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March 10, 2020 at 12:15 pm #1203377279
Lol, the results were terrible.
Mad Max with only a single win for make-up, really?
ReplyMarch 10, 2020 at 12:38 am #1203376631Nice meme poll-results lol.
Anyway, from the list only Streep and McDormand have reasonable chances. Hilary Swank could be because she’s still young but I think there’s this sort of “we’re done with you” feeling in the Academy towards her that would stop that from happening.
ReplyMarch 10, 2020 at 12:31 am #1203376623Why didn’t the Academy put Mara in Lead like they did with Kate Winslet when she went Supporting for The Reader?
Because that would have lowered the chances of both Blanchett and Mara to win and the Academy “followed” the distributor’s suggestion or “instruction” of who should be considered for lead and who for supporting.
However, it’s not always the case that when 2 actors/actresses are both nominated in lead none of them ends up winning, as proven by the cases of for example Terms of Endearment (MacLaine and Winger) and Amadeus (Abraham and Hulce).
ReplyMarch 10, 2020 at 12:24 am #1203376621Not true sis ! He had hella hit movies in the 2010’s (actually all of his movies were hits)
He has had a fair share of under-performing movies under his belt, like J. Edgar, Revolutionary Road, Body of Lies and especially The Beach which was supposed to be a mega-hit after he became the king of the world in Titanic but couldn’t even gross 40 million in the US.
ReplyMarch 6, 2020 at 3:09 pm #1203373568…and the Roman J. Israel nomination shows that he’s probably on par with Meryl in terms of getting nominated for even smaller/lesser performances.
To be fair, that was almost like a filler nomination. Nobody cared about that movie and nobody expected him to be nominated for it, he just got there because the voters needed an acceptable replacement for Franco’s spot.
ReplyMarch 6, 2020 at 4:28 am #1203372951Kidman is by far the likeliest. I even believe it’s gonna happen sometime during the next 5-6 years. I would say Mirren too but she’s not really seeking to win another one and she’s just having fun at this point of her career.
Berry is a definite no.
Let’s see
Julia Roberts : she’s still very much involved with Hollywood and she could totally win a 2nd one. While I was rooting for Lupita in 2014, Julia would have made a worthy winner for AOC.
But that would have constituted the most blatant case of category fraud win since Timothy Hutton. I’m glad she didn’t win for it, because she didn’t belong there in the first place.
ReplyMarch 4, 2020 at 5:26 am #1203370474I won’t ever fathom how in the world could the score of Jurassic Park not be nominated in 1993. I mean, the Academy nominates Williams for every single musical note he composes and they couldn’t nominate him and the movie for one of his most iconic works? I know he also had Schindler’s that year, for which he won, but ignoring an equally impressive score in favor of the likes of The Firm and The Fugitive was just bullshit.
ReplyMarch 4, 2020 at 5:13 am #1203370458The Revenant was never, ever going to win BP under preferential ballot system. It was divisive, it was insipid, it was cold. It is the kind of movie people would respect, but not love or embrace. Also, it didn’t feel important, it didn’t tackle any themes at all, it was just a revenge story with pretty visuals, as opposed to Spotlight which provided much more thoughtful content. It didn’t help also that many may have thought that giving Iñarritu 5 freakin’ Oscars in only 2 years would have just looked ridiculous.
3: Screenplay win. The Revenant was nominated for Director, Actor, and Supporting Actor (two of which it won) but not Screenplay. I don’t believe any film has won Best Picture without a Screenplay nom since the early days of the academy. Spotlight’s win proves it’s easier to win Picture even with just Screenplay than with no nom at all.
The Sound of Music and Titanic won without being nominated for screenplay.
ReplyMarch 1, 2020 at 5:36 pm #1203366158Black director seems to be the likeliest, and possibly the only 3 that has a chance, as previously mentioned are:
Spike Lee
Barry Jenkins
Ava DuVernayWhat about Steve McQueen? I think he has chances too, after all he directed a best picture winner movie.
ReplyFebruary 29, 2020 at 5:10 pm #1203365338I’ll add more diversity here and say Jessica Chastain.
ReplyFebruary 29, 2020 at 5:07 pm #1203365336Director would have gone to Sam Mendes, but both picture and original screenplay to Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, because that’s the next in line with the most support from both writers and actors. 1917 was just too much a substance-less of a movie to earn best picture honors.
International film would have gone to Pain and Glory.
ReplyFebruary 25, 2020 at 7:00 pm #1203360563There’s probably no better example here than Sarah Paulson.
Highly likely: James McAvoy, Emily Blunt
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Likely: Emma Watson, Asa Butterfield, Chloe Grace Moretz
Long shots: Jennifer Aniston, Ryan Phillippe, Bryce Dallas HowardFebruary 18, 2020 at 6:07 pm #1203351275The “0” option is the 1917 option. For some reason, that’s the way it appears in the poll. I’ve edited it a lot of times to correct this but there’s just no case =/, it keeps appearing as “0”.
ReplyFebruary 18, 2020 at 5:59 pm #1203351257Hell no. Traffic was just too much of a “cold” movie to win BP. It’s the perfect example of the movie voters respect… but not love.
I do find it funny how it virtually won every category that supports a BP win (directing, acting, screenplay and editing)… yet it still lost lol.
ReplyFebruary 18, 2020 at 4:58 pm #1203351222How in the world a movie like Slumdog Millionaire got 8, 8 freakin’ Oscars will always be beyond me. I especially HATED it for robbing Wall-E in both musical categories.
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