“Every time someone tries to win a war before it starts, innocent people die. Every time”

[2021ravenclaw1 Joined: Oct 19th, 2016 Topics: 8 Posts: 1474 View Predictions]

#1205328904

Alexandra wrote:

Yes the era of sweeps is over. However, I think voters will see that Taylor is yet to win SOTY (ironically) and want to reward her. SOTY is her best chance in the GF.

Yes because the they have never won in that specific category arc worked so well for Beyoncé…

“Every time someone tries to win a war before it starts, innocent people die. Every time”

[2021ravenclaw1 Joined: Oct 19th, 2016 Topics: 8 Posts: 1474 View Predictions]

#1205323985

Boz wrote:

I’d argue “Boy’s a liar” and “Escapism.” are much more likely than 90% of these though

I don’t consider Ice Spice Grammy competitive. I feel like she’s going to be looked at as a fad

“Every time someone tries to win a war before it starts, innocent people die. Every time”

[2021ravenclaw1 Joined: Oct 19th, 2016 Topics: 8 Posts: 1474 View Predictions]

#1205323471

Current Best Pop Duo/Group Performance Possibilities

Thousand Miles- Miley Cyrus featuring Brandi Carlile

Who We Love- Sam Smith and Ed Sheeran

Snow on the Beach- Taylor Swift featuring Lana Del Rey

Special- Lizzo and SZA

Calm Down- Rema and Selena Gomez

I bet at most 2 of these get in by end of eligibility

 

“Every time someone tries to win a war before it starts, innocent people die. Every time”

[2021ravenclaw1 Joined: Oct 19th, 2016 Topics: 8 Posts: 1474 View Predictions]

#1205322325

Endless Summer Vacation tracklist includes Thousand Miles a duet with Brandi Carlile. Possible BPDGP contender?

“Every time someone tries to win a war before it starts, innocent people die. Every time”

[2021ravenclaw1 Joined: Oct 19th, 2016 Topics: 8 Posts: 1474 View Predictions]

#1205314485

Munchi wrote:

Kill Bill is 100% naturally instrumented and was written appropriately. In fact, I loved the electric bass & electric guitar specifically. I think the use of electric instruments might be causing the confusion.

I think Kill Bill gets in but it’s way too immature to win anything

“Every time someone tries to win a war before it starts, innocent people die. Every time”

[2021ravenclaw1 Joined: Oct 19th, 2016 Topics: 8 Posts: 1474 View Predictions]

#1205305108

If released as a single I could see “Who We Love” by Sam Smith and Ed Sheeran getting into Best Pop Duo/Group Performance. Beautiful song

“Every time someone tries to win a war before it starts, innocent people die. Every time”

[2021ravenclaw1 Joined: Oct 19th, 2016 Topics: 8 Posts: 1474 View Predictions]

#1205304555

BPSP right now seems like Kill Bill vs Anti-Hero vs Flowers. I’m assuming Dua and Olivia will have a song get in there when they release. That could easily be the 5

“Every time someone tries to win a war before it starts, innocent people die. Every time”

[2021ravenclaw1 Joined: Oct 19th, 2016 Topics: 8 Posts: 1474 View Predictions]

#1205304330

I don’t think it’s nomination competitive at all but purely hypothetical would Bloody Mary by Lady Gaga be eligible since it was released as a single during the eligibility period and Born This Way didn’t win anything

“Every time someone tries to win a war before it starts, innocent people die. Every time”

[2021ravenclaw1 Joined: Oct 19th, 2016 Topics: 8 Posts: 1474 View Predictions]

#1205297088

alex wrote:

if Ariana couldn’t get a SOTY nomination for thank u next, i don’t see how this is locked for Miley Cyrus be serious. A ROTY might be on lock though.

I get your point but Ariana didn’t get in during the committee era, there’s no way of knowing if she would’ve missed in a straight vote

“Every time someone tries to win a war before it starts, innocent people die. Every time”

[2021ravenclaw1 Joined: Oct 19th, 2016 Topics: 8 Posts: 1474 View Predictions]

#1205297086

alex wrote:

Also the thing with everyone here and saying that tay isn’t liked by pop voters bc she’s only won once, i understand that. However, i think that narrative here is a bit exaggerated. she has the most pop solo nominations and 2nd most pop vocal album nominations. (i rly don’t think her missing noms for evermore and red tv is anything of a serious indication lets be real) i know everyones rooting for miley but realistically she’s always been a non factor to the academy. it’s great that flowers is smashing but i don’t see it as a threat to win because this isn’t the billboard music awards. About Damn Time was like the 4th biggest song from the ROTY nominees. Even though Tay might not be as popular in pop voters she’s still ahead of miley by a long shot. With all that said, there will defo be more serious threats than miley releasing in the next few months and summer. With Dua, Olivia and Billie all possibly releasing this year they’re more respected and liked than miley.

Taylor isn’t a pop favorite, but on paper Midnights is her best chance in the pop field since 1989. A true pop album with a massive hit, but I can’t see her winning BPVA if Anti-Hero is her only hit and other albums have multiple (which I could easily see Dua, Olivia, and Miley doing). BPSP she has a stronger chance because Anti-Hero is a huge hit that fits the BPSP normal strategy (number 1 hit  with lots of streams, and they normally go for something dance-ish or a ballad and Anti-Hero is kinda a combo of that)

“Every time someone tries to win a war before it starts, innocent people die. Every time”

[2021ravenclaw1 Joined: Oct 19th, 2016 Topics: 8 Posts: 1474 View Predictions]

#1205295045

lovetodream wrote:

idk whether or not aoty is going to sos but i can tell you its not going to midnights. she might have a chance in roty and soty though. if they spread the wealth id personally love to see AOTY – SOS ROTY – something from dojas upcoming album SOTY – Anti-Hero or maybe a billie or Olivia song? idk ill have to see what comes out BNA – i would genuinely love to see ice spice take this she’s had a mf year so far. she’s made more actual noise than latto lmfao POP SOLO – Flowers (im seeing an easy on me type situation for this song) POP VOCAL ALBUM – midnights (no way she doesn’t win this lmao)

Honestly too much faith in Midnights, Taylor is a Grammys darling but not a pop one by any means. If Olivia and Dua release in time they can beat her

“Every time someone tries to win a war before it starts, innocent people die. Every time”

[2021ravenclaw1 Joined: Oct 19th, 2016 Topics: 8 Posts: 1474 View Predictions]

#1205291971

I feel like Brandi will win AOTY but not ROTY (if she submitted Broken Horses I’d say she won both).

“Every time someone tries to win a war before it starts, innocent people die. Every time”

[2021ravenclaw1 Joined: Oct 19th, 2016 Topics: 8 Posts: 1474 View Predictions]

#1205291296

daniel wrote:

not to be delusional but the fact they had beyoncé break the record in the middle of the show rather than nearer the end may suggest she wins again

“Not to be delusional… but here’s my delusion”

“Every time someone tries to win a war before it starts, innocent people die. Every time”