Forum Replies Created
January 2, 2022 at 5:13 pm #1204693229
BAFTA’s sheep. They won’t care about politics of how Diana is portrayed when they want to be Oscar predictors.December 22, 2021 at 3:06 pm #1204674530
Kidman doesn’t have raves and she doesn’t really give a truly WINNING (has nothing to do with her being good or bad) performance here. Unless you’re in a very specific circumstance like Frances McDormand or a Meryl Streep (not counting Renee Zellweger because Judy was her first lead win), winning a 2nd Oscar in lead isn’t easy AT ALL. You either need to be undeniable or have some type of narrative for that to happen and Nicole Kidman has neither of that. She doesn’t have any explosive scenes to justify them falling for it and it’s not a height of her career sort of thing either.
Even more obvious than it was when those reviews for Spencer drop, Kristen Stewart seems to have this. I knew those Natalie Portman comparisons wouldn’t work this go round because she doesn’t have an Isabelle Huppert or a Emma Stone standing in her way and she isn’t competing for a 2nd Oscar (ding! ding! ding!). As I said way back when, she checks off the most boxes.November 18, 2021 at 10:26 pm #1204588052
Bey should have gotten on board a good songwriter. She could have won this then. With Dlu looking so high up the bp radar, this will be Aris Shallow.
LMFAOOOOO there is no way y’all are serious with this, especially with that Shallow comparison.
The song seems silly? Silly songs don’t get taken seriously like that and if she gets in, nothing about it is win competitive. The winner is still most likely Billie.November 16, 2021 at 12:56 pm #1204582507
Pop Solo Performance
1. Olivia Rodrigo – drivers license
2. Billie Eilish – Happier Than Ever
3. Lil Nas X – MONTERO (Call Me By Your Name)
4. Ariana Grande – positions
5. Ed Sheeran – Bad Habits
(6. Taylor Swift – willow)
Pop Duo/Group Performance
1. Doja Cat feat. SZA – Kiss Me More
2. Justin Bieber & benny blanco – Lonely / Skrillex, Justin Bieber & Don Toliver – Don’t Go
3. Tony Bennett & Lady Gaga – I Get a Kick Out of You
4. BTS – Butter
5. Lizzo feat. Cardi B – Rumors
(6. ABBA – I Still Have Faith in You)
Pop Vocal Album
1. Billie Eilish – Happier Than Ever
2. Olivia Rodrigo – SOUR
3. Taylor Swift – evermore
4. Ariana Grande – Positions
5. Doja Cat – Planet Her
[6. Lil Nas X – Montero]November 10, 2021 at 3:57 pm #1204570301
And why would all 6 nominees be straight Oscar contenders???? Look at last year
Actor: 3/6 (snubbed Oldman and Yeun)
Actress: 2/6 (snubbed Viola, Carey, and Andra wasnt in the longlist)
Supporting Actor: 3/6 (snubbed SBC and Lakeith wasnt in longlist)
Supporting Actress 2/6 (snubbed Colman, Seyfried, Close AND Foster)
They snubbed the more “broad” contenders for mostly obscure British acts. That will most likely happen again. But M has always been a delusional, different breed of dumb whenever it comes to anything that is Gaga-related.November 10, 2021 at 3:45 pm #1204570281
You said ASIB was going to end Gaga’s career. Well at least HoG is happening.
And to your point, yes Gucci will underperform just like Vice. But remember even with Vice they gave acting nominations.
That stupid lie you continue to tell is as tired as your relentless Gaga stanning.
And please shut that shit up when you don’t know WHAT you’re talking about. Vice was under a different voting system and that was before this jury mess. It got 6 nominations, including Editing (which it WON) and didn’t necessarily underperform. That was top 5 when it got the Oscar noms that it did. Gucci is NOT getting across the board nominations unless you really believe it’s getting Director, Screenplay, Editing and Makeup noms/wins.November 10, 2021 at 3:22 pm #1204570216
BAFTAs are sheep, first and foremost, before they are independently British. They tweaked their new voting rules this year because they saw how much their nominations deviated from the Oscars last season. That “top 2 vote-getter” shit is just an excuse to nominate the 2 strongest contenders/frontrunners so that they can cover their bases. Since Kristen Stewart is the frontrunner, she shouldn’t have any trouble getting in here and even if she, by off chance, doesn’t get there, the jury would save her.
Wacky stuff like Gucci is probably getting snubbed HARD by BAFTA even if it does well at Globes and SAG.November 9, 2021 at 7:26 pm #1204568473
A bit off topic but what do you think of the film’s chances in screenplay?
I think maybe some regionals would nominate there but the Oscars nnnn not really because it’s not a writerly movie and that’s where most of its criticisms lie. Wind up Jackie in that sense but 2016 was a bulky year for a lot of critically adored films and industry-embraced ones as well, so something divisive like Jackie got lost in the shuffle.
This year is a bit more flexible with lesser tech-heavy contenders that would block Spencer, so I think it has a better chance for its Production and Cinematography.November 9, 2021 at 7:04 pm #1204568425
Even if it misses picture, it will still get a host of nominations which would make it quite the widely seen film in the academy.
I only have it for 3-4 noms so far (8-10 range in Picture, Actress, Score and Costumes) but I think it is on the cusp for Production and Cinematography, so she won’t suffer from being a lone nominee.November 9, 2021 at 6:59 pm #1204568413
I would be STUNNED if Cruella missed Costumes. It’s literally the focal point of the entire film and the SHOWIEEESSSTTTT of every contender in here. It’s win competitive if nominated.November 9, 2021 at 6:39 pm #1204568357
Lmao, Stewart is the only one that is still locked here and still the winner even if Spencer doesn’t get a Picture nom. Gaga can get Globe and SAG noms but with Gucci probably having a mess of a reception, she’s not in win territory here and will be fighting for the same middlebrow votes that Chastain and Kidman will be competing for as well. That’s not even mentioning the other highbrow contenders like McDormand, Colman, Cruz, and possibly Alana Haim now.November 3, 2021 at 5:01 pm #1204555704
Eh, these don’t really mean much and neither do the winners. Weird that Spencer missed here, but shouldn’t hinder it when you have films like King Richard, Stillwater, and NTTD in here that are most likely not happening here (I would include DLU but no one has heard that score yet). The winners are even more off-base.November 2, 2021 at 12:47 pm #1204553473
LMFAOOOOOOO Mass doesn’t even have any actual buzz. This is pundits pushing for an Ann Dowd breakthrough nomination and her being this high makes no sense, still.Not now