Forum Replies Created
January 16, 2019 at 1:16 pm #1202736608
I think Roma is one of – if not the – best film of the year but I haven’t seen everything yet. I think it’s great that’s it’s currently the frontrunner and would be happy to see a Best Picture win. It’s definitely a piece of work that will stand the test of time and be studied in film classes for years to come.
That being said, I’m still hesitant to declare it as the sure bet. I’m not confident that the Academy will just hand it over. It’s a foreign language film. It’s a foreign language film in b/w. It’s a foreign lsnguage film in b/w that is produced on Neflix. It’s that last one that really puts me on the fence. I agree with the posters who comment on the Netflix backlash. It’s the film’s biggest hurdle.
And to be honest, I kinda get the argument. One of the first things that came to mind when I saw the film was, “damn. I wish I saw that in a theatre”. The whole experience would have changed and I think I would have appreciated the movie even more. It’s also a slippery slope and really would open the door for made for TV movies to pursue an Oscar run, non? I’m not up to speed on the formalities but I get the resistance.
As a result, I think there will be those purists that will vote soley on principle. Not sure it will be enough but it should be interestng.
As for the campaign tactics, I think the industry screenings, media blitz, ad buys are fair game. The gifts to journalists, however, feels like it’s crossing the line. Were any other films/studios called out? I’d be interested.January 15, 2019 at 8:50 pm #1202735864
If Phoenix could not win for WTL in a much more layered and deep performance why should Cooper ? because his film is popular? I like the movie a lot but it is not winning material for nothing but it’s songs.
I thought Phoenix was great in WTL but that year, he was also up against Philip Seymour Hoffman who killed it in Capote (and cleaned up awards-wise) and Heath Ledger who was just astonishing in Brokeback.
I don’t think the performances this year by Bale-Cooper-Malek compare.January 15, 2019 at 8:45 pm #1202735861
I would have to disagree that Malek’s performance was emotional and that Bale was an impersonation. I actually found Makek’s to be an impersonation. Didn’t he himself admit he watched video thousands of times to nail it. That’s technical. Which is perfectly fine. They’re both playing real public figures so obviously, they want to do these historic figures justice. So both roles are similar in that way.
My biggest problem with BR is that it lacked depth and relied on audience nostalgia. And that hled into Malek’s performance. Not his fault; that’s what the script called for. I think he was more than capable to go deeper but that’s not the performance that was on screen. Which is really too bad – that source material is so rich.
January 15, 2019 at 8:24 pm #1202735855
- This reply was modified 2 days, 11 hours ago by Arias.
I don’t know if it’s just wishful thinking but I feel Hawke is still very much in it for that 5th slot. Am I crazy? I just think it’s a movie that enough voters in the actors branch might get behind. But that SAG omission hurt. How did the nominating committee schange this year? I figured if Bichir got in, Hawke would too.January 14, 2019 at 9:21 pm #1202734603
Seeing the same people who vehemently bash Gaga – even going as far as to suggest she’s bribing award shows/critics – complain about the anti-Closers is… something. Hilarious? Sad? I’m not sure. But it’s something.
Yeah it really is something. It’s also misleading. I thought I missed actual news reports that WB was paying off critics/media (!!!) and inquired about them lol. Radio silence.
This is one of those years for me where I don’t have a leading actress performance I’m dead set on winning. I thought there were several great performances and I’d be okay with any of them winning, including Close, Colman, Kidman, McCarthy, Gaga and Elsie Fischer. I haven’t seen everything but no one has blown me away where I feel they must win (eg. like a Swank in Boys Dont Cry; Watts in Mulhollsnd Drive – I am still pissed she wasn’t even nominated!). So I can understand if there are posters who do feel that passionately about one of the performances this year and may go overboard. But making accusations of bribery (a crime) is dangerous and shouldn’t be minimized.
January 13, 2019 at 9:49 pm #1202733229
- This reply was modified 3 days, 10 hours ago by Arias.
