Forum Replies Created
July 14, 2021 at 2:39 am #1204345678
The fact that The Queen’s Gambit was aired on October 2020 and still managed to receive 18 nominations with two acting performances outside of Anya where they could have ignored both and yet people still underestimating the series. Lol. Ok. I guess it’s better in this position, less expectations. Lol.July 14, 2021 at 2:09 am #1204345635
I’m finishing up The Queen’s Gambit (I know, super late) and I won’t lie I’m lowkey underwhelmed by Anya’s performance. I wouldn’t be upset if she wins because I do like her overall but I expected her to be showier than she was, I keep waiting for a big moment and it’s not really coming. People like Winslet are baitier imo so I’m interested to see how this race goes.
You’re not going to see some overacting, typical in your face performances in The Queen’s Gambit like you normally see with all that baity dialogue and sh*t. The series is basically has small nuances and subtle piece of work with beautiful visuals. The chess pieces doing a lot of work.
Perfect example why The Queen’s Gambit is soooo good:July 14, 2021 at 2:05 am #1204345628
People still underestimating The Queen’s Gambit. Ok.July 13, 2021 at 9:30 am #1204342531
HPFA being vindicated with Emily in Paris getting a nom. Haha!July 13, 2021 at 9:16 am #1204342394
Eviro’s campaigning paid off! Lol!July 13, 2021 at 9:06 am #1204342287
Winslet is the frontrunner now. What the hell happened to TQG in acting? Like it got 2 supporting actor and 1 supporting actress but Heller and Camp??? Makes me believe now Winslet is the frontrunner with Olsen as the runner up.
How though? Both Moses and Thomas got in replacing Heller and Camp.July 13, 2021 at 9:03 am #1204342255
Why do people think that TQG tanked when both Moses and Thomas got in? LMAO. They just replaced Camp and Heller.July 9, 2021 at 4:50 pm #1204336773
Gut feeling that Eviro will get nominated whether she will be number 1 or 5. It doesn’t matter. She will take it.June 28, 2021 at 3:07 pm #1204321930
I finished i may destroy you and gots to say: the queen’s gambit incoming sweep will age badly to my eyes in the next years. I’m not trying to sound like a hater, the show is cute, but mare of easttown and i may destroy you are so above it and it’s not even close.
Nah. The Queen’s Gambit is the most popular show last year outside of the Crown.June 26, 2021 at 4:33 pm #1204319713
Last Night in Soho will not open @ number 1. I even doubt it will be in the top 5. This whole discussion about Dune will have the same legs like Godzilla vs. King Kong and even go beyond the 300m+ to break even is not going to happen because of the current situation we are in. There’s a new variant. The world is still dealing with it.
It might happen but realistically the BO right now looks like it will favor franchises. AQP, Godzilla vs Kong and now F9. They already built a fan base. Expect all Marvel movies to do the same.June 26, 2021 at 6:48 am #1204319102
Dune’s direct competition such as Venom (end of September) and Bond (2 weeks before Dune opening) will burn out demand by the time Dune comes out. So instead of opening in the middle, when demand for those 2 was high, and getting lost in the shuffle, it will stand out. Halloween Kills is a different audience and it will lose almost 60% in the second weekend when Dune opens. Soho will do well but it doesn’t look like a contender for over 30M opening nor it needs it. So in any permutation, Dune wins the first and second weekend (Antlers will be a non-factor). It also has 2 weeks before Eternals comes out which is a lot. I also don’t buy the argument that people will save money and wait when they are going to spend money through October. As for breaking even, Fury Road broke even and received bucketload of above the line nominations. Also, Dune book is cerebral but the movie, based on the script and test screening reaction, is more entertaining and accessible than the book. I read both. I don’t even think that being Part 1 is going to hurt WOM. Many didn’t know that FOTR was Part 1 but fell in love with it and after the initial wait what? they saw it again and couldn’t wait for TTT. Infinity War also didn’t have “this is Part 1 of 2” slapped on its forehead and it didn’t hurt the movie’s boxoffice. Also, while it isn’t a franchise it isn’t an unknown IP either. There’s an awareness and many people read the book. I just don’t understand resistance to this movie while The Harder They Fall, that looks about as serious as Army of the Dead, is predicted at least in acting.
Fury Road? That was pre pandemic right? Lol.
You really think Dune will go over 300m+ and to break even? Especially with the rest of the world still getting back to normal?June 26, 2021 at 6:05 am #1204319063
GD Forum really has it for Dune doesn’t it? OK, so lets see possible opening weekend scenarios. Halloween opened with 76M and had the second weekend drop of 58.8% to 31M. Halloween Kills will have lower opening than Halloween with similar drop but lets say it retains Halloween’s opening number. Dune will have to make more than 31M adjusted to inflation. Blade Runner 2049 made 32M in 2017 so If Dune followed Blade Runner than it would edge out Halloween Kills. If it followed Mad Max Fury Road, which opened with 45M in 2015, it would open with around 50M give or take (Max adjusted to 2021 inflation). Last Night in Soho is an engma. Most comparable movie looks and content-wise seems to be Black Swan. But that movie had a slow rollout (limited to expansion) so that isn’t helpful. But if it wants to contend for #1 spot (in case Dune doesn’t follow Mad Max or better) , needs to make at least as much as Get Out which is 33M adjusted to 2021 inflation. Better scenario would be Split (40M+ inflation). So as you can see, we could have a photofinish or we could have a clear winner which is Dune (I don’t see how Soho would get Split number with competition it faces). I certainly don’t expect Soho to become opening weekend phenomenon like Us (71M) or Halloween (76M). Soho strikes me more as solid perhaps slightly lower opening with WOM-created legs. French Dispatch is neither a movie that opens big nor it’s getting a wide release that weekend so scratch it. My money has always been on Dune. Well received previews + festival hype (means headlines, awareness) + built in fandom + all-star cast (they may not be draws individually but they could have an added value as a group like Knives Out cast) should clinch #1 spot. Also, beautiful people + spectacle does well overseas so it should recoup the budget. And if they keep HBO Max release, they will announce big numbers like they did for Godzilla vs Kong which also made 442M worldwide. keep underestimating this at your peril.
What makes you think it will go similar way with Godzilla vs. Kong BO route? Dune seems cerebral to me. Godzilla vs. Kong is at least entertaining with a recall because of two famous monsters.
Yes there’s a possibility that the movie ends up @ number 1. But I really doubt they will even break even, especially with competitions in the entire October! Not to mention The Eternals coming early in November which the moviegoers might save their money and wait. Lol.
Just look at the BO results so far this year, there’s a pattern. Franchises are doing well at the box office.