[Jays Joined: Dec 15th, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 2266 View Predictions]

#1203849240

Prisoner is so fucking good. Also loved Midnight Sky, and I’ve been obsessed with her covers this era – Zombie and Communication in particular. She’s on fire, I can’t wait for this album.

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[Jays Joined: Dec 15th, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 2266 View Predictions]

#1203848397

Is no one watching this? I would definitely recommend starting it if you haven’t already.

Kate Mara is brilliant through the first 4 episodes, especially in the episode that came out this week. She might find herself landing an Emmy nomination, tbh. Fidell has done such a great job navigating the teacher-student relationship. In the last episode, we see the power shift in Claire’s favor big time. Eric is just a kid with a legitimate crush who’s fully being taken advantage of and is being given mixed signals left and right. Claire has him wrapped around her finger. It’s scary to watch, honestly, but I think it’s an important story to tell. I just hope the rest of the series is as good as the first four episodes.

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[Jays Joined: Dec 15th, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 2266 View Predictions]

#1203831333

Watched the first three episodes yesterday, this is really good. It’s such a tricky story to tell, for obvious reasons, but I think Fidell is handling it very well so far. It’s not problematic, imo, at least from a storytelling perspective. It’s obvious from the start that Mara’s character’s actions are extremely inappropriate despite her not outwardly expressing interest in her student. It’s textbook grooming – she accepts his offer to tutor him, she bails him out when he gets in trouble at the party, she shows up at his house instead of waiting for him at the diner, she tells him to call her Claire, etc. These actions blur the line between her being his teacher and her being any other woman he’d meet walking down the street. Both parties obviously play a role in any affair, and that’s no different here, but it’s not as though Robinson’s character came on to Mara’s character out of no where, despite him making the first move. She allowed it to get to that point.

My favorite part of the series so far, and what’s probably the most haunting moment, is when they are in the car together at the end of episode 3. We know Robinson’s character is interested in her, but you could tell he didn’t realize the possible ramifications if the two did sleep together until Mara’s character finally showed mutual interest. He’s visibly nervous and scared meanwhile she’s in control. She holds all the power. I really do think it’s very well done so far.

As for the performances, Mara and Robinson are both great and they have really good chemistry. I’m sure we’ll see more *acting* as the series moves forward but I like them both a lot in this.

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[Jays Joined: Dec 15th, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 2266 View Predictions]

#1203765311

I love Garner, but Linney (and it’s not really close).

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[Jays Joined: Dec 15th, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 2266 View Predictions]

#1203763002

Yeah it’s wild to call Tenet a flop when it was released during a pandemic lol. It flopped somewhat with critics though.

[Jays Joined: Dec 15th, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 2266 View Predictions]

#1203762994

If Moss happens it’ll be for The Invisible Man. Nobody cared about Shirley and it’s audience ratings weren’t good. She’s not happening for either anyway though unless so many contenders move to next year and they need to find someone to fill in some slots.

[Jays Joined: Dec 15th, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 2266 View Predictions]

#1203762219

wolfali wrote:

Really? How so?

It’s ironic how she went from being the early frontrunner to her film not even having an update on a rescheduled release date in 7 months.

Mulligan was never the early front runner for PYW lol. That film is not something the Academy would touch.

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[Jays Joined: Dec 15th, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 2266 View Predictions]

#1203761802

diego wrote:

Mulligan is hopefully getting her due for Maestro anyway

Yup. I assume that’ll be a 2022 release though.

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[Jays Joined: Dec 15th, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 2266 View Predictions]

#1203761747

wolfali wrote:

At this rate almost everything that was scheduled to be shown out of competition at Cannes in 2020 will be shown out of competition in 2021. Promising Young Woman is in trouble awards wise if it moves to the 2022 Oscars.

I’m a huge Mulligan fan, but that movie is in trouble awards wise whenever year it’s released lmao.

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[Jays Joined: Dec 15th, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 2266 View Predictions]

#1203761663

I’m surprised people are so confident with Comer and The Last Duel, in general. The set pics of that look genuinely awful. Ridley Scott is also pretty hit or miss.

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[Jays Joined: Dec 15th, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 2266 View Predictions]

#1203761348

wolfali wrote:

Well the reason why I think she could win is I think she has buzz. She had buzz for her performance in The Favourite, her film being a BP contender and her casting in The Crown. She’ll have more buzz on The Crown side this time and her film this time is also a BP contender so it just depends on her performance because I think she’s walking away with a BAFTA for The Father regardless of her category placement.

That’ll help her chances for winning the Globe/SAG/Emmy for The Crown, not a second Oscar for The Father, especially when a lot of the attention will go to Hopkins. Also, a large part of the reason why she won for TF was because of the strength of her film. McDormand will clearly have the strongest film in this category, so Colman being in a BP contender isn’t necessarily a giant plus this time around. Then you also have the fact that people who have seen the film, say that she’s supporting. A second win is just not happening.

[Jays Joined: Dec 15th, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 2266 View Predictions]

#1203761203

Colman has zero narrative. She’s not winning.

[Jays Joined: Dec 15th, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 2266 View Predictions]

#1203760993

Stank83 wrote:

Lol, Bradley Cooper is not getting a double nomination!

I’m not even a fan. I like him, but I don’t care if he ever wins an Oscar, unless he gives a performance that I find really worthy. Either way, he’ll have a big year next year and I don’t see why double nominations are off the table especially when he’s working with PTA and GDT.

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[Jays Joined: Dec 15th, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 2266 View Predictions]

#1203760801

First predictions – obviously assuming all of these films will be ready and released next year

Best Actor
1. Bradley Cooper, Nightmare Alley
2. Christian Bale, Amsterdam
3. Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog
4. Denzel Washington, The Tragedy of Macbeth (if it isn’t released in time for this season’s Oscars)
5. Ben Platt, Dear Evan Hansen

Best Actress
1. Margot Robbie, Amsterdam
2. Jennifer Lawrence, Red, White and Water
3. Ana de Armas, Blonde
4. Robin Wright, Land
5. Olivia Colman, The Lost Daughter

Best Supporting Actor
1. Richard Jenkins, The Humans
2. Michael B. Jordan, Amsterdam
3. Jesse Plemons, The Power of the Dog
4. Bradley Cooper, Soggy Bottom
5. Brian Tyree Henry, Red, White and Water

Best Supporting Actress
1. Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog
2. Cate Blanchett, Nightmare Alley
3. Julianne Moore, Dear Evan Hansen
4. Toni Collette, Nightmare Alley
5. Jayne Houdyshell, The Humans

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[Jays Joined: Dec 15th, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 2266 View Predictions]

#1203758639

Bassett wrote:

Glenn is winning. She came very close last time with an irrelevant movie that made $15 and literally lost against the movie that led nominations. I don’t even think HB will need to be that big of a hit for her to win this

Yeah, it literally just needs Adams and maybe screenplay and she’ll be fine. Unless, Seyfried is god-tier in Mank lol, and even then Close would probably still win.