Forum Replies Created
January 8, 2020 at 10:13 pm #1203271662
I don’t know. I’m still not convinced that Taron will edge out anyone for a spot. If this year wasn’t as crowded, his chances would have been stronger. It’s sad that amazing performances won’t make the cut because it’s only room for 5. That’s why I’m down with the Academy to expand to at least 7 or 8 so it would be more competitive and great performances won’t get snubbed so much.January 8, 2020 at 9:44 pm #1203271635
Some of you forget that not all award shows are created equal. This tends to happen in most award shows when it’s won by different people. I’m not saying it’s impossible to sweep, but it’s often rare for it to happen. I’m just being realistic.January 8, 2020 at 8:06 pm #1203271498
Crowe had won the previous year, so he already had that going against him. He was also against Denzel Washington, one of the biggest stars in Hollywood who was in a showy villain role (something he never plays) and had been snubbed for performances like Malcolm X and The Hurricane (my personal favorite of his), so he had a n overdue/makeup factor going for him. And all that said, the reason Crowe lost was because he literally got into a fistfight with a reporter at the BAFTA awards. Joaquin had one awkward speech where he spoke for protecting the environment and saving the planet (something Hollywood supposedly holds dear). This isn’t remotely comparable and people are just hoping for a race where there isn’t one lol
Despite Joaquin winning the first major pre-Oscar award with the GG, I still think it’s a tight race. There’s still two more, and one lesser award CC, left. I would wait till who takes the SAG to consider who has the upper hand. This isn’t like the Best Actress category. Joaquin and Adam Driver gave two of the most memorable performance, whether you agree or not. I have a feeling, like I said in a previous post, that it’s most likely going to be back and forth, similar to last year with Rami and Christian.January 6, 2020 at 10:57 am #1203266328
For those who think Joaquin got this in the bag, I don’t think this will be a sweep. Same thing if Adam Driver won. I have a feeling that it’s going to be a back and forth type of season. Think of it as a best-of-5 series. Right now Joaquin took the first “game”. I think Adam’s going to most likely win the CC or SAG. I’m not sure who will take the BAFTA. If anyone of wins at least 3 heading to Oscars, I think they’re the clear favorite to win.January 5, 2020 at 1:15 pm #1203261577
HAHAHAHHA Joaquin Phoenix in the TV scene > literally Driver’s whole career. Eat it.
What was the point of this? This is why I think that some Joker stans are just as annoying as K-pop stans. They constantly bash anyone that’s considered a contemporary to elevate their fav. It’s okay to have a favorite and still acknowledge others. Get out of you little bubble of “my fav is the best ever and everyone sucks”January 4, 2020 at 4:22 pm #1203260303
I say if Lupita doesn’t get snubbed, she’s definitely has a chance to upset Renee for Best Actress. Scarlett gave an amazing performance, but was overshadowed by Adam, and in some case, Laura. That’s who I think would be second.January 3, 2020 at 9:17 pm #1203258896
As I said in the AACTA thread, I do think that some have been underestimating Adam Driver because of the type of roles that he and Phoenix are playing. Phoenix was amazing, but Fleck/Joker was a showy role, therefore I could see the voters looking at it as a role that as written/directed any handful of great actors could have delivered just as great (if different) a performance. Plus, of course, yeah, there is the comparison to Heath Ledger’s Joker as well… fair or not. On the other hand, what Driver did in Marriage Story was exceptional in that he took what could and simply should have been an ordinary role–a man getting a divorce, possibly losing his child in that situation–and elevated every single moment to extraordinary. Read the reviews, quite a few of them–beyond praising the Oscar-bait scenes that he hit out of the ball-park–also highlight small moments. And they aren’t the same moments in the reviews; one review highlights him finding the divorce papers, another when he asks his first lawyer if he’s paying for the joke, another how he takes in the change of pictures at his now ex-wife’s house, etc. There is a reason he’s won more awards for this role by far (like really, really by far) than any other actor nominated this season.
