[DrewN92Participant Joined: Jan 4th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 169 View Predictions]

#1202736297

Matthew anzalone wrote:

Agreed. It would be very similar to emma Thomson (saving mr banks) snub. I looked into it and Emma got everything that melissa got so far, and then she missed the oscar nomination. Its very possible that mccarthy misses.

Definitely possible, and even similar to Adams hitting all precursors with Arrival. I mean hell, didn’t the Academy mistakenly list her as a nominee? I’m not sure if Adams did as well with the critics as McCarthy is doing this year though?

It’s definitely possible but would still be shocking. I’d be upset if that were the case.

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[DrewN92Participant Joined: Jan 4th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 169 View Predictions]

#1202734487

Matthew Porter wrote:

Just watched the last scene from ASIB again, and I’m saying she’s gonna win, but this song and performance are 100x more powerful than Emma Stone in The Audition scene (the scene that arguably pushed her over the edge to win the oscar, weaker year?).

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=52nfjRzIaj8

Wow. Just wow.

Let’s just see who takes the SAG.

Stone was also coming off of a recent nomination from Birdman which always helps, was a lead in the BP frontrunner, and had the ingenue thing going for her. Personally I did not find Stone remotely Oscar worthy in LLL.

[DrewN92Participant Joined: Jan 4th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 169 View Predictions]

#1202733936

Ali is definitely co-lead in Green Book which is why I think I’m not fully behind him sweeping this season. His performance was great but I truly don’t think it was undeniable and certainly in my opinion not enough to garner a 2nd Oscar in such quick succession. Grant’s performance has stuck with me moreso than Ali’s and even though it would be an uphill battle from here..I’m still hoping for him.

Also worth noting that I don’t know how likely it is for Ali to repeat his SAG win. Going 2 for 2 in SAG is rare, and given Grant’s long career and how many people he has worked with, I wouldn’t count him out quite yet. And obviously he has a real shot at the BAFTA.

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[DrewN92Participant Joined: Jan 4th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 169 View Predictions]

#1202733618

SHT L wrote:

To bring some attention to some of the other contenders, does anyone else get a feeling that in a few years, there will be some of us who will say that Melissa McCarthy deserved more than she got this season?

She actually was my favorite lead actress performance this year. I’m happy she is hitting all of the precursors and doing well with the critics, but a little disappointed she isn’t really in the race like Colman, Close, & Gaga are.

[DrewN92Participant Joined: Jan 4th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 169 View Predictions]

#1202732176

Ugh, so sad for Grant.

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[DrewN92Participant Joined: Jan 4th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 169 View Predictions]

#1202732149

Happy for Elsie, but was kind of hoping for Thomasin.

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[DrewN92Participant Joined: Jan 4th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 169 View Predictions]

#1202732071

The link worked for like 10 mins but now it just tries redirecting you somewhere you need to create an account..

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[DrewN92Participant Joined: Jan 4th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 169 View Predictions]

#1202732040

金娜璉 wrote:

Anyone know a link i can use to watch this show? Want to see meltdowns live.

Same here. I can’t even seem to find it on DirectTV Now..

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[DrewN92Participant Joined: Jan 4th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 169 View Predictions]

#1202731937

Hunter-ish wrote:

The movie was entertaining at times but it’s scope was so broad and ambitious that it lost focus, and felt like it wouldn’t end because of it.

I appreciated everything they tried to fit in because a lot of it felt important..but I agree, I thought the movie was ending about 4 different times and it was kind of information overload…

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[DrewN92Participant Joined: Jan 4th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 169 View Predictions]

#1202731593

I’m really hoping Grant wins but I think I chose Ali. Grant sure could use the momentum, especially if he’s taking BAFTA.

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[DrewN92Participant Joined: Jan 4th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 169 View Predictions]

#1202731574

Stegeo wrote:

Just move Olivia Colman to supporting so other underwhelming performances don’t take it. Thank you.

I would love for that to happen but am doubtful. After seeing the screen time per actress I really feel like Stone should be submitted in lead.

[DrewN92Participant Joined: Jan 4th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 169 View Predictions]

#1202731064

FreemanGriffin wrote:

I want to point out that everybody repeats themselves on here, everyone. 2nd, Amy Adams has received ONE Critics prize so far and that’s all she has won. This could change, of course, maybe others just love her performance and I am the only one who found it awful. If you read what I said closely you would have seen my acknowledgement that others see it differently. I have made it clear that I will be happy with all but one actress winning, I am not attached to King winning, but part of the reason I want her to win is because so many people have been so nasty towards her on here. Why get so reactive about it? You repeat yourself over and over again too. Everybody does. you like it when it corresponds with your opinion and you react when it doesn’t, which is human.

