[AMG Joined: Sep 20th, 2012 Topics: 168 Posts: 4325 View Predictions]

#1204079173

The all British nominees are…

Bukky Bakray
Kingsley Ben-Adir
Morfydd Clark
Sope Dirisu
Conrad Khan

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[AMG Joined: Sep 20th, 2012 Topics: 168 Posts: 4325 View Predictions]

#1204079023

BAFTA Rising Star nominees are announced today!

I’m expecting it to be Kosar Ali, Bukky Bakray, Harris Dickinson, Cosmo Jarvis and Zendaya. But who knows, there don’t seem to be any rules about who’s eligible for this.

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[AMG Joined: Sep 20th, 2012 Topics: 168 Posts: 4325 View Predictions]

#1204028815

wolfali wrote:

Rocks and Saint Maud just won a bunch of London Film Critics Circle awards (with nominations across the board) including individual win for Morfydd Clark and Bukky Bakray and people still think they’re behind Kate Winslet and Amy Adams?

Critics aren’t BAFTA voters though.

I am currently predicting one of each though. Amy (in the same way Blunt got in after her SAG nom), and Bakray as the British breakthrough performance of the year in a film that’s very likely to contend for British Film and possibly win Casting.

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[AMG Joined: Sep 20th, 2012 Topics: 168 Posts: 4325 View Predictions]

#1204027993

There’s a LOT of love out there for Jessie Ware, and for What’s Your Pleasure?, especially after her notice on Barack Obama’s best songs of 2020 list and her performance Remember Where You Are on Graham Norton this weekend.

Could she benefit from this and the controversy surrounding Dua Lipa’s travelling during a pandemic?

Will she end up winning Best Solo Female and Best British Album?

She deserves both.

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Reply

[AMG Joined: Sep 20th, 2012 Topics: 168 Posts: 4325 View Predictions]

#1204024332

tennesseestellamccartney wrote:

Thinking of how nice it would have been if Glenn Close had won her Oscar for “The Wife” in 2018 and we could all root for Olivia Colman to win for “The Father” now… The Oscars always get it the other way around with awarding performances.

Yes we must make sure Oscar voters get crystal balls before they vote. It’s the only fair way of doing things.

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[AMG Joined: Sep 20th, 2012 Topics: 168 Posts: 4325 View Predictions]

#1204021785

Films that have a SAG Ensemble nod, Globe Pic & Director nods and are on the BAFTA Film & Director longlists:

The Trial of the Chicago 7

There is your Best Picture winner, folks.

Mank has 4 of these 5
Nomadland has 4 of 5
One Night in Miami has 4 of 5
Promising Young Woman has 4 of 5
The Father has 3 of 5
Ma Rainey has 2 of 5
Minari has 2 of 5
Da 5 Bloods has 1 of 5

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[AMG Joined: Sep 20th, 2012 Topics: 168 Posts: 4325 View Predictions]

#1204021693

Form an orderly queue of all the people who told me I was mad for saying Glenn Close was getting nominated and winning…

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[AMG Joined: Sep 20th, 2012 Topics: 168 Posts: 4325 View Predictions]

#1204019856

wrote:

Ikr! I need to see if their “diversity training” did anything 🤣🤣

It’ll definitely be a more diverse lineup than the standard shortlisted nominations. But I’m expecting the longlist snubs to come from the films like Minari, Judas & The Black Messiah and Malcolm & Marie. Plus films with a diverse cast to have mainly/solely white actors longlisted, e.g. all of the Chicago 7 cast except for Yahya Abdul-Mateen II or all the cast of Misbehaviour except for Gugu Mbatha-Raw.

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[AMG Joined: Sep 20th, 2012 Topics: 168 Posts: 4325 View Predictions]

#1204019835

OneAndOnly wrote:

What time? I’m guessing somewhere 5AM and 8AM EST.

I’d have imagined earlier for UK time but it’s gone 8am here and nothing yet.

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[AMG Joined: Sep 20th, 2012 Topics: 168 Posts: 4325 View Predictions]

#1204015774

FINAL PREDICTIONS

DRAMA SERIES
The Boys
Bridgerton
The Crown
The Mandalorian
Ratched

COMEDY SERIES
Dave
The Flight Attendant
Ted Lasso
What We Do In The Shadows
Zoey’s Extraordinary Playlist

LIMITED SERIES
Little Fires Everywhere
Normal People
The Queen’s Gambit
The Undoing
Unorthodox

LEAD DRAMA ACTRESS
Olivia Colman – The Crown
Emma Corrin – The Crown
Phoebe Dynevor – Bridgerton
Sarah Paulson – Ratched
Jurnee Smollett – Lovecraft County

LEAD MUSICAL/COMEDY ACTRESS
Lily Collins – Emily In Paris
Kaley Cuoco – The Flight Attendant
Natasia Demetriou – What We Do In The Shadows
Jane Levy – Zoey’s Extraordinary Playlist
Catherine O’Hara – Schitt’s Creek

LEAD LIMITED ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett – Mrs America
Michaela Coel – I May Destroy You
Nicole Kidman – The Undoing
Anya Taylor-Joy – The Queen’s Gambit
Kerry Washington – Little Fires Everywhere

LEAD DRAMA ACTOR
Jonathan Majors – Lovecraft County
Josh O’Connor – The Crown
Rege-Jean Page – Bridgerton
Pedro Pascal – The Mandalorian
Matthew Rhys – Perry Mason

LEAD COMEDY ACTOR
Matt Berry – What We Do In The Shadows
Dave Burd – Dave
Ben Platt – The Politician
Jason Sudeikis – Ted Lasso
Ramy Youssef – Ramy