That’s what I’ve been thinking. I do think seeing what experts from Golderby as well as outside all predicting Joaquin because it’s a typical showy performance that awards tend to give to. Just like biopics and movies where the character is going through trials and tribulations. But lightning doesn’t strick twice. Twelve years ago, they awarded Heath for the same role and last year they awarded Rami for a showy, popular role, both like Joaquin. I doubt they’re going to do the same with him, even though he’s at the point of his career where he’s due for an Oscar. Meanwhile, Adam gives a more complete performance like Jack Nicholson from As Good As It Gets or Shirley McClain from Terms of Endearment. I think they’re going for the more sensible performance with Adam than the typical over-the-top performances like Joaquin.January 3, 2020 at 3:39 pm #1203258508
Regarding Christian Bale being nominated for an Oscar because of his noms from GG and SAG: many actors/actresses were nominated for both and was snubbed at the Oscars. For instance, John David Washington and Timothee Chamalet were nominated for both GG and SAG last year but got ignored at the Oscar. So I would count on Christian not having that happen to him as well, given his performance isn’t getting much hype.December 27, 2019 at 8:47 am #1203251623
Jennifer Lawrence won in an incredibly weak year for leading actresses. This is one of the strongest years for leading actors in many years. I thought she was vastly overrated and forgot she won.
True but she, like Adam, was starring in a blockbuster (The Hunger Games) as well as a well-received movie (Silver Linings Playbook). Even though the outcome was different in terms of how strong the field was, it did give her a boost during awards season, like Adam is having now times 10December 27, 2019 at 8:34 am #1203251601
I don’t know why everybody is arguing here, nobody will convince anybody to change their mind. We will soon know the answers.
Yeah. I’ll be honest: I’m more biased towards Adam, obviously. But I’m not blinded by my love for him to not acknowledge all the other great performances in this category. I pretty much saw most of the contenders’ movies, with the exception to Pain and Glory, The Irishman, and Two Popes. All of them deserve the praise and accolades from everyone. However, I judged on who’s most likely to win based on who is getting the most praise from critics as well as which performance is best suitable for voters. Right now, Adam Driver is the one to beat. If Heath Ledger never was Joker or that the Oscars aren’t biased towards comic book movies, Joaquin would be a shoo-in. But Adam has the momentum (a career year with 4 movies) and the love from critics and audiences. Oscar voters are taking notes and I wouldn’t be surprise at all of that will help him with winning and Oscar (see Jennifer Lawrence 2012)December 24, 2019 at 5:05 pm #1203249286
The internet’s over-confidence in Phoenix isn’t a great omen for him. This time in past awards seasons, the consensus was for the likes of Cooper or Bale over Malek, Gaga or Glenn over Olivia, Michael Keaton over Redmayne, Portman over Stone, Stallone over Rylance, Viola over Meryl, Clooney or Pitt over Dujardin, I can go on. Y’all seem so sure that you know Academy voters’ tastes, but you really don’t. Phoenix is hardly at Oldman or DDL-frontrunner status, and while Joaquin is very respected so is Adam in the kind of film much more suited to their sensibilities than Joker is.
This right here! This is why I feel that Adam is going to win over Joaquin. Doesn’t matter who you think gave the better performance, it’s about what type of movie and performance often suited for an elitist type of award show. Adam’s performance and the movie itself fits the bill.December 24, 2019 at 2:57 pm #1203249188
I think since this isn’t his first rodeo, Joaquin would handle it better this time around if he wins. Adam on the other hand, I’m already getting future secondhand embarrassment just thinking how he would react if he won.December 23, 2019 at 12:57 pm #1203248161
Lupita Nyong’o for Us. To me she gave the best performance out of the other front runners.December 12, 2019 at 7:35 am #1203233520
I can claim the exact opposite statement. Guys, the way you presented that performance has been overhype at its best. Scarlett is truly the MVP of that movie.
Gee thanks for telling us we have bad taste. And I think both Adam and Scarlet were greatDecember 12, 2019 at 7:30 am #1203233502
Angela Bassett – Waiting To Exhale
Michael B Jordan – Fruitvale Station, Black Panther
Jennifer Lopez – Selena
Oscar Isaac – Inside Llewyn Davis, Ex-Machina, The Most Violent Year
Adam Driver – Patterson