[Mother Dináh Joined: Jun 29th, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 952 View Predictions]

#1204957864

naveand wrote:

I think Mary J. Blige will win her first Grammy in 14 years. I have “Good Morning Gorgeous” with H.E.R. as the front runner in Best Traditional R&B Performance.

The duet with H.E.R. is just a bonus track. MJB will submit the solo version, which was released as a single.

H.E.R. (and her team of songwriters Tiara Thomas & D’Mile) will get nominated for Best R&B Song though.

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[Mother Dináh Joined: Jun 29th, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 952 View Predictions]

#1204956111

almanzarlamarcarlile wrote:

Are we still pretending that this Mark Ronson/Max Martin produced album which has released exclusively pop songs so far is competing in R&B or have we finally accepted that it’s very obviously going to PVA?

We were worried that Lizzo wouldn’t be competitive in Pop and manifesting a nomination via category fraud.

To be fair, if the category was still called “Urban Contemporary”, she would once again be misplaced.

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[Mother Dináh Joined: Jun 29th, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 952 View Predictions]

#1204956083

And I know he stands no chance at even being nominated, but the most culturally impactful artist of the year so far has been Bad Bunny.

Universally acclaimed record, broke numerous records without singing a word in English and is leading the takeover of Música Urbana in the US charts. With A-list Pop & Rap so milquetoast in 2022, the latino gang has been the most exciting thing to look at in the Hot 100 this year.

Bad Bunny is hands down the “Artist of the Year”.

I wish committees were brought back so he could be recognized in the General Field.

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[Mother Dináh Joined: Jun 29th, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 952 View Predictions]

#1204956071

Lizzo worked with Mark Ronson in the making of Special

this is important information

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[Mother Dináh Joined: Jun 29th, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 952 View Predictions]

#1204953952

Metascores have been flawed for a couple years now. Critics be giving out 4/5 stars to 7/10 albums and 5/5 stars to 9/10 albums. Pitchfork’s one of the few more realistic, though several times harsh, outliers.

Since 2019-ish, many mainstream artists have been receiving their best metascores ever with albums that are not their best.

Even Pitchfork’s been lacking cojones lately. Back in the day they’d give out multiple 2.9’s in a year. Readers wouldn’t have turned the review/roast of Jack Harlow into an event.

But 0-5 stars critics became wimps ever since stan militias started harrassing them on Twitter for giving their precious idol 3/5 stars.

The writers that reviewed Mr. Morale (94%) definitely don’t think it’s better than GKMC (91%)

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[Mother Dináh Joined: Jun 29th, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 952 View Predictions]

#1204953546

musiccisum wrote:

First Harry‘s House reviews are coming in. A lot of 4/5s so I guess it’s looking like an average 80s kinda metacritic.

No surprises here. He’d only get 3/5s had his previous album been a “masterpiece” to which were given dozens of 5/5s. *coughs* Kanye, Lorde *coughs*

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[Mother Dináh Joined: Jun 29th, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 952 View Predictions]

#1204953544

A Pitchfork score lower than expected doesn’t affect A-listers, just artists who benefit from the hype generated by a potential “Best New Music” seal.

e.g.: St. Vincent did win a Grammy for Daddy’s Home (namecheck), but people immediately stopped talking about the album after Pitchfork gave her a 6.5.

Kendrick will be fine. Remember Donda?

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[Mother Dináh Joined: Jun 29th, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 952 View Predictions]

#1204951631

LAINELAVIGNE wrote:

Is Gabby Barrett still eligable? She just recently released the deluxe version of her debut album. She’s gunning for BNA.

If she wasn’t nominated last year after I Hope became a crossover hit I don’t think she ever will. She’s a type of artist doesn’t seem like what the Country field’s been into lately. It’s almost like they regret giving Carrie Underwood 6 Grammys.

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[Mother Dináh Joined: Jun 29th, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 952 View Predictions]

#1204951629

The only other R&B or Rap contender in the general field Silk Sonic will split votes with Adele too. Thanks Bruno! Brandi will also be weakened by Adele & hopefully Plant & Krauss (probably not)

Every Rap fan and most importantly everyone who votes with their heart will choose Kendrick. Jon just won because of the biggest vote split since Arcade Fire’s win, unprecedented crossover support and most importantly passion vote. Kendrick is what the “real music” voting block should support.

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[Mother Dináh Joined: Jun 29th, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 952 View Predictions]

#1204951525

Pitchfork is so late Bad Bunny’s album was only named Best New Music today. Same score as Rosalía. This is officially a bloodbath.

Wait at least a week until Kendrick’s 10.

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[Mother Dináh Joined: Jun 29th, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 952 View Predictions]

#1204951121

Björk, Big Thief and Arcade Fire are all l-words in Alternative Music Album.

Won’t be surprised if The Smile is nominated too. Thom Yorke’s previous side project received a bunch of nominations even though he’s in the bottom of the ballot.

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[Mother Dináh Joined: Jun 29th, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 952 View Predictions]

#1204950958

If the NARAS is worried about any backlash or confused reactions to Best New Artist, they’ll just rig the system and allow Summer Walker in. After that shameless set up in favor of Jhené Aiko, which fortunately backfired, I assume Summer is still eligible for BNA.

naveand called it: Blxst is getting nominated this year. I know some of us precociously predicted him last year.

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[Mother Dináh Joined: Jun 29th, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 952 View Predictions]

#1204947461

Monet Tejada wrote:

Luckily, there is a rule that you can only vote in 3 fields outside of the general field. That’s why I wouldn’t be surprised at a Jack Harlow snub in Best Rap Album. I feel he will do better in the performance categories.

The field limit impacts more in the second voting round. In the first round, we could still see the hands of visiting voters, mostly Pop & R&B voters, in the Rap field, and specially in the R&B field. Last year, the only of the four “mainstream” fields* that seemed more exclusive to its own voters was the Country field, with the exception of Kacey Musgraves.

*Pop, Rap, Country and R&B.

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[Mother Dináh Joined: Jun 29th, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 952 View Predictions]

#1204947307

almanzarlamarcarlile wrote:

Also sorry but Jack can easily miss rap album. Future, Gunna, Kendrick, Lil Durk and Pusha T is a very plausible lineup. Isn’t Lil Baby also dropping this year?

Jack Harlow has more crossover appeal then Gunna & Lil Durk. If Doja Cat & Lil Nas X managed to get more votes than literally anything featuring Drake and a DJ Khaled song with Jay-Z & Nas, Jack is definitely happening in the Rap field.

Polo G also got a #1 around this time in 2021. It was one of the biggest rap songs of the year, but he was completely shut out because his name didn’t pop up in the mind of Pop/R&B voters.

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[Mother Dináh Joined: Jun 29th, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 952 View Predictions]

#1204945135

Música Urbana Album is far from being a lock. ROSALÍA could be (mis)placed there, Daddy Yankee could get sympathy votes, and upsets are more likely in niche fields with very small voting blocks.

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