You don’t think calling Adam’s performance “awful” is being nasty? As I have said before I think King was great, I just personally didn’t think it was Oscar-worthy so I hope you’re not suggesting I am one of those who are being “nasty” towards her. It’s not my intent to drag her name through the mud like it seems to be yours with Adams in multiple threads. I was responding to this very fact by simply noting that she has hit those 3 precursors King has not in addition to being 4th in the critics race, so clearly a number of people must not agree that her performance was one-note. But anyway, you’re entitled to your own opinion regardless and personally I would prefer Adams to win for a better role where people unanimously think she deserves it.

[DrewN92Participant Joined: Jan 4th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 169 View Predictions]

#1202731008

FreemanGriffin wrote:

Look, I know mine is a minority view but I just can’t wrap my mind around people voting for Amy Adams one-note performance as Lynne Cheney for the award. I have to believe that they will at least consider the performance and not the ‘overdue narrative’ – I just have a hard time believing everyone loves her performance. I could be wrong, I have certainly disagreed with the academy in the past, but I am really hoping someone else wins. I get what others are saying about momentum but I think that at least some voters will have remorse about not nominating Regina King and vote for her. I am not saying it’s going to be a runaway slam dunk for King, I think it will be close, but I think the voters will feel more free than usual to go with their own instincts rather than follow the trend this year in this category. It feels more wide open than it has been in years and years. I think in a close race King can and will win, especially since Emma Stone will get some votes, there are people – myself included – who preferred her performance to Rachel Weisz’s. Of course we have to wait and see who the five nominees are – will it be Blunt or Robbie for the fifth slot, or Kidman, Yeoh, de Tavira, or Foy?

You have expressed this /so/ many times. We truly get it! But the fact remains that your opinion does not speak for everyone. There are plenty of people who were completely underwhelmed with King’s performance as well.

Yes the critics loved it but she was snubbed from SAG & BAFTA. If Adams was as terrible and one-note as you constantly post about why is she 4th in the critics race in addition to having hit all precursors, 3 of which King did not make (AACTA Intl, SAG, BAFTA) all of which overlap with the Academy. Sure it’s not Adam’s best role or performance ever, but in such a strange year in this category I think it could go any way. My personal preference: Weisz > Kidman > Blunt > Adams > Stone > King.

I have not yet seen Foy, Robbie, or Yoeh.

• This reply was modified 3 days, 22 hours ago by  DrewN92.

[DrewN92Participant Joined: Jan 4th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 169 View Predictions]

#1202730987

FreemanGriffin wrote:

I really think Regina King is winning Supporting Actress this year.

I am waiting for SAG and BAFTA to decide who my final prediction will be, but if those two prizes go to 2 different actresses I will stick with Regina King as my prediction; it would depend on which actress (of the four that are nominated for both) won both of those prizes for me to decide to predict another actress.

Right now I think King is likely to win, too. But you have to admit that after she (likely) wins Critic’s Choice tomorrow night, she has about 6 weeks until the Oscars for her momentum to come to a screeching halt due to her SAG and BAFTA snub. Even if SAG and BAFTA winners are split, and I kind of am thinking they will, I think one of these winners would still majorly be in contention considering SAG + BAFTA voters have some overlap with the Academy and these wins/speeches will be more recent and top of mind. And it’s not like King isn’t winning SAG and BAFTA and was nominated, she was snubbed altogether from being nominated. She still has a pretty good shot at winning giving that this category seems all over the place, but it still could be anyone’s game in my book.

[DrewN92Participant Joined: Jan 4th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 169 View Predictions]

#1202730976

Stegeo wrote:

What have I missed? Why is Emily out? Not only is she deserving, but she’s hit all precursors except BAFTA compared to other women in the running. I wouldn’t give up on her already. The threats imo are only Viola Davis (BAFTA + BFCA) and Nicole Kidman (Globe) tho. Yalitza ain’t Huppert or Riva aka have the support needed for a nomination.

Yeah, I still kind of think Blunt could happen considering she still has hit more precursors than anyone else. I admit the BAFTA snub was surprising and definitely good for Davis, but I don’t know if I see Davis getting in. I would love Kidman to get in, but don’t know how possible that is at this point.

I saw IndieWire just predicted Aparacio to make the lineup, and I get that she benefits from Roma’s popularity and momentum right now, but I personally would not put her in my lineup in front of so many standout performances that are also on the cusp..