[Anthony 🐜Participant Joined: Jul 26th, 2013 Topics: 47 Posts: 2509 View Predictions]

#1203201919

It’s like you people don’t even know who and what SAG is……actors don’t give a damn about Metacritic reviews or critical divisiveness. SAG-AFTRA has always liked, popular, basic, non-highbrow entertainment. Trumbo. Hidden Figures. Straight Outta Compton, The Butler, Bohemian Rhapsody, etc.

There are gonna be 1 or 2 POC ensemble nominees, because SAG goes to bat for POC casts. A popular film with a big recognisable cast will get in. Always has, always will.

1. Downton Abbey
2. Dolemite Is My Name
3. Marriage Story
4. JoJo Rabbit
5. Just Mercy

[Anthony 🐜Participant Joined: Jul 26th, 2013 Topics: 47 Posts: 2509 View Predictions]

#1203182260

Joker wins the Golden Frog and the Audience Award at the Camerimage Film Festival.

It’s now a major contender for Cinematography at the Oscars. It’s probably winning ASC.

[Anthony 🐜Participant Joined: Jul 26th, 2013 Topics: 47 Posts: 2509 View Predictions]

#1203181704

Between Marriage Story and The Irishman, I can’t wait to see which of the two Netflix top dogs underperforms nomination morning.

Because they are not both getting Best Picture, Best Director, Best Screenplays, Best Actors, Best Supporting Actors/Actresses, etc.

+13 nominations are being predicted for just these two movies. In the top categories.

Ain’t happening.

[Anthony 🐜Participant Joined: Jul 26th, 2013 Topics: 47 Posts: 2509 View Predictions]

#1203166654

The underdog they won’t see coming.
The film is sweeping Audience Awards. Not counting TIFF, it is winning the same Audience Awards Green Book, Spotlight and Lion won.

Jamie Foxx coming for that second Oscar, and Warner Bros about to OWN the 2020 Oscars .

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[Anthony 🐜Participant Joined: Jul 26th, 2013 Topics: 47 Posts: 2509 View Predictions]

#1203140644

LOL. I see #FilmTwitter and Oscar pundits never change. Looks like Bombshell is the “Mary Poppins Returns” and “Carol” of this year. First screenings and apparently it’s a HUGE Oscar contender, with multiple nominations lined up, including Best Picture. And 2 Acting wins assured.

And yet they ignore who the demographic and target audience for this film is supposed to be. The steak-eaters and male driven Academy members are apparently just gonna go GAGA over this film. And female voters are just gonna eat up this film about THESE specific women.

It’s not VICE. Stop comparing it to VICE. A male lead dramedy satire film about well-known MALE politicians directed by It-boy Adam McKay starring beloved MALE actors is not comparable to a female lead film about a group of unlikable, problematic women in the already problematic #MeToo era. The subject matter addressed in the film is dicey, the women at the forefront of the story are extremely problematic and unlikable, and any rooting factor for the cause is thrown out the window when you realise WHO you are actually rooting for and who you are supposed to feel sympathy for.

Can’t wait to see this ridiculousness play out. And for pundits to later on shrug and say: “Well, how were we supposed to know. On paper it looked like a contender”. SMH

[Anthony 🐜Participant Joined: Jul 26th, 2013 Topics: 47 Posts: 2509 View Predictions]

#1203140622

Is Netflix really gonna dominate the entire Golden Globes this year?

– 2 x Best Drama (Marriage Story, The Irishman)
– 2 x Best Comedy (Dolemite Is My Name, The Two Popes)
– Drama Actress (Marriage Story)
– 2 x Drama Actor (Marriage Story, The Irishman)
– 2 x Comedy Actor (The Two Popes, Dolemite Is My Name)
– 2 x Supporting Actor (The Irishman, The Two Popes)
– Supporting Actress (Marriage Story)
– 2 x Directing (Marriage Story, The Irishman)
– 2 x Screenplay (Marriage Story, The Irishman, maybe The Two Popes as well)

16 nominations?!!!?

I find that extremely hard to believe. An awards group that goes out of their way to spread the wealth by including most film studios in their nominations and winners? They always find spots for their beloved studios (Sony Pictures Classics, 20th Century Fox, Warner Bros, Focus Features, Universal, Fox Searchlight).

Not even their massive love for Focus Features and 20th Century Fox over the years have lead them to shower those studios with so many nominations.

I see big snubs coming.

[Anthony 🐜Participant Joined: Jul 26th, 2013 Topics: 47 Posts: 2509 View Predictions]

#1203076632

Almost every film got a standing ovation. Because the Director and talent is present at the screening. If none of those people were present at Official screenings of these films, more than half of these films wouldn’t even get a slow clap.

