If you want to predict The Batman for Best Picture, by all means, go right ahead.

I have it in my predictions now because the odds are good, but I have a sneaking suspicion and am fully prepared for the event that White Noise ends up being too… *ahem* “Charlie Kaufman”… for the Academy.

Meaning that I’ll love it to pieces but it will probably get passed over.

“Every rejection, every disappointment has led you to this moment.”

Oh, it would be so fitting.

Just going off recent screening reports, that’s all.

August Original Screenplay Predictions:

1. Everything Everywhere All at Once
2. The Fabelmans 
3. Babylon
4. Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths 
5. Triange of Sadness

6. Decision to Leave 

August Adapted Screenplay Predictions:

1. Women Talking
2. She Said 
3. The Banshees of Inisherin
4. The Greatest Beer Run Ever
5. White Noi…[Read more]

While I think that’s a decent comparison to make, an issue last year with Tick, Tick, Boom! was that it was one of several pictures Netflix was juggling.
That’s not the case with Elvis, as Warner Bros doesn’t really have any other project to throw their weight behind, now that it appears Don’t Worry Darling is going to be panned.

Besides, the…[Read more]

I hope Brendan Gleeson is nominated soon – he was brilliant in Calvary – but I wouldn’t want it to happen in a blatant category-fraud situation.

My bullish August predictions:

1. Brendan Fraser, The Whale
2. Hugh Jackman, The Son
3. Daniel Gimenez Cacho, Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths
4. Song Kang-ho, Broker
5. Austin Butler, Elvis

6. Adam Driver, White Noise

The sky’s the limit as far as EEAAO‘s nom potential.

Elvis is looking pretty solid for Actor + Art Department categories. Nomination hauls like this (lack of screenplay, director, or editing) are uncommon for Picture nominees in the modern era, but they happen. I’m also very curious to see how HFPA goes for it and whether it contends in Drama or…[Read more]

It would be very… unconventional for three movies from the year’s first-half to be nominated for picture. That’s for sure.

That’s a great analysis, as always, wolfali.

I’d just like to add that I’d love to see Hong (and Curtis) get in and am rooting for it to happen.

-M, TF

Parasite (3200)

The Grand Budapest Hotel (1270)

Moonlight (965)

The Favourite (395)

Eliminated:
88) Bohemian Rhapsody
87) American Hustle
86) Argo
85) Green Book
84) Vice
83) Dallas Buyer’s Club
82) The Theory of Everything
81) Silver Linings Playbook
80) Les Miserables
79) Joker
78) Darkest Hour
77) Beasts of the Southern Wild
76) T…[Read more]

I’m still thinking this could be the year where we get two international features in Best Picture.

Also, if you’re the type of prognosticator that is expecting Austin Butler to win Lead Actor, then you probably should be putting Elvis in your Picture lineups.

There hasn’t been a Best Actor winner outside of Best Picture since Jeff Bridges.…[Read more]

I have a similar five, although I’m slightly more confident that Hsu will coattail.

I agree with this. I don’t see how anyone can finish that movie and not consider Joy (and Hsu’s emotive performance) a central aspect of the film.

I considered Hong for weeks. Ultimately, I concluded that his screentime is too limited and the performance,…[Read more]

+: P

-: M, TF

Parasite (3180)

The Grand Budapest Hotel (1300)

Moonlight (995)

The Favourite (415)

Eliminated:
88) Bohemian Rhapsody
87) American Hustle
86) Argo
85) Green Book
84) Vice
83) Dallas Buyer’s Club
82) The Theory of Everything
81) Silver Linings Playbook
80) Les Miserables
79) Joker
78) Darkest Hour
77) Beasts of the Southern W…[Read more]

+ P, TGBH

– M, TF

Parasite (3170)

The Grand Budapest Hotel (1320)

Moonlight (985)

The Favourite (435)

Eliminated:
88) Bohemian Rhapsody
87) American Hustle
86) Argo
85) Green Book
84) Vice
83) Dallas Buyer’s Club
82) The Theory of Everything
81) Silver Linings Playbook
80) Les Miserables
79) Joker
78) Darkest Hour
77) Beasts of the S…[Read more]

+10: P, TGBH

-10: M, TF

Parasite (3150)

The Grand Budapest Hotel (1310)

Moonlight (1005)

The Favourite (445)

Eliminated:
88) Bohemian Rhapsody
87) American Hustle
86) Argo
85) Green Book
84) Vice
83) Dallas Buyer’s Club
82) The Theory of Everything
81) Silver Linings Playbook
80) Les Miserables
79) Joker
78) Darkest Hour
77) Beasts of the S…[Read more]

Yeah, it’s Searchlight’s inevitable costume design nominee.

Based on this trailer, it would be hard to buy a supporting campaign for Gleeson. He’s clearly a co-lead.

It’s baffling that Ralph Fiennes hasn’t been nominated since the freaking 90’s.