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November 18, 2019 at 10:10 pm #1203186154
Watched Honey Boy today. I think Shia deserves a spot. Definitely over Willem Dafoe (who I love). I’m sorry, but Dafoe’s performance in The Lighthouse just doesn’t seem like the type Oscar voters would go for (even if they love to nominate him). Plus 3 noms in 3 years seems like a bit much to give to an actor who they haven’t seen fit to award yet.
Anywho… back to Shia. His is my favorite Supporting Actor performance that I’ve seen so far this year. I’m still waiting to see The Irishman as well as Hanks, but as of now, I would vote for Shia over the likes of Dafoe, anyone from Jojo Rabbit and Pitt.
ReplyNovember 18, 2019 at 9:20 pm #1203186127I just caught up with this week’s episode and… wow!!! If Rami Malek can somehow use his Oscar win to get a comeback nomination for the final season of Mr. Robot, he will be winning another Emmy thanks to this tape!
Stunning performance!
Also bravo to Gloria Reuben who has always been great on the series. I hope she ends up being in less than half the season in order to be eligible for Guest Actress in a Drama Series.
This episode should also be considered for a writing nomination.
I’m excited that there are 6 more episodes left!
ReplyNovember 17, 2019 at 11:42 am #1203183447I might be in the minority here, but I think Taylor has a better shot at getting into Record of the Year with “You Need To Calm Down” than SOTY for “Lover” …
“Lover” was way too new during the voting period and wasn’t actually a hit song… my guess is most voters probably hadn’t heard it by the time they voted. I think the comparison to “A Million Reasons” is fair. Neither song was natural “hit” … both artists really worked hard to promote those songs in order for them to reach Top 10 status on the charts (for a single week).
November 17, 2019 at 11:34 am #1203183436It wasn’t submitted to Pop Duo
In that case, never mind lol. I’m already forgetting where everything was submitted… Wednesday can’t come sooner!
ReplyNovember 17, 2019 at 11:31 am #1203183430Banderas is in and would not be surprised if he won one of the big 3 critic awards soo ya ll gonna have to look elsewhere for your snub.
I agree. I think Antonio is in for his career-best performance in a Oscar favorite auteur’s likely Best International Feature nominee. I honestly see him getting more #1 votes than Leo or Robert (but not as many as Phoenix or Driver).
ReplyNovember 17, 2019 at 9:04 am #1203183186My big out-of-left field prediction is that P!nk & Chris Stapleton get into Pop Duo/Group with “Love Me Anyway” and then end up winning. If it’s able to be nominated, it will be peaking at the right time to steal the win from some of these big hit records. Grammys love to vote conservatively in this category and this song fits right up their alley!
ReplyNovember 17, 2019 at 8:59 am #1203183180Wednesday can’t come soon enough!!
I’m starting to think…
1) Gary Clark Jr will not be pulling a Brandie Carlile this year. Maybe only 1 GF nom, like Record or Song.
2) All the Pop divas will get into AOTY… Billie, Ariana, Taylor, Lana, Gaga (although i’m the least sure about Gaga bc of the soundtrack part/Bradley Cooper)
3) No Hip-Hop in the General Field this year (unless you count Lizzo).
4) A major country contender will emerge (maybe Maren Morris… maybe someone else).
Either way, can’t wait to see some WTF nominations! Lol
November 17, 2019 at 8:49 am #1203183166Idk about Maggie Smith. I hope she doesn’t get in because she’s been awarded enough for this role and she could play it in her sleep, but at the same time I love her and would love to see her get another Oscar nom.
Agreed. I am a HUGE Downton Abbey fan and as a fan, I loved the film… however… it shouldn’t be a major awards player at the Oscars. Yes, Maggie was great as she always has been and she KILLS her final scene (making everyone in the audience cry), but she doesn’t necessarily bring anything new to the table.
If she gets in, it will be because of THAT scene and the love for Maggie. Realistically, I only see her getting into BAFTA and maybe SAG or Globes. I think Oscar voters will go more with left-Field choices with their noms from BP contenders.
ReplyNovember 16, 2019 at 11:09 am #1203182182I saw Ford v Ferrari last night. I’m not a sports or car person and the movie won me over. Definitely a contender for BP, Director, Writing… maybe Tracy Letts in Supporting. Bale has an outside shot at scoring a Lead nom (but that category is just so competitive!).
I have yet to see A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood, but with every day that passes it feels like it’s more and more likely to be completely snubbed. At best it’s in contention to be nominated for only 3 awards (BP, Supporting, Screenplay)… but no ones talking about it. It’s hard for me to believe it will get very many #1 votes to secure any of those nominations… even Hanks. But we’ll see.
Also, is The Two Popes happening or not??
ReplyNovember 16, 2019 at 11:02 am #1203182180What campaign? Beyonce didn’t promote like the other girls.
Umm… She did a whole TV special about the making of the soundtrack for The Lion King. I haven’t seen any other contender have that to their credit so far this Oscar season. Plus not all original songs get music videos released, let alone a big-budgeted one… “Spirit” did.
ReplyNovember 15, 2019 at 9:35 am #1203180821“Spirit” will likely not be nominated. It’s not very good or original. Despite a huge campaign it failed to gain any fans outside of the BeeHive.
After my initial listen to “Beautiful Ghosts” I think I like it, I was just thrown off a bit by Taylor’s vocal performance. No offense to her, but I would have liked for someone with better vocal chops to have recorded the song. I’ll have to reserve my judgement until I hear the film version performed by one of the actors in Cats.
ReplyNovember 14, 2019 at 7:54 pm #1203180139I think people are underestimating Alfre Woodard for CLEMENCY. I know Neon is not arranging a big campaign for her, but still… She’s respected, the performance is raved and the category needs some veteran blood I would say. Plus, maybe not campaigning her is the campaign… I know it sounds foolish but not seeing a proper campaign for her might earn her critics votes and SAG support from her peers so she can get visibility (which might work for an actress of her status).
Unfortunately without a campaign and without the movie being released yet she doesn’t stand much of a chance at this point. Even if all the critics start backing her… there’s no buzz right now (or little compared to other contenders). If someone like Ethan Hawke couldn’t get in last year (with so many critics standing behind him) with a film that was little seen, then I doubt Alfre stands much of a chance unless she starts campaigning hard.
November 10, 2019 at 10:37 am #1203173534Honestly feel that Sam Rockwell was way more nomination-worthy than Taika Waititi
I felt the same way watching Jojo Rabbit. Taika was fine, but my eyes were on Sam. His character was hilarious and heartwarming and I thought to myself that voters would eat this performance up!
ReplyNovember 10, 2019 at 10:33 am #1203173522I have not seen Luce, but the film just seems too small to score an Oscar nomination. It didn’t do anything at Box Office and no one is talking about it (outside these forums). I’m sure Octavia Spencer is worthy, but she has missed out on a nom before for an independent film: Fruitville Station …and that film had a much bigger presence in its award season.
ReplyNovember 10, 2019 at 10:27 am #1203173510The amount of people underestimating Awkwafina’s chances at scoring a nom is crazy to me. I think The Farewell is going to play big with Oscar voters… and already has with screenings.
I think she’s in and Renee (in the lead to win) is in.
2 out of these 3 (Charlize, Saoirse, Scarlet) will be nom’d and one will be snubbed.
Either Alfre Woodard or Cynthia Erivo is getting that 5th slot… my money is on Alfre… a legend who hasn’t got her due in the industry (assuming the performance is there). I would love Lupita to show up, but it’s not happening.
I think Cynthia’s hardcore campaigning might just pay off with an Original Song nom.
