[Shrek Superslam Joined: Feb 7th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 1000 View Predictions]

#1205408164

Pete Davidson has a very memorable appearance in Bodies Bodies Bodies, which I’d argue somewhat comes under this.

I also very much enjoyed John Slattery’s brief appearance in Confess, Fletch.

X

Reply

[Shrek Superslam Joined: Feb 7th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 1000 View Predictions]

#1205394119

madsxbb wrote:

people need to learn to separate box office and the internet everything everywhere all at once only made 140 million but had people talking on social media all year, much more attention on the internet than top gun that had more traditional marketing and made ten times more money barbie is movie of the internet so the numbers on social media will not translate in a giant box office, especially with uncertain demographic it should make money but nothing extraordinary like people expect

Oppenheimer is also a movie of the internet…

X

Reply

[Shrek Superslam Joined: Feb 7th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 1000 View Predictions]

#1205391443

In terms of Candelabra, I don’t think Douglas or Damon would have won (Douglas already had one Oscar and Damon is nowhere near as showy as Leto), but it’s not hard to see them getting in, although they’d probably be 4th or 5th place slots. Damon over Hill; Douglas over Dern; and probably Director over Payne.

It would probably have stolen a picture nomination from Philomena or Nebraska.

Adapted Screenplay nom over Before Midnight.

Obvious Makeup & Hairstyling nominee – could even win there. Costume Design, too – and again a potential win.

A Production Design nomination would also have been on the cards, very likely.

X

Reply

[Shrek Superslam Joined: Feb 7th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 1000 View Predictions]

#1205385261

So, this film is seemingly gonna feature a guy called William Margold, who’s quite a sketchy sort of character, so it’s somewhat unsurprising that Tarantino would take an interest. The guy was quite into the p*rn industry and was in his mid-late 30s in the late 70s, so yeah… interesting.

I expect this to be taking some of its cues from Boogie Nights and The Nice Guys.

As for who could play the guy…

Well, this is what he looked like in his younger days (I’m guessing these are from the 70s):

Any guesses?

I don’t think DiCaprio, Pitt or Cruise are remotely likely for this guy.

Out of the heavy-hitters and based on how the guy talks/looks, a lot of the heavy-hitters are out. Not Phoenix, not McConaughey, etc…

Robert Downey Jr. in the late ’90s and the 2000s would probably have been the perfect pick for this guy, but he’s just too old now.

Out of the Tarantino regulars, Tim Roth would make the most sense – but I think he’s too old now.

If I had to go for a prediction, I think we’re gonna get a very out-of-the-blue pick – either a Christoph Waltz/Samuel L. Jackson situation (not a young actor, but a newcomer) or a John Travolta/Pam Grier (iconic actor of a certain age who has lost their way and this is a comeback).

X

Reply

[Shrek Superslam Joined: Feb 7th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 1000 View Predictions]

#1205383419

Richie Rich wrote:

Air opens to $14.56M over 3 days and $20.2M over the 5 day Easter weekend. The best pandemic opening weekend for an adult drama since House of Gucci opened to 14.2M over 3-days and $21.8M over the 5 day Thanksgiving weekend back in 2021.

Really not so bad under the circumstances and the juggernaut of Mario.

Admittedly, we are living in the era of the manchild-ification of cinema, so it’s not surprising that Mario does so well.

However, Amazon knows that they probably could make a film similar to this for approx. 20-30 million (most of the reason this was so expensive is because it was planned to be a direct-to-streaming feature) and with a marketing budget of about 30 million, and then could make a return on their investment.

Air has more or less been an experiment to test the waters for the level of appetite these kinds of movies have.

The return on this movie for Amazon will be mostly people flocking to their streaming service to see it after it’s been out.

X

Reply

[Shrek Superslam Joined: Feb 7th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 1000 View Predictions]

#1205382543

Moviebuff22 wrote:

Glenn Close, Sylvester Stallone, and Mickey Rourke had better narratives and lost. His win was 100% due to the performance and transformation. He was the favorite the whole season before people started overthinking because of some critics

Those were all pre-2020s and two of them were in the Supporting categories…

If the past two Oscars have shown us anything, then the Oscars are by far more narrative driven than I think they were during the 2010s.

I don’t think the Jamie Lee Curtis or Brendan Fraser wins happen five years ago… And I’m not even sure that the better but still pretty narrative-driven wins of Yeoh and Quan would have happened five years ago.

