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Oscars Nominations 2021

Predictions

Best Picture

  • Nomadland 7/1
  • The Trial of the Chicago 7 15/2
  • Ma Rainey's Black Bottom 17/2

Best Director

  • Chloe Zhao 7/2
  • David Fincher 9/2
  • Aaron Sorkin 13/2

Best Actress

  • Viola Davis 37/10
  • Frances McDormand 4/1
  • Vanessa Kirby 9/2

Best Actor

  • Chadwick Boseman 17/5
  • Anthony Hopkins 4/1
  • Riz Ahmed 5/1

Best Supporting Actress

  • Amanda Seyfried 19/5
  • Olivia Colman 4/1
  • Ellen Burstyn 5/1

Best Supporting Actor

  • Leslie Odom, Jr. 19/5
  • Sacha Baron Cohen 9/2
  • Daniel Kaluuya 11/2

Best Adapted Screenplay

  • Nomadland 71/20
  • One Night in Miami 4/1
  • Ma Rainey's Black Bottom 9/2

Best Original Screenplay

  • The Trial of the Chicago 7 71/20
  • Mank 5/1
  • Minari 5/1

Grammy Nominations 2021

Predictions

Record of the Year

  • Blinding Lights 4/1
  • Don't Start Now 13/2
  • Circles 15/2
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Daniel Montgomery

Daniel Montgomery is still outraged at the Emmys for snubbing "Buffy the Vampire Slayer" all those years. That travesty of justice was a significant factor that drove his interest in showbiz awards; who does the industry uphold as its best, and why? Born and raised in the Bronx, New York, Montgomery earned a bachelor's degree in English with a minor in film studies from the University at Albany. He's a self-published writer of short fiction in addition to his awards and reality TV prognostication at Gold Derby. And he'll never let you forget that he correctly predicted 23 out of 24 Oscar categories the year "Birdman" won Best Picture.

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    Daniel Montgomery
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    November 20, 2020 at 8:17 pm #1203851876
    AwardsBait3818 wrote:

    Are there some not great decisions here? Yes, artist nominations for Ariana Grande, Cardi B, and Beyoncé despite all barely releasing any music in the eligibility period, and “Stupid Love”, “WAP”, and “Fetch the Bolt Cutters” all receiving nominations in categories they didn’t even submit to at the Grammys are questionable to say the least. But did we get some cool out of left field picks? Yes, Punisher, Sawayama, Joji, and Orville Peck are interesting picks that we won’t likely get at the Grammys, so even if you personally didn’t vote for them I think they’re worth applauding.

    I appreciate this sentiment, which is how I felt as I saw the votes coming in (for eligibility we left in what was eligible during the 12 months in contention in addition to what was submitted for Grammys, and let voters make whatever calls they decided). Stans got a lot of what they wanted with Taylor, Lady Gaga, Harry Styles (whose work all got significant acclaim), but we also got top noms for people who weren’t obvious stan picks like Rina Sawayama, Phoebe Bridgers, and Chloe x Halle.

    I’m proud of the list we put together even though I myself don’t personally agree with all the picks. These are our first music awards. They’re voted on by users. And as JGibson pointed out, TV and movie fans are typically just as mad at us for our nominations every year. So if you’re outraged at our noms, it’s even more an indication that you’re a welcome member of the Gold Derby family. And I thank you all so much for your input as we’ve put these together. I care about music, and I want to serve this community as best I can 🙂

    Reply
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    Daniel Montgomery
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    October 21, 2020 at 10:31 am #1203793853

    Wild that Finneas is eligible for Best New Artist. I understand the reasoning for him being technically eligible since he only won for behind-the-scenes work with Billie Eilish, but I were screening those submissions, I probably would have disqualified him.

    I’ve added him to the predictions center. I suspect he’d get enough votes from the academy to be nominated, but I wonder if the review committee might decide against it.

    Reply
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    Daniel Montgomery
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    October 12, 2020 at 12:09 pm #1203773196

    Hi guys!

    Building of the Gold Derby Music Awards even is well underway and I hope to have it launched this week. I’ve decided on what categories will be, and I know a lot of you want a big, robust event, and I’d love to give it to you, but keep in mind that each and every new candidate needs to be added to the system one at a time, so if I try to be too comprehensive the awards will never go forward at all. Looking ahead to next year, I can up the number of categories since I’ll be able to work on candidates over time (I’ve already started a preliminary list of albums and songs for the 2022 Grammys and will keep the GDMAs in mind as I do that).