I think Close still has a significant advantage but who the hell knows anymore??? The industry respect/goodwill, the overdue narrative, that filmography and the performances she has delivered, the speech last week, etc., all work in her favour. What hurts her with large voting bodies, like SAG and the Academy, is whether enough voter eyeballs and how it plays. The good thing is that these two wins put the pressure on voters to screen it. Loved her reaction when Dafoe announced Gaga as the other winner – classy and gracious.January 13, 2019 at 9:31 pm #1202733195
Agree that Cooper focused too heavily on Director and let Actor fall wayside. The narrative became about shooting the concert footage, the years spent putting it together, getting a real performance from a pop star, etc., instead of about learning to sing and play guitar, changing his voice, tapping into the story about addiction, depression, fame and giving an authentic performance.
January 13, 2019 at 8:44 pm #1202733147
- This reply was modified 4 days, 10 hours ago by Arias.
I was kinda hoping Hawke would surprise and win here to hopefully revive his chances. Especially since it’s right during voting season. I don’t think the window is compleyely shut (or maybe that’s just false hope lol) but it’s closing quickly.January 13, 2019 at 6:55 pm #1202732835
Wow. These lead races are all over the place. Especially Actor (I still think Close has oscar in the bag) but actor has turned upside down. Bale/Malek with Cooper spoiler.January 13, 2019 at 4:52 pm #1202732196
My biggest issue with Ali is the category fraud. But he’s not the first and unless these award bodies don’t let studios/publicists dictate placement, it won’t be the last.January 13, 2019 at 4:46 pm #1202732159
I wonder if Hawke has a shot here. Critics have loved his performance. But from the sounds of it, this group is more concerned about how accurately they can predict the Oscar race?January 13, 2019 at 4:42 pm #1202732140
Loved Eighth Grade. Elsie is wonderful in it.January 12, 2019 at 7:32 pm #1202731277
Are you serious? Where were you for the last 6 months?!
That’s why I asked if I’m
missing something. If there have been stories of WB actively bribing or making payments to critics and award groups on behalf of ASIB in return for reviews and/or awards, please share. That would be very significant and will need to be exposed.
If not and this is solely based on WB’a ad buys, getting its cast on every media outlet/red carpet, etc, then that’s not bribery.January 12, 2019 at 5:07 pm #1202731194
Um. Where did all the talk about payola and bribery come from regarding ASIB? Did I miss some credible news item/accusation? Or does it just originate from Goldfetby posters who just didn’t like the movie? I’d definitely be interested to explore that topic if there are valid claims but if not, it’s just blatant lying, non?
I liked ASIB. It’s a great film IMO. It’s not my favourite film of the year (Roma, Eighth Grade were my faves of what I saw) but I can see why it would generate awards buzz. Traditional boy-meets-girl emotional drama featuring big stars. Great reviews. Great box office. Major studio. Of course, it’s in the awards conversation. Is it really that surprising?!?
But let’s just entertain this bribery argument, why isn’t that also applicable to EVERY other movie?!? They’re all campaigning. Netflix is so eager to get in the Oscar race and overcome that bias, maybe they’re offering free lifetime memberships to voters for support for Roma? I think Fox has even promised to bring back Freddy Mercury from the dead for a private Queen reunion concert in return for BR support? At least be consistent.
I’m not saying Hollywood wouldn’t or hasn’t engaged in campaigning that has crossed the line. We all know they have. But unless, there is more evidence to back it up, it’s a non-entity. Not liking a movie/performance or feeling it’s been overhyped carries no weight.
Finally if ASIB is bribing industry players, they should ask for their money back. They haven’t won shit! They basically went empty handed last week. Nothing at the big three critics groups. If anything, accusations against BR or Green Book would make more sense (although still unfair unless there are credible claims).January 11, 2019 at 9:47 pm #1202730517
I think Hawke is getting that 5th slot. I think he has enough imdustry support to squeeze in. Plus those big critics prizes couldn’t have gone unnoticed, right? When did an actor sweep LA, NY and NSFC and not get nominated? When was the last time an actor swept those three, period?
If he does get nominated, i also think it helps Malek. Cooper-hawke will split votes. And I don’t think Bale even cares lol.