Realistically, it would have looked like this…

Best Actor – Colin Farrell or Austin Butler

Best Actress – Cate Blanchett

Best Supporting Actor – Barry Keoghan or Ke Huy Quan

Best Supporting Actress – Kerry Condon or Stephanie Hsu

That the Oscars have decided to give Jessica Chastain, Jamie Lee Curtis and Brendan Fraser all Oscars literally just for “narrative” tells you a lot. As I say, even better winners like Will Smith, Yeoh, Quan and Kotsur are 90% down to the narrative. The only one that kind of wasn’t was Ariana DeBose and you can argue that part of that is due to Rita Moreno having won for the same role before and it being an acclaimed role, so it would be seen as disappointing if she didn’t win.

X

Reply

[Shrek Superslam Joined: Feb 7th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 1000 View Predictions]

#1205381393

Watchable entertaing film, but it’s not got a lasting depth that I would anticipate other films to have.

This isn’t Everything Everywhere, which has resonance.

It isn’t Green Book either, which, even though many don’t like it, does have resonance.

And, for Affelck, it’s a step below the quality of Argo. Similar quality to The Town, but a better script and not as many standout performances.

It’s well-made, well-edited as expected from an Affleck movie.

Matt Damon has a good monologue, but it’s corny af. He’s good in the movie, but I can’t imagine him getting awards traction for it.

Viola Davis is soldi, but it’s not good enough to be worthy of an oscar nomination. The traction I think is more to do with her playing the iconic part of an iconic legend and being a proactive individual kind of thing. Nothing in the performance makes me think she’s a frontrunner. If she gets in, it’d remind me, more than anything of Kathy Bates getting in for Richard Jewell – although there’s a difference there… Davis is slightly better than Bates, but, as a film, Richard Jewell is slightly better than Air.

My favourite performance was Affleck as the eccentric CEO. Affleck, I could see, getting some kind of Globe or Critics Choice nomination, alongside Davis. Bateman is okay; I get why people are praising him, but, to me, it felt like a slightly bland performance. Messina is hilarious in his scenes, but it’s not an Oscar part.

On the whole, it’s a good film, but I don’t know if it stands a shot beyond 9th-10th on Best Picture, maybe a Screenplay nomination and maybe some below-the-lines and maybe 5th place in Supporting Actress.

On the whole, not as big as critics were making out, but I think that’s more to do with the somewhat dire showings from Hollywood this year thus far in terms of non-sequel movies.

X

Reply

[Shrek Superslam Joined: Feb 7th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 1000 View Predictions]

#1205376396

Babylonian wrote:

https://platform.twitter.com/embed/Tweet.html?dnt=true&embedId=twitter-widget-0&features=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%3D&frame=false&hideCard=false&hideThread=false&id=1642373906916077568&lang=en&origin=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.goldderby.com%2Fforum%2Fmovies%2F2024-oscars-best-actor-part-1%2F&sessionId=c02fab3f22f0b4a9e6f86adcb27b110ed3085bf3&siteScreenName=GoldDerby&theme=light&widgetsVersion=aaf4084522e3a%3A1674595607486&width=550px

https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js

Adam Driver – Annette

X

Reply

[Shrek Superslam Joined: Feb 7th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 1000 View Predictions]

#1205373482

And the year before… (Note: Macbeth was a real person, even if they are different to how the Shakespeare text portrays them)

Best Lead Performer – Fictional:
Olivia Colman – The Lost Daughter
Bradley Cooper – Nightmare Alley
Penelope Cruz – Parallel Mothers
Benedict Cumberbatch – The Power Of The Dog
Leonardo DiCaprio – Don’t Look Up

Best Lead Performer – Non-Fiction:
Jessica Chastain – The Eyes Of Tammy Faye
Andrew Garfield – tick, tick… BOOM!
Nicole Kidman – Being The Ricardos
Will Smith – King Richard
Kristen Stewart – Spencer

Best Supporting Performer – Fictional:
Ariana DeBose – West Side Story
Kirsten Dunst – The Power Of The Dog
Ciaran Hinds – Belfast
Troy Kotsur – CODA
Kodi Smit-McPhee – The Power Of The Dog

Best Supporting Performer – Non-Fiction:
Ben Affleck – The Last Duel
Bradley Cooper – Licorice Pizza
Aunjanue Ellis – King Richard
Jared Leto – House Of Gucci
JK Simmons – Being The Ricardos

and the year before….

