jez89
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October 28, 2020 at 5:42 pm #1203808624
Got to agree with this one. I understand the whole Close is imune at the Oscar even if the HE bombs, which considering that trailer seems very likely, but it doesn’t aply anywhere else, since she has 3 Globes and 2 SAGs. Close may very well win the Oscar for a terrible movie because of the narrative, but this belief that she will win the precursors and become undeniable doesn’t work if HE bombs.
I agree with you. It will be fascinating to see if the Globes award Close again as she already has 3 Globes. If they don’t and SAG go in a different direction as well, then when will her momentum start? It doesn’t seem like a movie that BAFTA would go for? But then again Laura Dern had still won a truck load of Globes and managed to still win for Marriage Story (albeit that film was probably stronger than HE will be) so maybe Close does win there again.
ReplyOctober 26, 2020 at 6:55 pm #1203804441I’m worried Hopkins is going to have the far superior performance and end up losing and that we’ll have months of posters saying “the Academy can’t possibly award an older white male actor when Boseman is the alternative” etc etc
ReplyOctober 26, 2020 at 6:22 pm #1203804374I currently have Chadwick winning, but tweets like this have me very concerned.
Why do tweets like that concern you? If Hopkins’ performance is truly the best then he should win. Is Boseman’s performance is truly the best then he should win. The award is Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role. It’s not nicest narrative or most bittersweet moment at an Oscar ceremony.
ReplyOctober 16, 2020 at 8:37 pm #1203783592I will happily risk looking dumb baby, I’m not that vain lol. Yes, Oldman *could* win, but I don’t think it’s terribly likely that the Academy would feel an irresistible urge to hand him a second Oscar right now when he just won yesterday, for a very similar performance in the sense that he plays a real-life icon in a historic biopic. If they’re hell bent to reward yet another old white man they’ve got Hopkins who has looked like the one to beat for eons now. Kaluuyer has a much more urgent narrative than Oldman as well, and could pick up major steam if his performance is as feisty as it seems. Mank looks like Oscar gold on the surface but it’s also a textbook example of a movie everyone presumes to be a frontrunner but in the end is outshined by something more timely. Proclaiming a film nobody’s seen “the clear frontrunner” is a bit absurd and may just end up looking dumb :p Not that there’s anything wrong with looking dumb.
“Yet another old white man” – is there something wrong with being born white and then getting old? Christ there’s some wannabe woke posters on here.
October 14, 2020 at 1:42 pm #1203778806The only problem with Adams and Close both winning is it’s so rare for both gender lead and supporting trophies going to the same movie. The last time it happened was McCounaghey/Leto for Dallas Buyers Club and the last time it happened with the female acting prizes was Gwyneth Paltrow and Judi Dench at the 1998 Oscars. Hillbilly Elegy doesn’t look good enough to break that trend.
October 14, 2020 at 1:12 pm #1203778694Glenn looks like a scarier version of the Melissa Leo character from Prisoners in this!
October 14, 2020 at 12:04 am #1203777062I really don’t see Vanessa Kirby as a viable option here. Best Actress never really goes to someone from a tiny indie movie UNLESS they’re a veteran (Julianne Moore, Renee Zellwegger), or the movie is a BP player (Brie Larson), which I really don’t see happening for Pieces of a Woman. The only times that has happened in the last FIFTY YEARS are Halle Berry for Monster’s Ball, and Charlize Theron for Monster, both of whom had significant advantages in their narrative that Kirby does not. She could definitely still be a nominee, and this year anything could happen I guess, but she’d be a very unique winner
I agree, Kirby’s film seems far too small/niche and she doesn’t have the name to overcome it. They’ll give it to Viola Davis’s Black Bottom as an easy upgrade lead win
October 13, 2020 at 11:57 pm #1203777060Glenn winning is going to be such a moment. Shame it won’t be at a full ceremony as she deserves
Lol we don’t even know all of the contenders yet, let alone annointing Glenn as the victor
October 13, 2020 at 11:51 pm #1203777054Queen Dench definitely deserves a lead Oscar to go with her supporting one. She might even have been a 3x Oscar winner if she had been in movies earlier in her career. US audiences didn’t really know about her until Mrs. Brown as she had mostly done theatre. She is a bit unlucky in with two of her lead nominations she was up against undeniable front runners (Mirren in 2006 and Blanchett in 2013). It’s a shame her 2005 and 2006 performances weren’t released the other way around – i.e. if Notes on a Scandal had come out in 2005 she could have beaten Witherspoon.
ReplyOctober 12, 2020 at 3:00 pm #1203773555She was absolutely fantastic and thoroughly deserved the win, as did the film overall. It’s funny how the salty Saving Private Ryan fans are still upset about it.
ReplyOctober 11, 2020 at 1:36 pm #1203771739Ugh hopefully it’s not Davis. Already over-rewarded and she seems quite thirsty for awards. McDormand won only three years ago. Would be nice to see somebody new up there.
October 8, 2020 at 6:37 pm #1203767865Oldman richly deserved his first and would deserve a second based on career alone. Hopkins also deserves to join the 2x winner group. I’ll be very happy with either of these two.
October 4, 2020 at 3:06 am #1203758084What’s up is HFPA stans JLaw and Lupita wasn’t undeniable, while BAFTA are racist and at the same time wanted to give JLaw consolation prize for not awarding her the year before for SLP. Thankfully, Lupita pulled through with her SAG (and CC) win(s).
Yes, BAFTA are “racist” yet they gave Ejiofor a BAFTA for the same movie… Octavia Spencer, Jennifer Hudson, Forest Whitaker, Viola Davis won BAFTA’s etc etc
October 1, 2020 at 8:11 pm #1203750734Oldman literally just won like two years ago, so yea, I don’t think the academy is going to give him a second one so soon.
As another poster has said, if they can give Mahershala Ali 2 Oscars in three years (and Christoph Waltz to a lesser degree) then they can certainly give Oldman a second one. The problem is it will be more difficult to get 2 lead Oscars in three years. Hopkins is in the top echelon of actors that deserve a second win, hopefully he gets it.
September 30, 2020 at 5:52 pm #1203747008Not trying to be offensive but is Boseman meant to be really good in this or are people only predicting him because of his tragic death? Posthumous Oscars are pretty rare.
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