    Anyway, there will be 12 categories this year:

    GENERAL FIELD (10 nominees per category, you’ll be able to vote for your top 5 in order of preference):

    Artist of the Year
    Album of the Year
    Record of the Year
    Song of the Year
    Best New Artist

    GENRE (5 nominees per category, you’ll be able to vote for your top 3 in order of preference)

    Best Pop Artist
    Best R&B Artist
    Best Rock/Alternative Artist
    Best Rap/Hip Hop Artist
    Best Country/Americana Artist
    Best Latin Artist

    Best Music Video

    In genre categories, I’m going to approach those sort of like the American Music Awards do: if an artist straddles genres, I’ll include them and allow them to be nominated in multiple categories if they get enough votes (for instance, I’ll put Post Malone in both pop and rap/hip-hop).

    And I’ll let you guys request additions if you want to vote for someone in a category who’s missing. I’ll add missing contenders on a case-by-case basis.

    Thanks for your patience everyone, and I hope you guys have fun with these when I launch them.

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    Daniel Montgomery
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    October 7, 2020 at 4:13 pm #1203765950
    darren wrote:

    Country Album Willie Nelson – First Rose of Spring Rap Album Nas – King’s Disease Nav – Good Intentions

    Added

    Reply
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    Daniel Montgomery
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    October 7, 2020 at 3:37 pm #1203765875

    BTW, Latin Grammys are now in the predictions center for the first time ever. We’re not sure yet how much engagement there will be since we’ve never done it before, but if you’ve visited this thread, I’m guessing you’ll be interested, so jump in! 😉

    Reply
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    Daniel Montgomery
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    October 5, 2020 at 11:20 am #1203761409

    These three categories have been added to the predictions center. Again, if there’s anything you think should be added that isn’t there, just post in this thread.

    Reply
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    Daniel Montgomery
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    October 4, 2020 at 12:21 pm #1203759149
    Boz wrote:

    Pop Smoke Shoot For the Moon Aim For the Stars: AOTY, Rap Album Dior: Rap Perf, Rap Song For the Night: Melodic Rap Perf

    Should I delete him from Best New Artist in the predictions center, or might he still be up for that?

    Reply
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    Daniel Montgomery
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    October 3, 2020 at 4:24 pm #1203757243

    I set up new threads for the top general field categories so they don’t fill up so fast and run in so many different directions. I’m gonna close this one

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    Daniel Montgomery
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    October 1, 2020 at 9:55 am #1203748980

    Bump, any more suggestions for additions?

    Reply
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    Daniel Montgomery
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    September 30, 2020 at 1:39 pm #1203746010

    I’ve added a number of missing songs/albums to the predictions center based on the intel in this thread so far including Laura Marling (Album, Record), Brandy Clark (R, S), Brittany Howard (R, S), SHAED (R, S), Yola (R, S), Margo Price (S).

    If you want to predict them and don’t see them in there right away, sometimes it takes a bit for the system to refresh. Check back a little later.

    Reply
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    Daniel Montgomery
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    September 29, 2020 at 8:21 pm #1203743637

    Best New Artist predictions now launched in the predictions center, to be revised as we learn about the submissions. I’ll keep an eye on the forums to try to stay on top of it.

    Reply
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    Daniel Montgomery
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    September 29, 2020 at 3:48 pm #1203743115

    I’m gonna hold off on BTS and Juice WRLD for now. They’re so high-profile that they’ll probably get lots of people predicting them right away, and I don’t want to do that if I end up having to pull them out. Voting starts soon so if we find out they’re up for Best New Artist after all, it’ll be easy to add them with plenty of time before nominations.

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    Daniel Montgomery
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    September 29, 2020 at 8:49 am #1203741330
    Prada wrote:

    Honey, let’s keep it 100. Many of these artists mentioned are NOT candidates for Best New Artist.

    Black Pumas and Tank and the Bangas taught me never to say never in Best New Artist 😉

    Reply
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    Daniel Montgomery
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    September 29, 2020 at 8:39 am #1203741279
    DP wrote:

    https://hitsdailydouble.com/news&id=322969&title+GRAMMY-CHEW%3A-BEST-NEW-ARTIST According to HITS Daily Double (link above) these are their predicted ‘LOCKS’ for BNA: Summer Walker BTS Juice Wrld Pop Smoke Morgan Wallen

    Do others agree about adding BTS and Juice WRLD? I could see them both easily being nominees or also disqualified because the academy decides they really broke out in a previous year.

    Reply
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    Daniel Montgomery
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    June 17, 2020 at 3:31 pm #1203539304

    Whew! I managed to get Record and Song of the Year up faster than expected. Those categories are live now. Let me know if you guys see anything on the Song of the Year list that doesn’t belong, like covers that wouldn’t be eligible for songwriting.

    Reply
Viewing 15 posts - 1 through 15 (of 2,492 total)
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