Updated predictions for the month of December, post GG/SAG noms, are now up! Kills me to drop Widows from every category. 🙁

Viewership collapsed the year NPH hosted. He will never be invited back.

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If Grant wins the Globe or SAG, I suspect he takes the Oscar. BAFTA seems a given and the coupling of that with another major prize would likely seal the deal.

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The SAG winner will win the Oscar.

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I suspect Wright is behind both Oh and Moss, at least. House of Cards is now a borderline-unwatchable snooze.

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I doubt she earns a single nom at BAFTA. She’s still very much plausible in Supporting Actress, given the clown car that exists for that fifth slot, but I don’t think Lead is happening.

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Cooper and Bale at the Globes, Malek at SAG/BAFTA and…Cooper at the Oscars.

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King is not a lock, especially considering she’s liable to miss at BAFTA too (with both Foy and Robbie showing up there).

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I still think Hawke, barring Washington showing up at BAFTA, which would bake the cake for him. With Dafoe and Gosling trailing.

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Well, Grant will comfortably triumph at BAFTA, is very plausible at BFCA and cannot be counted out at GG/SAG. I suspect Ali ultimately takes the Oscar but Grant’s very much up there too.

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Widows is completely dunzo, unfortunately. SAG was the most prime territory for it.

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Indeed, that’s the problem – few will be inclined to award Black Panther multiple ensemble prizes. I actually think it may be BlacKkKlansman in the end, considering Washington’s surprise nom.

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Inducting Janet before Chaka is odd.

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Thank heavens Jane & Lily are still in there! 🙂

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I think Gosling is kaput but don’t underestimate Hawke.

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Yeah, I would say Blunt is most vulnerable, except Mary Poppins Returns will be peaking at just the right time in terms of Oscar balloting – and she’s likely for a BAFTA nom. This is indeed almost surely the final five.

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My hunch is BlacKkKlansman, Rami Malek, Glenn Close, Sam Elliott and Amy Adams for the wins here – the Oscars, however, could look much different.

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^Marcia Gay Harden, who benefited from the most split (precursors-wise) of Best Supporting Actress fields.

I do think King still makes the cut, perhaps rather easily, but Adams is now the (soft) front-runner to win.

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Cera is barely a presence in The Waverly Gallery.

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