[Anthony 🐜 Joined: Jul 26th, 2013 Topics: 0 Posts: 159 View Predictions]

#1204849441

kamila wrote:

Because of BAFTA, there’s a chunk of voters whose preferences aren’t accounted for in this race yet. Chastain is the frontrunner but she can’t be called strong with just a SAG and a late CC win. Her film was one of the earliest out and she couldn’t get AACTA over Cruz when Parallel Mothers still wasn’t widely seen. I think she’s the best possible matchup Cruz could’ve had out of the group for a chance at an upset. Either way, this race is probably closer than it looks.

And yet Cruz couldn’t get a BAFTA Shortlist mention, when Jessica Chastain and The Eyes of Tammy Faye got multiple shortlist mentions.

And what makes you think the rest of the BAFTA members wouldn’t have voted for Chastain had that acting jury nominated her? It won Makeup and Hairstyling at BAFTA. They literally just went with all SAG winners, bar Chastain, who wasn’t nominated. You’d have to be mighty confused if you think they wouldn’t have voted for her.

Stop it please. Chastain won an international jury prize from a respected international film festival for this performance. International voters will like it just fine.

[Anthony 🐜 Joined: Jul 26th, 2013 Topics: 0 Posts: 159 View Predictions]

#1204819383

TheLordMan wrote:

POTD was not nominated for the WGA but TLD was also snubbed. POTD was the only adapted film to get a nom at the GG. Dune is the only one who got all 3 noms (USC, WGA, Oscar) but that is not winning at all.

So who the hell knows anymore? I just think POTD will win this.

What? You know The Lost Daughter was not eligible for the Writer’s Guild Award. You Power of the Dog stance are going to be insanely insufferable everytime it loses something, ne???

[Anthony 🐜 Joined: Jul 26th, 2013 Topics: 0 Posts: 159 View Predictions]

#1204814250

Belfast
Will Smith
Jessica Chastain
Troy Kotsur
Caitriona Balfe

[Anthony 🐜 Joined: Jul 26th, 2013 Topics: 0 Posts: 159 View Predictions]

#1204802797

wrote:

I pretend that song does not exist. But true!

Watch out….Van Morrison might just pull off the upset, against all of Film Twitter’s odds.

– highly respected veteran artist
– Rock & Roll Hall of Fame & Songwriters Hall of Fame inductee,
– The entire Belfast soundtrack is about and by him
– Down To Joy is prominently featured in the film.
– The song is great. Had this been only the music branch voting, he would’ve won this in a cakewalk.
– Belfast is a formidable Best Picture nominee (might even be the Best Picture winner).

X

Reply

[Anthony 🐜 Joined: Jul 26th, 2013 Topics: 0 Posts: 159 View Predictions]

#1204801159

Jessica Chastain

[Anthony 🐜 Joined: Jul 26th, 2013 Topics: 0 Posts: 159 View Predictions]

#1204798027

mmm2021 wrote:

Are the Emmys much different when it comes to voters?

No. Actors make up the majority of ATAS.

[Anthony 🐜 Joined: Jul 26th, 2013 Topics: 0 Posts: 159 View Predictions]

#1204765625

.... wrote:

This thread has become so unbearable. Y’all know that there are still other actresses in best actress contention besides lady gaga and kristen stewart?

That’s why they both need to get snubbed. We wouldn’t be having these low class dramas if gay critics had just left the awards an Oscars to actual Actresses.

Thank you.

[Anthony 🐜 Joined: Jul 26th, 2013 Topics: 0 Posts: 159 View Predictions]

#1204759260

Cordelia wrote:

Throwing box office numbers and viewing numbers around is absurd, the only viewers that matter are 900 people in the Academy. This isn’t the People’s Choice Awards.

Exactly why ROMA didn’t stand a chance against GREEN BOOK.

This is the sequel. And spoiler alert: It ends exactly the same way.

[Anthony 🐜 Joined: Jul 26th, 2013 Topics: 0 Posts: 159 View Predictions]

#1204759245

OscarWatcher1971 wrote:

Nice slur man.

TPOTD reached #1 globally on Netflix. For a Jane Campion adaptation of a Thomas Savage novel, extraordinary.

Let me put that into perspective for you:

With only 24 million hours of watching. One of the lowest ever for Netflix. Halle Berry’s BRUISED and The Harder They Fall did way better. And then it tumbled down the Global Netflix chart. No recommendation value AT ALL.

