[Beastialg Joined: Sep 15th, 2011 Topics: 2 Posts: 252 View Predictions]

#1204950052

Go Yeoh! wrote:

These categories are a reach

I can see it getting a Best Picture nomination but it’s not a film heavily basking on acting talent or performances! Very akin to Avtar which is a triumph of cinematic experience and technical department.

They are a reach, but Cruise is mentioned as “oscar worthy” in some of the reviews. It seems the movie gives a lot of depth to his character. Teller and Connelly are getting good reviews too.

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[Beastialg Joined: Sep 15th, 2011 Topics: 2 Posts: 252 View Predictions]

#1204950024

Reviews are out and they are great

Rotten Tomatoes – 43 reviews in – 100% fresh
Metacritic – 34 reviews in – 81 (Universal Acclaim)

If this becomes a huge hit (which seems likely base on pre-sales and box office predictions) I think it will have a huge chance with the Oscars

Very likely – Editing, Cinematography, Sound and Song
Other possibilities – Picture, Directing, Actor (Cruise), S. Actress (Connelly), S. Actor (Teller, Powell), Score.

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[Beastialg Joined: Sep 15th, 2011 Topics: 2 Posts: 252 View Predictions]

#1204888737

wolfali wrote:

Aside from Thirteen Lives and I Wanna Dance with Somebody does there even look like a “populist leaning” film in contention this season? I guess one could say Empire of Light but that also looks like an auteur driven passion project.

Avatar 2 for sure. And maybe Top Gun? If it’s really well received? The last trailer looks amazing.

[Beastialg Joined: Sep 15th, 2011 Topics: 2 Posts: 252 View Predictions]

#1204885727

I think I can add this one now:

Ariana DeBose – West Side Story

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[Beastialg Joined: Sep 15th, 2011 Topics: 2 Posts: 252 View Predictions]

#1204885716

Congrats to Ariana, but that Oscar clip is part of the reason I don’t have high regards of her performance overrall.

My ranking of the last 10 winners

Youn Yuh-jung
——–
Patricia Arquette
Viola Davis
Lupita Nyong’o
——–
Anne Hathaway
Ariana DeBose
Allison Janney
Regina King
——–
Alicia Vikander
——–
Laura Dern

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[Beastialg Joined: Sep 15th, 2011 Topics: 2 Posts: 252 View Predictions]

#1204885510

Chastain is not a “BAD” win, but an underwhelming one. Especially with the competition she had.

My ranking of the last 10 winners

1) Olivia Colman
2) Cate Blanchett
——-
3) Emma Stone
4) Brie Larson
5) Frances McDormand (Nomadland)
—-
6) Julianne Moore
7) Frances McDormand (Three Billboards)
8) Jessica Chastain
9) Renée Zellweger
10) Jennifer Lawrence

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[Beastialg Joined: Sep 15th, 2011 Topics: 2 Posts: 252 View Predictions]

#1204885496

Lucas wrote:

both Screenplay wins were the worst of the night

One of the worst screenplay combo wins ever.

About Licorice Pizza, it seems it had critics and BAFTA support, but no so much from the guilds and AMPAS. It was liked well enough to get noms, but it didn’t have enough passion to get wins.

Also, I think PTA is suffering from something similar to Glenn Close. He is not only competing to other 4 candidates, but also to himself and his past work (which is great). I think that if he doesn’t come with another TWBB with that type of reception, he will have trouble winning.

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[Beastialg Joined: Sep 15th, 2011 Topics: 2 Posts: 252 View Predictions]

#1204875891

Best in Best Actress Category

2010 – Natalie Portman
2011 – Rooney Mara
2012 – Emmanuelle Riva
2013 – Cate Blanchett (but I have a soft spot for Bullock)
2014 – Rosamund Pike
2015 – Charlotte Rampling (Larson is up there too)
2016 – Isabelle Huppert (Stone is great too)
2017 – Sally Hawkins
2018 – Olivia Colman
2019 – I don’t know. I guess Zellweger or Ronan. Very weak year.
2020 – Carey Mulligan
2021 – Penélope Cruz

[Beastialg Joined: Sep 15th, 2011 Topics: 2 Posts: 252 View Predictions]

#1204871762

MovieCritic wrote:

If any of you really remembered Tammy Faye, you would think differently. Jessica was spot on with her.

I actually like Jan Hooks SNL impersonation better

[Beastialg Joined: Sep 15th, 2011 Topics: 2 Posts: 252 View Predictions]

#1204868527

Kenny wrote:

I don’t think pta thinks that

I don’t think PTA cares about awards that much either. He cares more about the quality of his work than winning awards.

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[Beastialg Joined: Sep 15th, 2011 Topics: 2 Posts: 252 View Predictions]

#1204852194

Hoping PTA gets a very overdue win for one of the best screenplays of the year. And haters can keep hating.

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[Beastialg Joined: Sep 15th, 2011 Topics: 2 Posts: 252 View Predictions]

#1204852167

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[Beastialg Joined: Sep 15th, 2011 Topics: 2 Posts: 252 View Predictions]

#1204852163

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[Beastialg Joined: Sep 15th, 2011 Topics: 2 Posts: 252 View Predictions]

#1204852158

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[Beastialg Joined: Sep 15th, 2011 Topics: 2 Posts: 252 View Predictions]

#1204850134

almanzarlamarcarlile wrote:

Let’s be blunt: if you were rooting for Ariana DeBose to fail, you’re a misogynist, an xenophobe, and a homophobe. There’s no gray area here. There’s nothing about her performance to dislike.

I dislike how badly she speaks spanish in the film, pronouncing several words wrong, when her character is Puerto Rican.

She still is going to win an oscar, but far from a perfect performance in my book.

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