LEAD LIMITED ACTOR
Chris Evans – Defending Jacob
Hugh Grant – The Undoing
Hugh Jackman – Bad Education
Paul Mescal – Normal People
Jeremy Pope – Hollywood

SUPPORTING ACTOR
Mahershala Ali – Ramy
Brendan Gleeson – The Comey Rule
Dan Levy – Schitt’s Creek
Joe Mantello – Hollywood
Michael Sheen – Quiz

SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Gillian Anderson – The Crown
Cynthia Erivo – The Outsider
Marielle Heller – The Queen’s Gambit
Sharon Stone – Ratched
Letitia Wright – Small Axe

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[AMG Joined: Sep 20th, 2012 Topics: 168 Posts: 4325 View Predictions]

#1204015762

DRAMA PICTURE
Da 5 Bloods
The Father
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Nomadland
The Trial of the Chicago 7

MUSICAL/COMEDY PICTURE
Borat Subsequent Movie Film
On The Rocks
The Personal History of David Copperfield
The Prom
Wild Mountain Thyme

DIRECTOR
David Fincher – Mank
Spike Lee – Da 5 Bloods
Aaron Sorkin – The Trial of the Chicago 7
Florian Zeller – The Father
Chloe Zhao – Nomadland

LEAD DRAMA ACTRESS
Amy Adams – Hillbilly Elegy
Viola Davis – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Frances McDormand – Nomadland
Carey Mulligan – Promising Young Woman
Kate Winslet – Ammonite

LEAD MUSICAL OR COMEDY ACTRESS
Maria Bakalova – Borat
Emily Blunt – Wild Mountain Thyme
Rashida Jones – On The Rocks
Michelle Pfeiffer – French Exit
Meryl Streep – The Prom

LEAD DRAMA ACTOR
Chadwick Boseman – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Colin Firth – Supernova
Anthony Hopkins – The Father
Delroy Lindo – Da 5 Bloods
Gary Oldman – Mank

LEAD MUSICAL OR COMEDY ACTOR
Sacha Baron Cohen – Borat
James Corden – The Prom
Leslie Odom Jr – Hamilton
Dev Patel – The Personal History of David Copperfield
Andy Samberg – Palm Springs

SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Ellen Burstyn – Pieces of a Woman
Glenn Close – Hillbilly Elegy
Olivia Colman – The Father
Saoirse Ronan – Ammonite
Amanda Seyfried – Mank

SUPPORTING ACTOR
Sacha Baron Cohen – The Trial of the Chicago 7
Chadwick Boseman – Da 5 Bloods
Daniel Kaluuya – Judas & The Black Messiah
Bill Murray – On The Rocks
Leslie Odom Jr – One Night In Miami

SCREENPLAY
Da 5 Bloods
The Father
Mank
One Night In Miami
The Trial of the Chicago 7

ANIMATED
Onward
Over The Moon
Soul
Trolls World Tour
Wolfwalkers

FOREIGN
Another Round
I Carry You With Me
The Life Ahead
Martin Eden
Minari

SCORE
Da 5 Bloods
Mank
News of the World
Soul
Tenet

ORIGINAL SONG
Eurovision – Husavik
Mulan – Loyal Brave True
One Night In Miami – Speak Now
Trial of the Chicago 7 – Hear My Voice
Trolls World Tour – Just Sing

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[AMG Joined: Sep 20th, 2012 Topics: 168 Posts: 4325 View Predictions]

#1204013842

Random thought…will this years race mirror (in some ways) the 2016 Best Actress race?

We have a core four at the moment: Davis, Kirby, McDormand, Mulligan. We expect it to be these four plus one (could be any one of about six).

In 2016 we had a core 4 of Stone, Huppert, Adams and Portman. Streep built momentum with televised bodies in particular making it appear we had our solid five. Then Negga resurfaced as a surprise Oscar nominee.

I wonder if Zendaya (example only) builds momentum from televised awards and lands herself an Oscar nod but one of the current ‘core four’ misses out in favour of, say, Andra Day.

It seems too clean a race to have a core four when the category is so stacked. A core four works best in less competitive years (such as when we had Moore, Pike, Jones and Witherspoon).

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[AMG Joined: Sep 20th, 2012 Topics: 168 Posts: 4325 View Predictions]

#1204013838

I hope the longlist gives voters more breadth in who they then shortlist.

I’d love for it to be an eye opener so they don’t just pick the same five as everyone else has.

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[AMG Joined: Sep 20th, 2012 Topics: 168 Posts: 4325 View Predictions]

#1204013804

Could Fishback take the Regina King route to victory then?

Hit (maybe win) Globes.
Miss out at SAG nom (that goes to Burstyn).
Miss out at BAFTA nom (that goes to Colman).
Momentum still builds for the film and her performance and in the absence of a clear alternative who failed to capitalise on her SAG & BAFTA absence, she wins.

(Re-reading this and it could be applied to a fair few of the contenders this year admittedly, but still).

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[AMG Joined: Sep 20th, 2012 Topics: 168 Posts: 4325 View Predictions]

#1204012858

wolfali wrote:

I think just like when Alicia Vikander won the Oscar winner will be the SAG winner. I think if Colman gets nominated for The Father at the Globes that she’ll win just like Winslet did for Steve Jobs. The question will be whether she can win SAG or not (or if she even gets in at SAG in the first place).

I wonder if SAG feel like they ‘owe’ her because she won the Oscar but not the SAG and she hasn’t won an individual SAG yet (though has been nominated multiple times and won as part of The Crown ensemble).

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