Meanwhile, Belfast is finally finding it’s audience THAT WAS LOCKED UP IN QUARANTINE THIS WHOLE TIME. It is currently rebounding in the US. Week on week increases, expected to explode this week in the US bx office with only 67 theaters, because of its Dolby screenings. Already out grossed Spencer. Since that was apparently why it was considered a flop. Because Spencer did better.

And it will only get bigger at the US box office from now onward.

#1 Film in the UK, expected to debut Top 5 in its next international market (Spain).

It was the Best Picture frontrunner since its win at Toronto. Just like Green Book, Nomadland, Slumdog Millionaire, 12 Years a Slave, The King’s Speech, etc.

It’s not that hard. I know you guys and pundits want to manufacture a Best Picture race. But there is no race.

It’s Belfast. Was Belfast.

[Anthony 🐜 Joined: Jul 26th, 2013 Topics: 0 Posts: 159 View Predictions]

#1204756398

Melvinezq wrote:

Mads Mikkelsen and Maria Bakalova are not British and/or POC.

I literally said 10 of the 16 acting nominations were British. 10.

And Mikkelsen might not be British, but he has a strong connection to British cinema, having worked with countless British Directors and actors.

Which is what I said initially?

[Anthony 🐜 Joined: Jul 26th, 2013 Topics: 0 Posts: 159 View Predictions]

#1204756377

superbrats wrote:

Plemons is good but the role doesn’t give him anything nomination worthy to do (except for maybe that one scene with Kirsten Dunst after they get married). The “problem” with his performance is not the subtlety, is that his character doesn’t get much to do and kind of goes away in the most important parts of the film.

But this is such a weird category that I could see it happening if they really love TPOTD. Outside of Woody Norman and Troy Kotsur (if he’s not top 2) there’s no other obvious jury picks.

It’s the BRITISH OSCARS. 10 of the 16 acting nominations went to British Actors last year, and at least 3 more that had some kind of connection to British cinema.

It’s not that hard: British and or POC.

[Anthony 🐜 Joined: Jul 26th, 2013 Topics: 0 Posts: 159 View Predictions]

#1204756359

smurty11 wrote:

I will not put Being the Ricardos in the 10th spot or Nicole Kidman at #1 until she wins the SAG. I can’t make myself do it.

I really don’t think she’s winning SAG. Like, AT ALL.

I think we’re headed for another year where the Golden Globes, SAG and BAFTA split.

[Anthony 🐜 Joined: Jul 26th, 2013 Topics: 0 Posts: 159 View Predictions]

#1204743097

jez89 wrote:

This jury system is really warped and has ruined the BAFTA’s. Excellent POC performers have traditionally gotten nominated anyway, except for a few random outliers (Washington). Diversity for diversity sake is not a good thing.

No. Diversity isn’t just about race. And definitely not just about black actors. That jury system made it better, actually. It’s the BRITISH FILM AWARDS. That jury system has allowed British talent and all POC British actors to get a chance at being recognized/honored. Black, Indian, Arab, North African, Asian, etc. Which is exactly what has happened, if you look at last year. Beautiful set of nominations where the best of British films were represented. At the British Academy Film Awards.

And it’s exactly what’s going to happen this year. British Indie films will overperform with nominations, as they should. This isn’t the Oscars.

[Anthony 🐜 Joined: Jul 26th, 2013 Topics: 0 Posts: 159 View Predictions]

#1204743091

Cosmia wrote:

It’s an open secret that he’s an egotistical creep who plays fast and loose with age of consent laws. There’s also the fact that he won an Oscar for playing a trans woman in the most obvious and stereotypical way.

It’s not an open secret. Until you can prove these allegations in a court of law, you really shouldn’t be spreading hearsay around like this. They are allegations.

[Anthony 🐜 Joined: Jul 26th, 2013 Topics: 0 Posts: 159 View Predictions]

#1204742876

Manav wrote:

With Aunjanue Ellis snubbed, I don’t think anyone will be able to win over DeBose at SAG. Had Ellis made it in, she would have seemed the logical alternative considering SAG’s affinity for veterans.

Caitríona Balfe is winning SAG. And most definitely winning BAFTA. COME ON NOW.