???

What I meant is that early on, she seemed like an Alfre Woodard type who gets a lot of praise at festivals but is ultimately forgotten. Then she became a bigger contender after winning the Volpi Cup. Then she became an even bigger contender after Netflix bought Pieces of a Woman. Then she became an even bigger contender when other contender’s…[Read more]

If you’re telling me that Alfonso Cuaron, Alejandro Gonzales Innartu, and Guillermo Del Toro are white than I really don’t know what to say to you.

Nah, that one kind of sucks too. In the words of Sebastian Maniscalco “I don’t care about your kid!”.

Damn you, now I can’t unsee it!

Is he an Academy member?

Yeah, Winslet is pretty safe for a nomination now. So is Ronan, since the only Mank lady getting any praise is Seyfried.

The funniest thing about the Best Actress race has been watching Kirby go from a tentative 6th place to a definite 3rd place lock.

Boseman is in lead, but there are still strong POC contenders in Supporting Actor like Leslie Odom Jr and Lakeith Stanford. Plus, it’s possible that Daniel Kaluuya could be moved to supporting, in which case he could easily sweep.

To be fair, Mank is the only film this year with a good poster.

If the Academy wants to reward people of color in 2021 there are easier categories to do it in, like Picture, Adapted Screenplay, Actress, and Supporting Actor. The Academy won’t feel any urgency to reward a POC in Best Director when a minority of last decade’s Best Director winners were white. Fincher has the more praised direction based on early…[Read more]

If there is it’s from the extreme corners. I don’t think the large majority of people care.

I still feel like the opposite (Fincher wins Director and Zhao wins Picture) is far more likely, especially after seeing the Mank reviews.

Yeah, things such over here right now, but it could be worse. We could be France.

That’s what I’ve been saying for a while now. Nomadland is right there as a theatrical alternative (and it will release in theaters, regardless of what happens, because the film was made on a microbudget and needs like $100 to break even), and the powerful anti-Netflix contingent in the Academy will throw all their support behind it.

I completely forgot about Meryl. If The Prom gets solid reviews and Streep wins the Comedy Globe, she’ll easily take the 5th spot in Actress. They live themselves some Streep. But I think it all hinges on the Globes for her.

The thing is, I feel like Streep is much more likely to win the Comedy Globe than Mulligan.

I guess I’ll predict Pelphrey for now. I still don’t think Chicago 7 is getting any nominations. But if Ben-Adir moves to Supporting them I’ll switch to predicting double noms for One Night in Miami instead.

I feel a little more comfortable predicting Loren now that Hudson is gone. That being said, I could easily see Netflix casting her aside, since Davis, Kirby, and Adams are all bigger priorities. Honestly, I’m not sure who gets the 5th spot at the moment. Maybe Wolfali’s right and Mulligan will surprise us?

Yikes.

Or they recognize that Mank is a La La Land/Fury Road/Gravity type film that wins the most Oscars but not Best Picture.

Weirdly enough, Tom Pelphrey is mentioned more in the Mank reactions than Charles Dance or Tom Burke.