Best Lead Performer – Fictional:
Riz Ahmed – Sound Of Metal
Chadwick Boseman – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Anthony Hopkins – The Father
Frances McDormand – Nomadland
Carey Mulligan – Promising Young Woman

Best Lead Performer – Non-Fiction:
Kingsley Ben-Adir – One Night In Miami
Viola Davis – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Andra Day – The United States Vs. Billie Holiday
Gary Oldman – Mank
Lakeith Stanfield – Judas And The Black Messiah

Best Supporting Performer – Fictional:
Maria Bakalova – Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
Olivia Colman – The Father
Bill Murray – On The Rocks
Paul Raci – Sound Of Metal
Youn Yuh-Jung – Minari

Best Supporting Performer – Non-Fiction:
Glenn Close – Hillbilly Elergy
Sacha Baron Cohen – The Trial Of The Chicago 7
Daniel Kaluuya – Judas And The Black Messiah
Leslie Odom Jr. – One Night In Miami
Amanda Seyfreid – Mank

X

Reply

[Shrek Superslam Joined: Feb 7th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 1000 View Predictions]

#1205373453

For the record, here’s how your plan would have worked with the Oscars this year…:

Best Lead Performer – Fiction:
Cate Blanchett – TAR
Colin Farrell – The Banshees Of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser – The Whale
Michelle Williams – The Fabelmans
Michelle Yeoh – Everything Everywhere

Best Lead Performer – Non-Fiction:
Naomi Ackie – I Wanna Dance With Somebody
Ana der Armas – Blonde
Austin Butler – Elvis
Jessica Chastain – The Good Nurse
Danielle Deadwyler – Till

Best Supporting Performer – Fiction:
Angela Bassett – Wakanda Forever
Kerry Condon – The Banshees Of Inisherin
Jamie Lee Curtis – Everything Everywhere
Brendan Gleeson – The Banshees of Inisherin
Ke Huy Quan – Everything Everywhere

Best Supporting Performer – Non-Fiction:
Patricia Clarkson – She Said
Tom Hanks – Elvis
David Lynch – The Fabelmans
Carey Mulligan – She Said
Eddie Redmayne – The Good Nurse

X

Reply

[Shrek Superslam Joined: Feb 7th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 1000 View Predictions]

#1205370270

TVFan365 wrote:

Sean Penn and Josh Brolin both have a past history of domestic violence and went on to be nominated for the same movie (and Penn won his second Oscar).

Agree on Josh Brolin, but he wasn’t even who I was talking about, so it’s kind of a moot point.

I wasn’t talking about him, but as for Sean Penn, on the other hand… https://www.theguardian.com/music/2015/dec/18/madonna-says-sean-penn-never-hit-her-as-she-offers-evidence-for-her-ex-husband

And I’d be on the safe side if I were you in regards to calling Penn “abusive” – https://www.theguardian.com/film/2016/may/04/lee-daniels-apologizes-sean-penn-allegations-abuse-madonna

Comparing Penn’s situation to the Majors’ one isn’t very wise…

X

Reply

[Shrek Superslam Joined: Feb 7th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 1000 View Predictions]

#1205370189

RIDLEY SCOTT wrote:

All of those great white actors did assault on other human beings

I don’t remember Russell Crowe beating up his girlfriend and then getting arrested by the police for it….

X

Reply

[Shrek Superslam Joined: Feb 7th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 1000 View Predictions]

#1205365560

Robert DeNiro – Killers Of The Flower Moon
Colman Domingo – The Color Purple
Ryan Gosling – Barbie
Brian Tyree Henry – Flint Strong
John Magaro – Past Lives

Alt. Jesse Plemons – Killers Of The Flower Moon

Possibilities:

Willem Dafoe – Poor Things
Robert Downey Jr. – Oppenheimer
Jacob Elordi – Saltburn
Chris Evans – Pain Hustlers
Stephen Graham – Blitz
Mark Ruffalo – Poor Things

X

Reply

[Shrek Superslam Joined: Feb 7th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 1000 View Predictions]

#1205365537

Predictions:

Bradley Cooper – Maestro
Leonardo DiCaprio – Killers Of The Flower Moon
Colman Domingo – Rustin
Paul Giamatti – The Holdovers
Barry Keoghan – Saltburn

Possibilities:

Joaquin Phoenix
Michael Fassbender
Cillian Murphy
Timothee Chalamet
Kingsley Ben-Adir

X

Reply

[Shrek Superslam Joined: Feb 7th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 1000 View Predictions]

#1205365518

RIDLEY SCOTT wrote:

Some great white actors did similar things (assault) and nothing happened: Russell Crowe, Christian Bale, Robert Downey Jr., Johnny Depp and Mark Wahlberg

I’m sorry, but in what world are Crowe, Bale and Downey Jr. in the same vein as what Depp and Majors have been accused of and what Wahlberg literally admitted to doing?

X

Reply