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Oscars Nominations 2021

Predictions

Best Picture

  • Nomadland 13/2
  • The Trial of the Chicago 7 15/2
  • Minari 17/2

Best Director

  • Chloe Zhao 82/25
  • David Fincher 9/2
  • Aaron Sorkin 11/2

Best Actress

  • Carey Mulligan 37/10
  • Viola Davis 4/1
  • Frances McDormand 4/1

Best Actor

  • Chadwick Boseman 10/3
  • Anthony Hopkins 4/1
  • Riz Ahmed 9/2

Best Supporting Actress

  • Olivia Colman 4/1
  • Yuh-Jung Youn 9/2
  • Glenn Close 5/1

Best Supporting Actor

  • Daniel Kaluuya 37/10
  • Sacha Baron Cohen 4/1
  • Leslie Odom, Jr. 4/1

Best Adapted Screenplay

  • Nomadland 69/20
  • One Night in Miami 4/1
  • The Father 9/2

Best Original Screenplay

  • The Trial of the Chicago 7 71/20
  • Promising Young Woman 9/2
  • Minari 9/2

Grammy Nominations 2021

Predictions

Record of the Year

  • Blinding Lights 4/1
  • Don't Start Now 13/2
  • Circles 15/2
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Atypical

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    Atypical
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    March 2, 2021 at 7:23 am #1204076372
    Vicki Leekx wrote:

    Anthony Hopkins literally just gave an undeniable performance but will lose for political reasons, and he is older than Glenn. Good roles for older actors exist. It’s disrespectful to Close and her legacy to think her only chance of winning will be for a panned movie with a performance that hasn’t even had unanimous praise from critics. Sophia Loren also gave an undeniable performance but is suffering from lack of buzz and category confusion. It wouldn’t shock me if they switched her to this category for the Oscars.

    None of those examples are equivalent. Roles for older men are far more prevalent than older women in Hollywood, which is why Hopkins can land “The Two Popes” and “The Father” in quick succession while Close has to settle for voiceover roles in video games. Loren’s opportunity is in large part due to her son who directed and co-adapted “The Life Ahead.” Thinking that some grand future roles for Close will just happen b/c of her legacy is dead wrong and not based in cold reality.

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    Atypical
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    March 1, 2021 at 6:03 pm #1204075432

    Glenn Close, “Hillbilly Elegy”
    Olivia Colman, “The Father”
    Amanda Seyfried, “Mank”
    Youn Yuh-Jung, “Minari”
    Helena Zengel, “News of the World”

    Reply
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    Atypical
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    March 1, 2021 at 5:58 pm #1204075420
    Pinkpie48 wrote:

    I used to think this was possible, but let’s get real here. She hasn’t had a hit in any medium for over 20 years (unless you count her 15 min in Guardians of the Galaxy).

    Moreover, none of her films have aged well.

    And even with the great overdue narrative, she couldn’t win in 2018.

    She’s very talented, but the universe isn’t on her side.

    “Dangerous Liaisons” and “Fatal Attraction” are both classics and have aged perfectly well.

    Reply
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    Atypical
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    March 1, 2021 at 2:12 pm #1204074957

    “Nomadland” (2020): It’s hard to view Oscar frontrunners after the fact when that frames so much of the discussion, if it’s worth the build-up or not. I see the BP race as being solely between this and “The Trial of the Chicago 7,” with both films speaking squarely to the grim sociopolitical climate of today in polar opposite ways. I know that I was far more entertained and roused by “Chicago 7,” but I was moved in a deeper way with “Nomadland” as a significant exploration of grief and resilience. Since I knew nothing about nomadic life before now, I did some digging. First and foremost, they make the active choice to embrace community over commerce, refusing to be called “homeless” regardless of the circumstances leading them to the lifestyle. Frances McDormand anchored the film beautifully. You can’t take your eyes off of her, which is necessary since what’s surrounding her is so contemplative, flattening, and slow-moving. This was my first Chloé Zhao film, and hopefully not my last. She has such a distinctive auteur voice, and some of the choices she made knocked me for a loop. The cinéma vérité style was right up my alley, and Joshua James Richards’s cinematography is at the top of my predictions. The nonactors really gave the film authenticity. I doubt any of them could coattail McDormand, but Swankie was incredible and highly impactful. Linda May had an undeniable warmth to her. Bob Wells’s bookends with McDormand served the narrative beautifully. I thought for the longest time that David Strathairn could be the surprise supporting actor contender to watch out for, but sadly I found Dave’s arc ill-fitting and contrived. Something like this winning BP would be unprecedented, but I can’t stop thinking about the film or Fern, who is simply unforgettable. Even with the abhorrent “Three Billboards…,” I never wavered with McDormand’s standout work there, and here, she’s like I’ve never seen her before. It was like she was renewed or refreshed. I’ll want to see this film again in the near future too.

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    Atypical
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    March 1, 2021 at 1:31 pm #1204074902

    Terrible ratings. From HR:

    Ratings for the Golden Globes crashed hard Sunday, with early numbers for the ceremony coming in far below last year’s telecast.