If Beale Street is an emotional, feel-good film. That’s why it placed as runner-up. That’s the type of films TIFF audiences love.

The only buzz any of these films have gotten until now, is from critics. Today is the first day general audiences will weigh in.

And Marriage Story is no ROMA. Not even close. Not the acclaim, not the level of buzz and hype, not the awards prospects. So just stop.

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[Anthony 🐜Participant Joined: Jul 26th, 2013 Topics: 47 Posts: 2509 View Predictions]

#1203076504

These Marriage Story predictions are just as pretentious as the people who are positioning it as the second coming of Christ.

IT IS NOT A CROWD-PLEASER! IT’S A CRITICS FILM.
It is not uplifting, and also not the type of film you can pop in the dvd at home with your family, and they will all generally like it.

Hidden Figures, Slumdog Millionaire, Green Book, etc….are crowd-pleasers.

Marriage Story, Boyhood, Carol and The Favourite are critics films. Not crowd-pleasers

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[Anthony 🐜Participant Joined: Jul 26th, 2013 Topics: 47 Posts: 2509 View Predictions]

#1203075866

jjjmoss wrote:

whew Oscar Winner Saoirse coming

For what? She’s gonna have to find herself a starring vehicle where she’s the sole and ONLY factor. Like BROOKLYN.

She ain’t happening for a borderline ensemble role in a period film that has been done to death

[Anthony 🐜Participant Joined: Jul 26th, 2013 Topics: 47 Posts: 2509 View Predictions]

#1203075729

People’s Choice prediction:

Winner: Just Mercy

1st runner-up: Waves
2nd runner-up: Parasite

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[Anthony 🐜Participant Joined: Jul 26th, 2013 Topics: 47 Posts: 2509 View Predictions]

#1203068837

Fight it all you guys want, Renée Zellweger is heading for her second Oscar. The raves just keep coming, over all other contenders. And her narrative gets stronger with each passing festival showing.

Thank you to the also ran, but this category is wrapped up.

[Anthony 🐜Participant Joined: Jul 26th, 2013 Topics: 47 Posts: 2509 View Predictions]

#1203062453

Thatcher, Former Prime Minister of GoldDerby wrote:

Darlings, awarding comic book “superhero” movie is, in my holy opinion, a clear sympton that cinema is dying. So I agree, it’s sad that a classy festival like Venice ends awarding Clownery.

Cinema is alive and well, honey. 2019 just delivered the highest grossing film of all time, and countless other massive box office hits.

Venice, Lucretia Martel and her jury just brought Venice back to the people. Go watch the videos of the crowd reactions when Joker was announced the Golden Lion winner. It’s the first time in years that people lined the streets outside to see a film they love, getting honored with the Leone d’Or. Martel and her jury was applauded today for their bold, refreshing decisions.

They just made Venice relevant again, to the people that actually matter: the thousands of people who flock to festivals to see films, and people who go to cinemas to pay for movies. Not just critics.

What is dying is the grip that pretentious critics and people like you have had on cinema. The Metacritic lists and snobbish attitudes towards popular films and genres. The big divide and clear disconnect between critics and audiences is very evident.

What is dying is the Oscars telecast because it panders to woke Twitter and their obsession with niche films that the general public is not interested in seeing.

Last year, the Oscars made bold choices to include popular films, to bring back the audiences that they lost over the years. And it worked. Ratings didn’t drop, it increased.

This year, with that clownery film and other popular films that critics pull their noses up at, the Oscar at least has a fighting chance to stay relevant.

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[Anthony 🐜Participant Joined: Jul 26th, 2013 Topics: 47 Posts: 2509 View Predictions]

#1203062165

Stegeo wrote:

Phoenix is sweeping. Thread closed. See ya next year.

Amen, and AMEN

[Anthony 🐜Participant Joined: Jul 26th, 2013 Topics: 47 Posts: 2509 View Predictions]

#1203060403

Cordelia wrote:

So after how great Venice and Telluride have been for new contenders… can somebody please explain why 1917 is showing up in predictions? I do not get the “Oscars argument” for that at all.

And LITTLE BIRD, LADY WOMEN (or whatever the hell it’s called) is gonna walk into the Oscars with which arguments exactly?

[Anthony 🐜Participant Joined: Jul 26th, 2013 Topics: 47 Posts: 2509 View Predictions]

#1203060396

Who? What? Where?

Show me the drools? Better yet, show me ONE person who wants to give Scorsese a Directing Oscar……and for what? The Irishman? REALLY???

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