[Eden Joined: Jun 7th, 2016 Topics: 30 Posts: 2876 View Predictions]

#1204073750

I’m lost. I see people saying it’s Davis or Day taking the Oscar. What’d I miss?

Day solidified her nomination after last night’s win, but the race is wide open.

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[Eden Joined: Jun 7th, 2016 Topics: 30 Posts: 2876 View Predictions]

#1204073724

You guys almost convinced me The Crown won’t sweep. The show exploded with its latest season. Corrin and Anderson were the highlight so they easily won over their co-stars. O’Connor was in a weak category and I couldn’t convince myself to predict anyone else. Murphy was never winning – comedic performances rarely win in supporting and her winning would make sense only as a part of a full sweep for the show, which was never happening.

I’m happy I got wrong only O’Hara and Ruffalo considering how the Globes tend to be unpredictable. I didn’t make any last-minute changes here (unlike on the film side) and it paid off.

Ruffalo seems like he’s going to sweep right under our noses. I really thought Grant was in a good position to win.

Lastly, I really hope Sudeikis gets well soon. That was painful to watch.

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[Eden Joined: Jun 7th, 2016 Topics: 30 Posts: 2876 View Predictions]

#1204060985

Teaser trailer is out. Premieres May 14th.

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[Eden Joined: Jun 7th, 2016 Topics: 30 Posts: 2876 View Predictions]

#1204057487

My biggest dilemma is Supporting Actor. I’m doubtful that Schitt’s Creek can continue its Emmy sweep, which is why I’m thinking Sudeikis, Cuoco and Anderson are ahead, but giving it to Levy in supporting makes more sense if you see it as an acknowledgment of his whole involvement in the series. On the other hand, Boyega is in an acclaimed film and HFPA’s best chance at awarding a black person on the TV side.

[Eden Joined: Jun 7th, 2016 Topics: 30 Posts: 2876 View Predictions]

#1204052133

Onion wrote:

The way I was just talking here a few days ago that Kathryn Hahn wasn’t a big player on WandaVision and then episode 7 came along to make me look stupid. So proud of Hahn, though. She’s finally getting all the praise she deserves.

Hahn was terribly overlooked for her performances in I Love Dick, Mrs. Fletcher and Private Life (on the film side) and I would love if she finally got an Emmy this year. I’d give it to her just for that first scene of the reveal theme.

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[Eden Joined: Jun 7th, 2016 Topics: 30 Posts: 2876 View Predictions]

#1204051483

Streep has a certain status of grandiosity, so nominating her in a group of eight doesn’t scream, in lack of a better word, prestige. (Personally, I find her overrated.)

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[Eden Joined: Jun 7th, 2016 Topics: 30 Posts: 2876 View Predictions]

#1204051433

I get your point, I just find O’Connor more likely to happen. Season four was about him almost as much as it was about Corrin.

[Eden Joined: Jun 7th, 2016 Topics: 30 Posts: 2876 View Predictions]

#1204051429

If anything, O’Connor should be the safest from his show, since the other two categories have double nominees.

[Eden Joined: Jun 7th, 2016 Topics: 30 Posts: 2876 View Predictions]

#1204051404

Speaking of rule changes, I’d prefer going back to six nominees per category. Eight is just overwhelming. Imagine just last year nominating Streep with seven other actresses.

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[Eden Joined: Jun 7th, 2016 Topics: 30 Posts: 2876 View Predictions]

#1204051402

How is O’Connor not the frontrunner? I don’t see strong arguments for anyone else in the category.

[Eden Joined: Jun 7th, 2016 Topics: 30 Posts: 2876 View Predictions]

#1204050047

I’m really curious how they’ll end up submitting at the Creative Arts. The rules give some freedom to limited series for “single parts”, but it might just end up being a fantasy series.

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[Eden Joined: Jun 7th, 2016 Topics: 30 Posts: 2876 View Predictions]

#1204046830

OneAndOnly wrote:

Beale Street was nominated for 5 Critics Choice and Best Picture and Best Screenplay at the Globes.

Yes, exactly. I should’ve stated in my original post that I think it’s very likely for Judas to underperform at the Oscars like Beale did.

[Eden Joined: Jun 7th, 2016 Topics: 30 Posts: 2876 View Predictions]

#1204046583

Judas and the Black Messiah reminds me of If Beale Street Could Talk. Kaluuya can easily sweep his way to the Oscars like King did, but the movie fails to make it into Picture due to lack of support. Beale ended up with nominations for Supporting Actress, Screenplay and Score and Judas getting Kaluuya and Screenplay is more realistic than becoming a last-minute contender.

[Eden Joined: Jun 7th, 2016 Topics: 30 Posts: 2876 View Predictions]

#1204046304

Nice catch. I was wrong. That rule would explain the rumor.

[Eden Joined: Jun 7th, 2016 Topics: 30 Posts: 2876 View Predictions]

#1204046293

The rulebook lists the following as a criterium for a drama series:

A minimum of six episodes must air within the current eligibility year to qualify as a series.