[Mickmack Joined: Jan 25th, 2018 Topics: 6 Posts: 361 View Predictions]

#1203796932

The Person Formerly Known As Linguini wrote:

If there has to be a feel good factor involved for the BP line up, News of the World seems a lot more fitting (and personally preferable) than Hillbilly Elegy, to me. It has the bonus of not being a Netflix movie, and Greengrass as a more consistent track record with the Academy than Howard.

He has?

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[Mickmack Joined: Jan 25th, 2018 Topics: 6 Posts: 361 View Predictions]

#1203796349

wolfali wrote:

With all seriousness whilst I think The Prom has had its chances dramatically improved after the release of that trailer I do think both Comedy/Musical film and Comedy/Musical actress are between it and Promising Young Woman. The Globes tend to go for the film or performance in these categories that are the most likely to land at the Oscars (see them going for Amy Adams for Big Eyes in 2015 in a weak field). It just depends on what happens when both films are released. The Globes love Ryan Murphy and Netflix but they also love Focus Features a lot too (see them nominating Charlize Theron and Lucas Hedges) and they also love Killing Eve and The Crown which helps Promising Young Woman considering it’s written and directed by one of the executive producers of Killing Eve and an actor from The Crown. What’s kind of funny is how both these films are being released at the same time so it really is a head to head battle. Let the fight commence!

Borat is in it to win it.

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[Mickmack Joined: Jan 25th, 2018 Topics: 6 Posts: 361 View Predictions]

#1203794449

The Father is being way overestimated.

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[Mickmack Joined: Jan 25th, 2018 Topics: 6 Posts: 361 View Predictions]

#1203794439

ThiagoGarcia wrote:

Actually have you really seen Da5B? I was more impressed with Boseman there than with any of the “Chicago” boys. In fact, his speeches were much more thrilling to hear than any of the Sorkin ones. Maybe he’ll still win for a truely supporting performance, not a category fraud. I expect him to rise at the predictions center for Da5B.

The others give way better performances than Boseman in Da 5Bloods. No offense. I hope Cohen sweeps this category.

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[Mickmack Joined: Jan 25th, 2018 Topics: 6 Posts: 361 View Predictions]

#1203794270

Gabriel Guarin wrote:

Why do you think Seyfried is more likely to win BAFTA than Close?

Probably thought that she’s british.

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[Mickmack Joined: Jan 25th, 2018 Topics: 6 Posts: 361 View Predictions]

#1203785625

lvigario wrote:

I think if Focus Features does a good job campaining and submit Kajillionaire as a comedy, Evan Rachel Wood might be a lock.

The movie is too weird.

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[Mickmack Joined: Jan 25th, 2018 Topics: 6 Posts: 361 View Predictions]

#1203785455

The Person Formerly Known As Linguini wrote:

Rylance was my favorite, but Yahya was phenomenal in what little screen time he had. He did incredibly well with the material, and was miles ahead of any other cast member (other than Rylance). I also didn’t think Langella’s role was nearly as vile or hateful as many people are claiming… I mean, yeah, the judge was supposed to be one of the old guard, unfair, bad at his job types (with some possible mental deficiencies), but I didn’t see him as “evil”? Just completely misunderstanding his purview, position, and limits.

Did you watch the movie? Yahya was given too litte material to do anything worth praising.

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[Mickmack Joined: Jan 25th, 2018 Topics: 6 Posts: 361 View Predictions]

#1203782528

Foolio wrote:

Oldman is not getting another Oscar this soon.

Kaluuya being predicted this high is going to look dumb is my prediction. Oldman could definitely win number 2. He’s the lead in the clear frontrunner.

