[wilfredpickles Joined: Jul 15th, 2017 Topics: 3 Posts: 607 View Predictions]

#1204187253

Mank overperforming in the techs at BAFTA, the only place apart from SAG where it underperformed in nominations, would perfectly suit this chaotic year.

[wilfredpickles Joined: Jul 15th, 2017 Topics: 3 Posts: 607 View Predictions]

#1204185473

crabbie wrote:

He would just need an Emmy to complete it.

He recently got a somewhat out of nowhere nod for his voice work on Central Park so it’s possible this happens soon. Imagine if he achieved the EGOT before Miranda.

Reply

[wilfredpickles Joined: Jul 15th, 2017 Topics: 3 Posts: 607 View Predictions]

#1204185250

I finally listened to all of the nominees but it hasn’t made this category any clearer. What are people predicting?

I see the argument for Husavik easily distinguishing itself, but will the wider Academy actually go for it? I can’t think of a good comparison except maybe Blame Canada which lost anyway.

I’m also not convinced that Diane Warren can win on name recognition alone for an underseen film after what happened with The Hunting Ground. Foreign language winners are also rare. How hard is Netflix campaigning for it with 3 nominees?

Hear My Voice and Fight For You sound great and their films have clearly been seen, but the lyrics and even titles are a bit dull and basically interchangeable.

I like Speak Now as well but its film is fading and I wonder if the CC win was simply them trying to predict the Oscars. Leslie Odom Jr. is at least a recognisable face (I know H.E.R has won several Grammys but she’s younger and very private).

Current predictions:

1. Husavik (?)

2. Speak Now

3. Io Si

4. Fight For You

5. Hear My Voice

 

Reply

[wilfredpickles Joined: Jul 15th, 2017 Topics: 3 Posts: 607 View Predictions]

#1204178764

I’m going to try and keep Davis at #1 until Oscar night! While PYW is my favourite of the BP nominees, I loved Ma Rainey and was disappointed when it missed that lineup. Although I haven’t seen Billie Holiday yet, I feel comfortable saying Davis would be a great winner here.

[wilfredpickles Joined: Jul 15th, 2017 Topics: 3 Posts: 607 View Predictions]

#1204178738

Elazul wrote:

Is Widows worth watching for Viola BTW?

Yes! Daniel Kaluuya is also excellent in it.

[wilfredpickles Joined: Jul 15th, 2017 Topics: 3 Posts: 607 View Predictions]

#1204177540

I had heard before that SAG loves Netflix, but wow. Both lead awards plus ensemble! Not to mention the TV Drama categories. Is this their best showing at SAG yet?

I wonder where Ma Rainey placed in the Ensemble votes (not to mention Oscar BP nominations, surely it just missed.

Reply

[wilfredpickles Joined: Jul 15th, 2017 Topics: 3 Posts: 607 View Predictions]

#1204168849

I’ve finally seen all of the BP nominees and can’t find the personal preference thread so putting a ranking here:

1) Promising Young Woman
2) Nomadland
3) Minari
4) Sound of Metal
5) The Father
6) Judas and the Black Messiah
7) Trial of the Chicago 7
8) Mank

This is the first year since the 88th Oscars that I’ve at least liked every nominee. Not totally sure on the positions of 3-6 but the top 4 and bottom 4 are pretty set.

Reply

[wilfredpickles Joined: Jul 15th, 2017 Topics: 3 Posts: 607 View Predictions]

#1204165277

George Ehret wrote:

In all seriousness, tho, I came to ask what’s winning Editing: Sound of Metal, Chicago 7, or Promising Young Woman?

No clue. Praying for an ACE/BAFTA match up.

Reply

[wilfredpickles Joined: Jul 15th, 2017 Topics: 3 Posts: 607 View Predictions]

#1204164703

SN wrote:

Nomadland is my favorite here. The pacing on it was terrific. But I don’t want Zhao winning four awards in the same night.

Nomadland is probably my favourite in Editing too. Since watching The Father I’ve actually wondered whether it could lose to Zhao there but then upset in Screenplay.

Reply

[wilfredpickles Joined: Jul 15th, 2017 Topics: 3 Posts: 607 View Predictions]

#1204164695

Wow.

I saw The Father overnight and it’s by far the strongest of the play adaptations we saw as contenders this season. I’m honestly surprised that Florian Zeller didn’t sneak into Director, I’m sure he received lots of votes.

It would make a very deserving Screenplay winner and this was the push I needed to actually predict it.

Reply

[wilfredpickles Joined: Jul 15th, 2017 Topics: 3 Posts: 607 View Predictions]

#1204162102

Marcel_Carneiro_1 wrote:

What the fvck is Tim Gray doing with his predictions? He just updated. And he has Promising Young Woman in last place for Best Picture (#8), Carey Mulligan in 5th for Best Actress and PYW Screenplay in 5th (last) place. That this guy is labeled an expert predictor is beyond pathetic

Variety did have a minor controversy with PYW. Gray didn’t write the review at the centre of that but he probably supports his colleague. This would be a hilariously petty way of showing solidarity though.

Reply

[wilfredpickles Joined: Jul 15th, 2017 Topics: 3 Posts: 607 View Predictions]

#1204158632

Croman wrote:

I thought International Film goes to the country, not the director specifically. But does Bong get to keep the actual trophy?

The director’s name is engraved in the trophy as of a few years ago. But where the trophy is kept would probably be decided by whatever national film group decided the submission in the first place. Some might stay with the directors, but most are probably in museums.

Reply

[wilfredpickles Joined: Jul 15th, 2017 Topics: 3 Posts: 607 View Predictions]

#1204154180

SN wrote:

Little Women and Phantom Thread were nominated for Best Picture

The last person to win a Costume Design Oscar for a film with no Production Design or BP nom was Alexandra Byrne, who’s nominated this year for Emma.

If it loses both CDG and BAFTA I’ll switch.

Reply

[wilfredpickles Joined: Jul 15th, 2017 Topics: 3 Posts: 607 View Predictions]

#1204153620

Fletcher wrote:

Eddie Murphy, Best Supporting Actor – Shrek

That BAFTA nom was iconic.

Reply

[wilfredpickles Joined: Jul 15th, 2017 Topics: 3 Posts: 607 View Predictions]

#1204153584

gabspss wrote:

I think Emma. for Costumes and Pinocchio for Make Up and Hairstyling.

This.

Emma. is such a typical choice and didn’t Little Women win without a Production Design nom last year?

Pinocchio’s quality should speak for it, though Ma Rainey would also be a great choice.

 

Reply