Forum Replies Created
October 21, 2020 at 10:06 am #1203793708
Were talking about Grammys, there’s no such thing as locks for 5 artists.
Right! I read that post and I was like, “It’s The Grammy’s. There’s no way an entire category is locked lol.”
Strange things always happen in the pop categories especially. Songs and albums you never thought would be snubbed miss all the time. I’m not sure why the internet thinks Dua Lipa is suddenly locked for these categories when a lot of people still do not know who she is or know her songs apart from hearing them on the radio. Yes, I know she has won before, but many artists win and then are never able to come back, ala Sam Smith.
Can’t wait until the nominations are out and the Pop field looks completely different from what is being predicted!September 13, 2020 at 10:55 pm #1203704617
So I decided to make a little research and see how many non-Oscar nominees managed to get nominated at SAG this past decade (The years are listed by ceremony and not by movie release):</strong
Noticed a couple of mistakes… Nolte did get an Oscar nomination for Warrior and Forest Whitaker received a SAG nomination for The Butler but no Oscar nom.September 13, 2020 at 9:13 am #1203703095
Amy Adams has been ignored many times before in lead (including for what many people consider her career best performance) so she will probably miss again.
Viola Davis will be out of contention for the win if Chadwick Boseman gets rave reviews. Only 3 films in the last decade have won multiple acting awards, and all of those films were major contenders that received nominations for Best Picture and several others above and below the line. Ma Rainey is Netflix’s 4th biggest priority, so at best it will be nominated for Actress, Supporting Actor, and MAYBE Production Design/Costume Design/Makeup (but that’s a big maybe when not even Dolemite could make those categories). As I’ve said before, if the biggest actor-bait awards contender since the heyday of David O’Russell could not win multiple acting awards, Ma Rainey stands no chance at doing the same when it is comparatively a much smaller film with far less campaign focus.
I don’t think using Oscar history as a reason for something not to happen really works anymore. Yes, using Oscar history can help guide predictions, but with the changing Academy and culture, just because something hasn’t happened ever or for a while, doesn’t mean it won’t happen now. I’m not saying Davis and Boseman will both win, but it’s certainly possible, even if the film isn’t a major BP contender. In recent years so many wins have been the first or the first in a long time. It’s a changing world, and the Academy is changing along with it.September 5, 2020 at 9:44 am #1203687735
It would be great to see Ellen Burstyn nominated for Supporting Actress!August 6, 2020 at 1:54 pm #1203630784
Youre right, but CC is irrelevant and GG nominates DiCaprio every other year. I’d argue that fact that they were so high up on the GD predictions but didn’t gain much recognition in the precursors actually reinforces the “weirdness.”
I understand what you’re saying, but both of these performances did gain traction during awards season, so I wouldn’t think they would count. At one point or another, these performances were in the top 5 of most people’s predictions. Just because they both underperformed in the precursors and didn’t transition to nominations, doesn’t mean they never had traction, especially in the early season. I would use this argument with Keaton in Spotlight. Although he never got a precursor nomination, he very much had traction, with many thinking he could win, prior to the SAG nominations.
I would think you were referring to someone like Jeremy Renner in American Hustle. Someone who was a 2x previous nominee in a BP nominee that the acting branch gave 4 nominations to. Yet, no one ever really predicted Renner and he had no traction throughout the season.July 15, 2020 at 1:02 am #1203586015
I guess it could still technically happen since the show is on, but it won’t happen.
Melissa McBride in The Walking Dead
The Grove was one of the best hours of television for me.June 28, 2020 at 4:36 pm #1203556084
It’s definitely not unheard of for Gold Derby users to stop predicting a show when they have moved on, even if the Television Academy has not.
I remember a very similar thing happening to Downton Abbey a few years ago. It was no longer the “popular” or “cool” show, so people stopped predicting it in writing, directing, most acting slots outside of Smith, and even series. And while it did miss occasionally in certain categories, it never completely fell off like many users were predicting. Bonneville was not predicted for his noms, people had dropped Dockery even when she kept getting in, and Carter always surprised.
Last year Moore and Sullivan popped up randomly, so I don’t think it’s smart for people to think that this show could get 0 major nominations on the morning. Realistically, I think some/most of the Lead/Supporting actors could be back again and the show could pop into Drama series.June 18, 2020 at 5:35 pm #1203541527
Sounds great! Always love getting to see Maggie Smith in new roles and this is a cast that definitely matches her caliber!January 11, 2020 at 1:29 am #1203275097
I agree about Pugh. I loved Little Women but I didn’t get what the hype was behind that performance. She’s was good, but I don’t think she is leagues above the rest of the supporting cast. I think you’re right, it’s a situation where critics wanted to reward the actress, and LW is the film where she has the best chance.January 7, 2020 at 5:44 pm #1203269599
I never really thought people would vote for Robbie in Once Upon a Time in Hollywood. I never understood the argument that she could split support and end up snubbed because some may vote for her Hollywood performance instead of Bombshell.
I no longer have Robbie as a lock because BAFTA has shown that some voters are going to be marking her dow n for her Sharon Tate role. Partner that with the fact that some may prefer Kidman to her in Bombshell and I’m almost ready to predict a snub. And I LOVE her Bombshell performance…January 7, 2020 at 6:00 am #1203268029
Zhao Shuzhen strikes me as the kind of nominee that can get in with only a BFCA nomination. I can see her being a passion pick by just enough voters placing her at number one on their ballots to get in.
Song Kang-ho could get in if the Actor’s branch wants to nominate someone from Parasite.