[Mickmack Joined: Jan 25th, 2018 Topics: 6 Posts: 361 View Predictions]

#1203782484

Foolio wrote:

Frontrunners Anthony Hopkins, The Father Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah Next in line Gary Oldman, Mank Delroy Lindo, Da 5 Bloods On the brink Kingsley Ben-Adir, One Night in Miami Tom Hanks, News of the World Strong possibilities Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal Sacha Baron Cohen, The Trial of the Chicago 7 Steven Yeun, Minari Eddie Redmayne, The Trial of the Chicago 7 Possibilities Matt Damon, Stillwater Tom Holland, Cherry Mads Mikkelsen, Another Round Dev Patel, The Personal History of David Copperfield Jesse Plemons, I’m Thinking of Ending Things Longer shots George Clooney, The Midnight Sky Joaquin Phoenix, C’mon C’mon Ben Affleck, The Way Back Benedict Cumberbatch, The Courier John David Washington, Tenet Shia LaBeouf, Pieces of a Woman Theoretical possibilities Kevin Kline, The Good House Ashton Sanders, All Day and a Night Nicholas Hoult, Those Who Wish Me Dead Mark Wahlberg, Good Joe Bell Benedict Cumberbatch, Louis Wain Rob Morgan, Bull John Magaro, First Cow Robert Pattinson, The Devil All the Time

How exactly is Kaluuya stronger than Oldman?

[Mickmack Joined: Jan 25th, 2018 Topics: 6 Posts: 361 View Predictions]

#1203779985

John Berchmans wrote:

I’m still predicting an Amy snub. Hillbilly Elegy smells like flop to me. 1: McDormand 2: Davis 3: Hudson 4: Winslet 5: Kirby

Ammonite smells like a smash hit?

[Mickmack Joined: Jan 25th, 2018 Topics: 6 Posts: 361 View Predictions]

#1203777023

John Berchmans wrote:

Promising Young Woman feels like a film that will be completely inaccessible to most Oscar voters, and outright rejected by others. I’m sure a small portion of voters will enjoy it, but it’s just not the type of film that a majority of the voterbase would enjoy. Right now I think the ceiling is Best Actress and Original Screenplay only. And even those categories seem unlikely.

Would you say the same if the movie starred Blanchett instead?

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[Mickmack Joined: Jan 25th, 2018 Topics: 6 Posts: 361 View Predictions]

#1203777018

DaKardii wrote:

END OF WEEK 5 PREDICTIONS Best Actress

1. Viola Davis (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom)
2. Frances McDormand (Nomadland)
3. Kate Winslet (Ammonite)
4. Amy Adams (Hillbilly Elegy)
5. Vanessa Kirby (Pieces of a Woman)

How is Winslet still that high up? For basically being Winslet? Muligan has better reviews in a movie way more interesting than Ammonite and Hudson’s role is BAITY. I hope Winslet misses out.

[Mickmack Joined: Jan 25th, 2018 Topics: 6 Posts: 361 View Predictions]

#1203772692

John Berchmans wrote:

One thing I’ve re-noticed while looking at previous results is that there’s almost always a nominee in this category from a small film that only got 1 or zero other nominations. So whoever that person is this year is probably going to take Tom Hanks’ spot. My best guess is that it’s Riz Ahmad or Tom Holland.

Ahmed and Holland have no chance of being nominated.

[Mickmack Joined: Jan 25th, 2018 Topics: 6 Posts: 361 View Predictions]

#1203772676

Remember when Blanchett got a Golden Globe nomination for Where’d You Go Bernadette for simply for being Blanchett? That was funny.

[Mickmack Joined: Jan 25th, 2018 Topics: 6 Posts: 361 View Predictions]

#1203771599

The Person Formerly Known As Linguini wrote:

Mank being a juggernaut has nothing to do with Oldman’s chances. The last time a Lead Actor won the Oscar because he was propelled by the success of the movie was… when? McDormand has by all accounts delivered a career best performance and won her last 2 Oscars for quality not any narrative. Gary coasted to a win for the Blahrkest Hour because he didn’t already have one, that’s all. The 2 are completely different.

Mank being a huge favourite for multiple Oscars doesn’t effect Oldman’s chances to win? He’s the main reason besides Fincher for it being a juggernaut. Your opinion on Darkest Hour clearly shows bias against him. The last time a lead actor won because he was propelled by the success by the movie? DiCaprio in The Revenant maybe? Oldman coasted the same way McDormand coasted so its not different. And his oscar for Darkest Hour was well deserved. I think he will get career best raves for Mank and that’s why I think he will win again.