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January 14, 2021 at 3:22 pm #1203983958
Nomadland winning Adapted is far from a given with all these wordy play adaptations.
And having so many wordy play adaptations they could cancel each other out, giving Nomadland the win. Remember, The Pianist, The Return of the King and Argo all won Adapted Screenplay over wordier and more writerly contenders.
ReplyJanuary 11, 2021 at 8:13 pm #1203978447In Memoriam : The flop contenders – Carolite
– Hillbilly Oscargy
– Mamma Mia 3 : Oscar four four How Can I Resist You?
– The Murderous Mrs. Maisel
– Pfexit
– When Your Film Fails to DAYliver
Ooh is USvBH gonna be bad?
Also, clever shade.
January 11, 2021 at 1:47 pm #1203977591…in what way did Hopkins require critics wins?
You’d think he’d steamroll with all the hype about this being one of the “greatest of all time” performances.
ReplyJanuary 11, 2021 at 2:07 am #1203975640If I only have every dollar for every stan said that for “First Man”…
Really, how many stans were there for First Man? And what makes you think this situation is at all identical when we’re in a pandemic and that undeniably influences this race?
ReplyJanuary 9, 2021 at 11:37 pm #1203973525I already said it in another thread. Last year the 1917 team has been incredibly lucky that it benefited from a deeply shortened award season. They came out late, peaked at the right time, but burned out even faster than anticipated because of actual, real passion for the movie. It was more like an initial knee-jerk reaction of the awards voters against the widely praised (and early in the race) late career masterworks by two American icons, Once Upon A Time In Hollywood and The Irishman. If it was a normal awards season they wouldn’t have swept the Guilds, the PGA would have gone to Parasite or Once Upon A Time In Hollywood. This shit won’t happen this year.
Who do you think would win all the Director awards that Mendes won? Tarantino maybe?
January 9, 2021 at 8:00 pm #1203973319Given his, let’s say “less than great”, relationship with the HFPA, it will be real easy for him to miss there altogether and that just keeps steamrolling throughout the televised. Still partially convinced he only won for Darkest Hour because they didn’t wanna embarrass themselves by snubbing the eventual Oscar winner.
His “less than great” relationship with the HFPA didn’t stop him from winning for Darkest Hour.
January 9, 2021 at 7:58 pm #1203973314Speaking of having no buzz, why are people still predicting the father? lol and minari?
The Father and Minari still have buzz. How could you ask a question this ignorant?
ReplyJanuary 9, 2021 at 7:23 pm #1203973260I see nothing but tea here And please don’t remind how Malcolm X deserved way more Oscar noms than it got. The way it would have been nominated for Pic, Director, Actor, Supp Actress/Actor for Angela and Delroy + all of the craft categories had it been a 2010’s movie ugh
The fact that Scent of a Woman was nominated for Best Picture but Malcolm X wasn’t is a crime!
January 7, 2021 at 1:59 am #1203966960Audience reviews for Da 5 Bloods are pretty negative (saying that it’s a disjoint film). It’s like two different movies when we learn their audience and critic scores. IMDB : 6.5 (shockingly low for a serious drama) RT critic score: 92% RT audience score: 53%
Rotten Tomatoes and IMDb are both known to be full of trolls.
January 5, 2021 at 9:54 pm #1203965270I think we’ll see what challenges Nomadland as the season progresses. Remember we still have three months ahead of us!
January 5, 2021 at 8:37 am #1203963640Picture 1. Nomadland 2. Chicago 7 3. Judas and the Black Messiah 4. The Father 5. Soul 6. Mank 7. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom 8. Promising Young Woman 9. Minari 10. One Night in Miami Next-up: Da 5 Bloods, News of the World, Sound of Metal, Another Round Director 1. Chloe Zhao, Nomadland 2. David Fincher, Mank 3. Florian Zeller, The Father 4. Spike Lee, Da 5 Bloods 5. Aaron Sorkin, Chicago 7 Next-up: Emerald Fennell, Regina King, Lee Isaac Chung, Shaka King, Paul Greengrass, Thomas Vinterberg I have a hard time picturing Mank falling out of contention in BP. Although I agree it’s sliding slowly downwards, I think it will settle pretty comfortably between 4th and 7th. I still struggle to see it missing out on 8-10 other nominations in a pretty thin year where it is a Netflix-backed piece about the industry from an esteemed director. I know it’s a cynical piece and quite divisive, but I think it’ll pick up industry and guild support all the same. I think only 3 films are safe though – Nomadland, Chicago 7 and The Father. There’s scenarios where any of the rest miss out imo, through a lack of passion (Ma Rainey, Mank, Miami), a lack of campaigning or divisiveness (Minari, Judas, Soul with anti-animation bias, PYW). I think Fincher is safe in Director too, but falls further behind Zhao almost daily. 3-5 I change my mind about whenever I think about it. I think The Father will do strongly across the board and Zeller’s direction is by all accounts impressive. Lee I think has enough esteem and respect in the industry to get in. Sorkin has the ring of that customary nom that will rile everyone on nomination morning, which is unscientific but sound reasoning for me to think he might make it.
If Spike Lee gets a Director nod for Da 5 Bloods than it’ll also get a Best Picture nomination.
January 4, 2021 at 10:42 pm #1203963032I feel like Vanessa is still safe for a nomination with no critics support but she definitely isn’t winning. Not like I was expecting her to anyway. I guess it’s Carey vs Viola then. Certainly not what I was expecting.
Vanessa peaked WAY too soon.
January 4, 2021 at 10:29 pm #1203963022Okay, tell me what else this year is nominated for Sound, Editing, Visual Effects, and Score in a 5 nomination lineup. I’ll wait.
I’m not sure about Visual Effects, and is its sound notable enough to net a nomination?
January 4, 2021 at 8:07 pm #12039629121917 premiered LATE. I think only by the last week of november a few critics were able to watch it. That’s why few of us didn’t know the film was gonna perform as strong as it did.
And it may have only performed as well as it did because of the truncated season which caused awards groups to have knee jerk reactions.