    Fast national ratings — which aren’t fully time zone-adjusted and not entirely accurate — show NBC’s broadcast averaging just 5.42 million viewers and a 1.2 rating in the key ad demographic of adults 18-49. Both are down more than 60 percent from the preliminary figures from last year (14.76 million and 3.8).

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    Atypical
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    March 1, 2021 at 10:25 am #1204074212
    wolfali wrote:

    My condolences to anyone who thought Glenn Close was winning.

    Save your smug disingenuousness. We’ll be just fine, and so will Close.

    Reply
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    March 1, 2021 at 5:23 am #1204073073

    Time to return to this with the streaming release on February 26th and Andra Day’s shocking upset Globes win.

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    March 1, 2021 at 5:17 am #1204073030

    Thrilled that “Schitt’s Creek” made it to the finish line in Comedy instead of the latest, shiny new object that usually wins out there. Catherine O’Hara being the corresponding acting win was great too. I predicted her for the longest time, but succumbed to peer pressure with Kaley Cuoco at the last minute. Sad that Dan Levy couldn’t pull through in supporting, but I knew he was at a disadvantage where all the other nominees were from limited series and he was the only comedy guy where that’s always at a disadvantage. I thought veteran Sutherland would be the one place where “The Undoing” would be recognized, but the Globes had other plans. The “British invasion” will probably dominate the media coverage, which will either be seen as a fun novelty or a pointed slight on American talent. “The Crown” sweep, Boyega, Taylor-Joy, and on the film side, Kaluuya, SBC, & Pike, which is insane. Redemption for Mark Ruffalo! He’s gonna trifecta, and I’ll be over the moon to see that happen! He did career-best work there, & you lot here routinely ignored “I Know This Much Is True.” Netflix finally scored a triumph with “The Queen’s Gambit,” with the breathtaking Anya Taylor-Joy winning like the universe knew that she would. I’m not predicting her to win SAG, so I’m glad she had this moment to shine. Television went much better for me than the film side with all of those upsets.

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    March 1, 2021 at 4:58 am #1204072948

    The show itself was surprisingly good for a Zoom awards. Tina and Amy are probably the best awards show hosts out there. If they ever “upgrade” to the Oscars, I’d be elated. The only major glitch was with Daniel Kaluuya’s live feed speech in the beginning, I think. Some of those acceptance speeches were pre-recorded. I just didn’t like acceptance speeches being so rushed at the end, but there was time for unnecessary skits to hog time away. Just taking away whatever Maya Rudolph and Kenan Thompson were attempting could have given extra time to like four or so winners. I liked the one where the actors called the doctors though, and Kristen Wiig’s presenting with Annie Mumulo was at least amusing (haven’t seen their movie). Also curious was how the winners were presented where the other nominees were awkwardly still being seen through the winner’s speech. It worked with Jason Sudeikis’s rambling speech when Don Cheadle did the hand motion for him to hurry up already, but it was a mess other times, especially at the upsets. No In Memoriam? Yikes. Presenters were just okay to me. Jane Fonda’s DeMille speech was thrilling and the best of the night for me. As convenient as it was, I did like seeing the HFPA leadership take an accounting for itself with the shameful lack of black membership and trying to right that sinking ship. But I also know that they would have completely been all white business as usual if they hadn’t been caught and called out, so whatever. I’m still reeling from all of these surprise winners. Andra effin’ Day, bitches! Globes gonna Globe. Off to the television side.

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    Atypical
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    March 1, 2021 at 4:23 am #1204072848
    Victor wrote:

    If I was a Glenn stan right now I would pray for her to get snubbed
    The woman will probably get to 10 acting nods losing all.

    At least she has tons of other industry awards and is a legend.

    There’s no reason in the world to “pray for a snub” if you think Close’s performance is deserving of an eighth nomination and will get nominated for the Oscars regardless.

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    February 28, 2021 at 8:44 pm #1204071245

    The latest contender + newcomer/biopic role + HFPA saving face with rewarding POC nominees with multiple wins all greatly aided Andra Day’s shocking win. Watch out for the February releases.

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    Atypical
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    February 28, 2021 at 8:20 pm #1204070983

    The latest contender’s release + newcomer/biopic role + HFPA saving face with rewarding POC nominees with multiple wins all greatly aided Andra Day’s shocking win.

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    Atypical
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    February 28, 2021 at 8:01 pm #1204070671

    ANDRA DAY?!?!? THE INTERNET JUST BROKE.

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    Atypical
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    February 28, 2021 at 7:53 pm #1204070425

    Big night for Sacha Baron Cohen! 2/3 ain’t bad lol.

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    Atypical
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    February 28, 2021 at 7:48 pm #1204070348

    Close is staying in my predictions. The Globes just rewarded her two years ago and felt like that was enough, apparently. Bakalova is the most vulnerable losing a category she should have swept.

    Reply
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